NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	91		Excitement	3.1 [1116]		MVP	Kendall Gill (NJN): +13.5%
New Jersey Nets	114		Comeback	1.1 [978]		LVP	Chris Gatling (DAL): -10.6%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jim Jackson	0.04	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	8	69%	0.06	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derek Harper	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	8	44%	0.01	1	-0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Samaki Walker	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	7	44%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Fred Roberts	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0	75%	0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Loren Meyer	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	11	42%	-0.00	1	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Tony Dumas	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	5	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.00
George McCloud	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	10	54%	0.01	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Eric Montross	-0.02	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	6	46%	0.01	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Oliver Miller	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	67%	0.00	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Jason Kidd	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	-0.00	9	56%	0.01	6	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Chris Gatling	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	0.00	0.00	10	41%	-0.09	2	-0.02	7	43%	-0.04

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kendall Gill	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.14	0.01	0.01	17	72%	0.15	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Reggie Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.11	0.01	0.06	7	86%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adrian Caldwell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.08	0.00	-0.09	5	25%	0.02	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Tony Massenburg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	6	69%	0.05	3	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	16	45%	0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Khalid Reeves	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	12	54%	0.01	2	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Robert Pack	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.00	8	77%	0.04	4	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Ed O'Bannon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yinka Dare	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Shawn Bradley	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.02	10	40%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jayson Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.12	-0.00	-0.02	9	33%	-0.03	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	1.6	24.6	14.7	28.0	1.7	26.3	119.1
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +25.0%

NJN +3.5%

NJN +14.8%

NJN +6.2%

NJN +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	NJN	NBA	DAL	NJN	NBA
this game	14.1	16.4	15.6	96.8	120.0	104.4
season	15.9	15.4		99.1	101.7
opponent	14.9	15.7		106.6	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	13.9	14.1	15.7	12.6	14.1
NJN	17.4	15.3	15.6	17.4	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Fred Roberts	9	9	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-27	31	12.0	14.3	-2.27	15.7	16.5	-0.82
Samaki Walker	24	24	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.06	2	-25	27	12.6	14.6	-1.97	17.4	16.1	1.35
Loren Meyer	42	42	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.03	-6	-17	11	15.4	13.0	2.36	16.7	16.2	0.59
Eric Montross	40	41	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.01	-7	-16	9	16.1	12.5	3.61	18.7	14.6	4.08
Tony Dumas	41	40	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.08	-11	-12	1	12.2	15.5	-3.30	15.4	17.1	-1.75
Jason Kidd	62	62	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.08	-11	-12	1	14.5	13.2	1.22	16.7	15.9	0.72
Oliver Miller	26	26	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.21	-16	-7	-9	13.0	14.5	-1.51	13.5	17.5	-4.06
George McCloud	47	48	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.16	-15	-8	-7	14.6	13.6	1.00	16.4	16.5	-0.11
Chris Gatling	47	48	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.14	-15	-8	-7	12.9	15.2	-2.36	15.8	17.1	-1.29
Derek Harper	63	64	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.11	-16	-7	-9	13.1	16.0	-2.86	15.7	17.9	-2.26
Jim Jackson	69	71	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.23	-24	1	-25	15.3	10.6	4.70	17.2	14.1	3.11

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robert Pack	79	77	0.48	0.02	0.47	-0.22	24	-1	25	16.0	18.5	-2.51	14.3	12.9	1.43
Shawn Bradley	50	49	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.43	29	-6	35	16.5	16.3	0.19	15.3	12.7	2.57
Jayson Williams	66	64	0.28	0.22	0.05	-0.22	17	6	11	17.5	14.0	3.52	14.5	13.0	1.55
Kerry Kittles	61	61	0.27	0.23	0.05	-0.25	18	5	13	17.1	15.1	2.01	14.3	13.5	0.83
Reggie Williams	32	32	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.02	10	13	-3	14.7	17.3	-2.55	12.2	15.0	-2.83
Adrian Caldwell	34	35	0.26	0.24	0.01	-0.01	9	14	-5	14.7	17.4	-2.70	13.9	14.2	-0.27
Khalid Reeves	42	43	0.24	0.26	-0.01	-0.02	9	14	-5	16.2	16.6	-0.35	13.4	14.6	-1.17
Kendall Gill	62	60	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.12	12	11	1	17.4	14.6	2.72	15.2	12.1	3.12
Tony Massenburg	31	31	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.20	-5	28	-33	16.1	16.6	-0.47	11.9	15.1	-3.26
Ed O'Bannon	9	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	27	-31	15.7	16.5	-0.82	12.0	14.3	-2.27
Yinka Dare	9	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	27	-31	15.7	16.5	-0.82	12.0	14.3	-2.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.7,0.8,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.84,0.87,0.87,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.87,0.86,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 96, MIL 123	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.74,0.76,0.75,0.79,0.88,0.86,0.86,0.84,0.87,0.92,0.92,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.92,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
ATL 94, DAL 108	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.76,0.82,0.84,0.83,0.84,0.88,0.85,0.93,0.88,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.89,0.86,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%
TOR 91, ATL 105	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.72,0.73,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.87,0.92,0.86,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.85,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%