NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	127		Excitement	9.3 [102]		MVP	Rudy Gobert (MIN): +50.4%
Golden State Warriors	120		Comeback	3.6 [223]		LVP	Brandin Podziemski (GSW): -11.8%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rudy Gobert	0.50	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.28,0.36,0.5,0.5	0.21	0.30	0.00	13	83%	0.50	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Donte DiVincenzo	0.28	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.18,0.28	0.11	0.22	0.05	15	62%	0.28	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Naz Reid	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.01	0.00	14	60%	0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.04
Bones Hyland	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	1	150%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Shannon Jr.	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.04	-0.00	7	50%	0.07	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
Jaylen Clark	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	-0.00	-0.05	3	25%	0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Rob Dillingham	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.02	-0.00	7	43%	0.06	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Jaden McDaniels	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.01	-0.06	0.02	15	55%	0.01	3	-0.08	1	0%	-0.01
Julius Randle	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	0.11	-0.17	0.04	14	67%	0.17	3	-0.28	12	92%	0.02

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Curry	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0,0.04,0.18,0.33,0.33,0.22	0.22	0.18	0.11	0.07	28	62%	0.28	2	-0.05	7	71%	-0.05
Moses Moody	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.04	0.15	-0.02	10	52%	0.21	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Trayce Jackson-Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.01	4	80%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jimmy Butler III	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	11	58%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.03
De'Anthony Melton	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.04	-0.00	6	50%	0.07	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.03
Buddy Hield	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	4	75%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Gui Santos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton II	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Quinten Post	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.02	-0.08	-0.02	15	50%	0.00	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Pat Spencer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.05	-0.02	13	46%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Brandin Podziemski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	1.3	31.0	14.4	28.1	1.3	40.1	141.6
league avg	26.3	2.0	28.9	14.3	29.6	2.2	32.8	136.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +57.5%

GSW -8.3%

MIN +10.3%

GSW -11.5%

MIN +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	GSW	NBA	MIN	GSW	NBA
this game	12.5	15.3	14.2	122.1	116.5	113.5
season	13.9	14.7		115.5	113.1
opponent	13.6	14.1		111.7	111.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	13.2	12.7	12.8	11.4	12.5
GSW	16.8	14.0	15.4	15.3	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Donte DiVincenzo	77	77	0.74	-0.24	0.99	0.28	16	-9	25	12.5	12.4	0.14	15.2	15.8	-0.64
Rudy Gobert	95	96	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.40	8	-1	9	12.6	11.3	1.29	15.2	16.6	-1.33
Julius Randle	104	103	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.29	7	0	7	12.5	0.0	12.51	15.3	0.0	15.33
Jaden McDaniels	102	102	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.27	7	0	7	12.7	4.5	8.17	15.3	20.0	-4.72
Naz Reid	97	96	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.27	6	1	5	12.4	13.9	-1.44	15.4	13.7	1.73
Terrence Shannon Jr.	96	95	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.33	4	3	1	12.5	12.1	0.42	15.5	12.9	2.66
Rob Dillingham	77	78	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.06	5	2	3	12.9	11.3	1.64	16.1	12.9	3.18
Bones Hyland	8	9	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.03	2	5	-3	17.9	12.1	5.81	17.3	15.1	2.20
Jaylen Clark	77	76	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.03	-3	10	-13	12.9	11.4	1.49	15.4	15.3	0.10

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Buddy Hield	56	56	0.14	-0.64	0.78	0.02	4	-11	15	14.9	15.8	-0.84	13.0	11.9	1.14
Gary Payton II	24	23	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.02	-1	-6	5	16.8	14.9	1.96	13.4	12.2	1.19
Trayce Jackson-Davis	86	85	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.18	-5	-2	-3	15.9	12.6	3.21	13.0	10.2	2.81
Jimmy Butler III	96	97	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.27	-6	-1	-5	15.4	13.7	1.73	12.4	13.9	-1.44
Quinten Post	101	101	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.35	-4	-3	-1	15.4	13.5	1.87	12.8	3.0	9.79
Stephen Curry	95	95	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.33	-5	-2	-3	15.1	18.6	-3.57	12.6	11.1	1.53
De'Anthony Melton	75	76	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.26	-8	1	-9	15.4	15.1	0.31	12.8	11.6	1.19
Moses Moody	75	76	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.21	-10	3	-13	15.8	14.2	1.58	12.6	12.3	0.26
Gui Santos	33	32	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.20	-11	4	-15	16.0	15.0	1.03	12.0	12.7	-0.74
Pat Spencer	68	68	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.21	-15	8	-23	15.5	14.9	0.63	12.8	11.9	0.91
Brandin Podziemski	87	87	-0.75	0.25	-1.00	-0.37	-13	6	-19	15.3	15.3	0.02	12.4	12.9	-0.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.37,0.42,0.6,0.55,0.61,0.38,0.31,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.57,0.38,0.23,0.21,0.04,0.05,0.14,0.36,0.69,0.25,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 89, NOH 86	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.5,0.4,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.52,0.48,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.24,0.27,0.14,0.36,0.55,0.43,0	90.8%
PHI 107, CHA 105	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.4,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.42,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.46,0.57,0.48,0.38,0.12,0.17,0.29,0.33,0.19,0.45,0.45,0.16,0	90.2%
DET 88, LAC 87	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.48,0.49,0.61,0.55,0.42,0.52,0.48,0.59,0.56,0.48,0.46,0.38,0.43,0.38,0.27,0.14,0.12,0.17,0.31,0.37,0.53,0.15,0	89.9%