inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Utah Jazz 97 Excitement10.4 [53] MVPMark Davis (PHI): +24.6%
Philadelphia 76ers 96 Comeback2.3 [386] LVPKarl Malone (UTA): -34.7%


Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Bryon Russell0.040,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,-0.01,-0.01,0.040.010.03-0.001159%0.092-0.05560%-0.01
Chris Morris0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04-0.000.04-0.00250%0.0400.0020%-0.03
Howard Eisley0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.000.02-0.01558%0.041-0.02250%-0.02
Adam Keefe0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.03-0.010.00560%0.0100.0000%0.00
Greg Ostertag0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.00-0.00250%0.0100.0000%0.00
Ruben Nembhard-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.00456%0.021-0.021100%0.00
Greg Foster-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.020.0010%-0.021-0.0400%0.00
Antoine Carr-0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15-0.03-0.120.00425%-0.1500.0000%0.00
Jeff Hornacek-0.200,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2-0.06-0.140.001644%-0.142-0.064100%0.03
John Stockton-0.290,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.26,-0.29,-0.29-0.18-0.12-0.011240%-0.166-0.12667%0.01
Karl Malone-0.350,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.17,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.03,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.350.01-0.360.002255%-0.302-0.05786%0.03

Philadelphia 76ers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mark Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.250.250.150.100.001675%0.271-0.0200%0.00
Allen Iverson0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.16,-0.02,0.1,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.2,0.12,0.120.12-0.020.14-0.001861%0.366-0.232100%0.01
Mark Bradtke0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.01-0.00250%0.0200.0000%0.00
Don MacLean0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.000.0010%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Doug Overton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.06-0.01-0.01729%-0.051-0.0100%0.00
Lucious Harris0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.08,-0.08-0.080.05-0.120.011457%-0.061-0.0200%0.00
Michael Cage0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.09,-0.09-0.090.01-0.090.01650%-0.0900.0000%0.00
Jerry Stackhouse0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.13-0.03-0.02624%-0.102-0.05580%-0.00
Rex Walters0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.16-0.16-0.02-0.150.0010%-0.1600.0000%0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.08,-0.19,-0.25,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31-0.31-0.05-0.30-0.041257%-0.034-0.27683%-0.05
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game23.22.024.114.824.22.529.41.517.0138.7
league avg32.72.123.215.325.72.133.11.617.8135.6
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
PHI -76.5%
UTA +56.5%
UTA +38.4%
UTA +33.1%
PHI -1.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsUTAPHINBAUTAPHINBA
this game17.515.615.6102.199.0104.4
season15.614.7110.8101.4
opponent14.716.0108.4102.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
UTA14.316.714.723.123.617.5
PHI19.314.016.612.915.015.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Bryon Russell72750.72-0.230.950.556-51117.318.2-0.9516.712.04.66
Karl Malone74770.54-0.050.600.434-3717.417.8-0.3416.412.83.59
John Stockton76780.50-0.000.500.355-4918.115.13.0514.819.1-4.30
Jeff Hornacek70730.480.010.470.422-1317.617.10.5616.413.52.91
Greg Ostertag20190.190.30-0.11-0.079-81714.518.3-3.7920.614.46.20
Adam Keefe35340.140.36-0.220.1401-118.117.20.8913.616.7-3.08
Antoine Carr37390.120.37-0.250.21-34-721.115.25.9613.716.9-3.23
Ruben Nembhard990.090.41-0.32-0.003-2514.317.8-3.4911.416.1-4.64
Chris Morris3029-0.080.58-0.660.12-78-1517.017.7-0.7212.816.9-4.12
Howard Eisley2928-0.090.58-0.670.15-89-1717.217.6-0.4617.115.12.00
Greg Foster2324-0.140.63-0.770.04-67-1314.218.6-4.3816.015.50.41

Philadelphia 76ers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mark Bradtke27260.19-0.680.870.103-4714.116.2-2.1318.317.21.07
Mark Davis73730.05-0.550.60-0.188-91714.519.0-4.4517.716.90.76
Allen Iverson72720.04-0.540.580.040-1115.316.7-1.4418.016.01.97
Don MacLean1212-0.06-0.430.37-0.060-1113.216.0-2.8317.217.5-0.38
Doug Overton3331-0.24-0.260.02-0.06-65-1117.514.72.7815.418.5-3.08
Clar. Weatherspoon8583-0.43-0.06-0.37-0.40-10-116.013.22.8317.517.20.38
Rex Walters21-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.450-114.515.9-11.385.017.6-12.63
Lucious Harris6665-0.47-0.02-0.45-0.44-10-115.815.20.6218.914.44.47
Michael Cage6968-0.550.05-0.60-0.37-65-1116.513.62.8717.417.8-0.40
Jerry Stackhouse4644-0.560.06-0.62-0.50-21-316.514.91.6615.819.0-3.17


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.35,0.34,0.3,0.35,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.29,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.21,0.28,0.27,0.3,0.39,0.26,0.2,0.22,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.19,0.23,0.21,0.4,0.53,0.47,0.54,0.45,0.42,0.54,0.31,0.37,0.68,0.37,0
GameSimilarity Score
IND 90, POR 960.5,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.4,0.34,0.36,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.3,0.25,0.24,0.28,0.29,0.3,0.29,0.2,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.29,0.23,0.21,0.17,0.22,0.24,0.22,0.19,0.25,0.28,0.27,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.55,0.31,0.42,188.7%
WAS 114, BKN 1100.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.37,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.36,0.34,0.27,0.22,0.26,0.39,0.31,0.28,0.21,0.24,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.29,0.19,0.24,0.29,0.32,0.22,0.1,0.12,0.29,0.19,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.31,0.22,0.43,0.17,0.46,0.61,0.54,0.55,0.08,088.6%
IND 98, POR 930.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.31,0.27,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.12,0.1,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.26,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.23,0.13,0.09,0.18,0.26,0.36,0.34,0.19,0.29,0.38,0.47,0.41,0.54,0.46,0.45,0.63,0.71,0.58,0.46,0.45,0.28,0.16,0.15,088.1%