NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	82		Excitement	7.9 [240]		MVP	Nick Anderson (ORL): +5.2%
Orlando Magic	86		Comeback	1.4 [817]		LVP	Kendall Gill (NJN): -19.7%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ed O'Bannon	0.01	0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adrian Caldwell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Kerry Kittles	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	8	50%	0.00	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Khalid Reeves	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	10	45%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tony Massenburg	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	8	37%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jayson Williams	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	11	50%	0.08	4	-0.16	2	100%	0.01
Xavier McDaniel	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15	-0.04	-0.12	-0.01	11	37%	-0.15	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.06
Robert Pack	-0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.02,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16	-0.06	-0.11	-0.01	12	48%	-0.06	3	-0.10	3	33%	-0.05
Shawn Bradley	-0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.18,-0.18	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	10	30%	-0.07	2	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Gill	-0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23,-0.2,-0.2	-0.16	-0.05	-0.02	10	46%	-0.03	7	-0.17	4	75%	-0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nick Anderson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.02	-0.02	13	54%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01
Horace Grant	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,0.02	0.02	-0.05	0.06	-0.01	17	45%	0.05	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.05
Anfernee Hardaway	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	0.03	-0.02	23	48%	0.03	2	-0.05	14	71%	0.02
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	4	37%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Derek Strong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	4	50%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.04
David Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	5	36%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Gerald Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.13	-0.00	-0.02	9	28%	-0.02	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Brian Shaw	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.25,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.12	-0.06	-0.02	7	29%	-0.02	4	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Rony Seikaly	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.20	-0.01	-0.03	9	10%	-0.12	3	-0.06	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	1.8	23.4	15.7	28.4	2.5	39.2	135.2
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +3.9%

ORL +19.3%

ORL +4.4%

ORL +19.6%

ORL +2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	ORL	NBA	NJN	ORL	NBA
this game	15.2	15.9	15.6	89.1	92.5	104.4
season	15.4	16.4		101.7	102.9
opponent	15.5	14.9		103.5	106.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	16.9	15.0	16.2	13.1	15.2
ORL	15.8	15.6	16.5	15.7	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Massenburg	33	33	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.13	5	-9	14	15.8	14.9	0.97	14.8	16.5	-1.63
Khalid Reeves	30	33	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.17	6	-10	16	17.0	14.4	2.58	18.9	14.2	4.71
Adrian Caldwell	38	38	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.00	-5	1	-6	17.3	13.8	3.56	14.8	16.7	-1.88
Ed O'Bannon	12	13	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.13	-11	7	-18	16.7	15.0	1.75	11.0	16.7	-5.70
Kerry Kittles	63	64	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.28	2	-6	8	15.4	14.9	0.48	16.4	14.9	1.46
Robert Pack	41	40	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.24	0	-4	4	13.9	16.3	-2.39	14.6	16.9	-2.33
Xavier McDaniel	58	57	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.45	6	-10	16	14.4	16.6	-2.16	15.7	16.2	-0.48
Shawn Bradley	52	53	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.36	3	-7	10	14.0	16.8	-2.82	17.2	14.1	3.12
Jayson Williams	59	59	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.25	-9	5	-14	14.9	15.8	-0.97	16.8	14.4	2.35
Kendall Gill	74	75	-0.67	0.17	-0.83	-0.17	-17	13	-30	15.3	14.9	0.35	15.3	18.5	-3.22

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Horace Grant	67	66	0.92	-0.42	1.34	0.24	23	-19	42	16.0	15.7	0.24	15.9	13.6	2.30
Nick Anderson	70	71	0.88	-0.38	1.26	0.41	16	-12	28	16.4	14.3	2.07	15.7	13.6	2.15
David Vaughn	48	47	0.83	-0.33	1.16	0.10	25	-21	46	15.9	15.9	-0.06	16.1	14.3	1.88
Anfernee Hardaway	79	78	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.17	18	-14	32	15.2	19.9	-4.74	15.6	13.4	2.12
Brian Shaw	61	60	0.69	-0.19	0.87	0.16	18	-14	32	16.0	15.7	0.23	15.0	15.7	-0.75
Darrell Armstrong	24	24	-0.34	0.84	-1.17	0.22	-19	23	-42	17.7	15.3	2.43	14.6	15.5	-0.87
Gerald Wilkins	46	45	-0.35	0.85	-1.21	0.20	-19	23	-42	15.0	16.8	-1.74	14.2	16.2	-1.93
Rony Seikaly	38	37	-0.39	0.89	-1.29	0.25	-22	26	-48	16.3	15.6	0.65	14.9	15.5	-0.61
Derek Strong	32	32	-0.43	0.93	-1.36	0.16	-20	24	-44	15.7	16.0	-0.23	13.4	16.2	-2.75

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.61,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.58,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.76,0.79,0.77,0.86,0.92,0.87,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.84,0.77,0.74,0.65,0.53,0.69,0.72,0.9,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 102, OKC 108	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.61,0.49,0.61,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.67,0.71,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.89,0.88,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.83,0.86,0.79,0.76,0.53,0.69,0.71,0.85,0.99,1	92.7%
GSW 91, CLE 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.7,0.68,0.77,0.75,0.81,0.72,0.76,0.88,0.91,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.93,0.8,0.76,0.79,0.8,0.66,0.8,0.84,0.91,0.97,1	92.2%
PHI 102, BKN 108	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.68,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.69,0.66,0.66,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.34,0.44,0.49,0.63,0.62,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.86,0.87,0.93,0.97,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.88,0.83,0.88,0.79,0.8,0.87,0.81,0.85,0.99,0.96,1	92.1%