NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	133		Excitement	11.0 [27]		MVP	Keyonte George (UTA): +43.4%
Utah Jazz	140		Comeback	18.0 [51]		LVP	Ace Bailey (UTA): -17.5%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Max Christie	0.33	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33	0.02	0.31	0.00	5	57%	0.33	0	0.00	4	100%	0.18
Cooper Flagg	0.16	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.27,0.25,0.23,0.19,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.15,0.22,0.2,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.14,0.17,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.19,0.16,0.16	0.12	0.06	0.03	27	57%	0.30	4	-0.14	20	75%	-0.11
Naji Marshall	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.08	0.06	0.00	12	62%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Powell	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.01	4	50%	0.05	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.03
Klay Thompson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.07	-0.06	-0.01	10	60%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Gafford	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Moussa Cisse	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.03
Ryan Nembhard	-0.05	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.02	12	58%	0.06	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Jaden Hardy	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Washington	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	0.04	-0.14	0.03	20	53%	-0.08	2	-0.05	7	57%	-0.05

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keyonte George	0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.16,0.19,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.43	0.43	0.24	0.20	0.01	20	71%	0.47	2	-0.04	12	83%	-0.00
Kyle Filipowski	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.18,0.24,0.19,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.41	0.41	0.18	0.25	0.02	13	78%	0.45	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.03
Lauri Markkanen	0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.03,0,0.05,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.14	0.16	0.02	23	57%	0.28	1	0.00	12	83%	0.03
Isaiah Collier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.04	0.15	0.00	8	56%	0.19	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Taylor Hendricks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.10	0.04	0.00	5	110%	0.16	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cody Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	-0.01	-0.01	9	58%	0.06	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Brice Sensabaugh	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	0.01	3	67%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Walter Clayton Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.02	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	-0.00	4	0%	-0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ace Bailey	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.04	-0.14	-0.00	9	39%	-0.14	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	33.7	1.3	32.1	0.0	27.2	0.0	41.8	0.0	11.9	0.0
league avg	26.3	2.0	28.9	14.3	29.6	2.2	32.8	2.2	16.6	136.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +57.3%

UTA +0.2%

DAL -23.0%

UTA +12.8%

UTA +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	UTA	NBA	DAL	UTA	NBA
this game	14.4	13.0	14.2	113.7	121.7	113.5
season	13.8	14.0		109.2	112.5
opponent	13.6	14.0		119.7	112.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
DAL	11.8	12.3	15.2	18.0	16.5	14.4
UTA	13.3	13.4	11.9	11.4	18.9	13.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jaden Hardy	76	74	0.20	-0.70	0.91	0.12	3	-10	13	13.4	16.1	-2.66	12.8	13.4	-0.57
Dwight Powell	97	96	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.14	-1	-6	5	13.7	17.6	-3.90	13.4	10.9	2.52
Moussa Cisse	78	75	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.02	-7	0	-7	15.1	12.8	2.32	12.3	14.3	-1.99
Daniel Gafford	47	48	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.01	-15	8	-23	15.6	13.5	2.09	12.1	13.6	-1.50
Max Christie	106	103	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.24	-7	0	-7	14.5	12.7	1.81	12.9	14.0	-1.12
P.J. Washington	105	104	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.27	-9	2	-11	14.8	10.3	4.50	13.4	9.2	4.22
Naji Marshall	116	112	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.29	-9	2	-11	14.5	0.0	14.49	13.0	11.7	1.37
Cooper Flagg	111	109	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.26	-12	5	-17	14.8	6.8	7.94	13.1	10.7	2.46
Klay Thompson	92	92	-0.75	0.25	-1.00	-0.34	-14	7	-21	14.8	12.6	2.25	12.9	13.3	-0.33
Ryan Nembhard	92	90	-1.32	0.82	-2.14	-0.61	-24	17	-41	15.5	10.1	5.45	13.2	12.2	1.02

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Filipowski	84	87	0.85	-0.35	1.20	0.20	22	-15	37	13.1	12.8	0.31	15.1	12.2	2.91
Keyonte George	103	106	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.33	8	-1	9	13.4	9.5	3.91	14.8	10.1	4.72
Lauri Markkanen	115	117	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.29	7	0	7	13.0	0.0	13.00	14.4	0.0	14.37
Cody Williams	91	93	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.27	6	1	5	13.1	12.7	0.32	14.0	15.7	-1.63
Walter Clayton Jr.	42	43	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.15	10	-3	13	11.8	13.7	-1.88	15.7	13.6	2.14
Ace Bailey	88	90	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.11	3	4	-1	12.8	13.7	-0.87	13.8	16.3	-2.56
Taylor Hendricks	90	89	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.03	4	3	1	12.3	15.4	-3.12	14.6	13.5	1.09
Isaiah Collier	107	108	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.08	0	7	-7	12.6	18.9	-6.31	14.2	16.8	-2.61
Brice Sensabaugh	73	75	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	-0.26	5	2	3	12.6	13.7	-1.16	14.4	14.3	0.16
Kyle Anderson	72	74	-0.26	0.76	-1.01	-0.08	-6	13	-19	12.6	13.7	-1.15	13.3	16.2	-2.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.61,0.66,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.58,0.53,0.52,0.41,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.33,0.36,0.3,0.29,0.35,0.23,0.38,0.33,0.19,0.25,0.22,0.15,0.21,0.29,0.32,0.41,0.2,0.22,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.58,0.5,0.81,0.9,0.86,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 115, MIL 119	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.39,0.33,0.28,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.1,0.13,0.21,0.33,0.37,0.21,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.14,0.59,0.54,0.69,0.72,0.67,0.98,1	90.5%
NJN 88, DET 96	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.51,0.48,0.39,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.25,0.28,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.1,0.08,0.15,0.17,0.18,0.14,0.2,0.22,0.24,0.37,0.43,0.73,0.46,0.74,0.84,0.78,1,1	89.1%
PHX 106, SAS 111	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.4,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.37,0.28,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.38,0.44,0.33,0.4,0.3,0.22,0.34,0.33,0.19,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.16,0.54,0.69,0.63,0.9,0.98,1	89.0%