NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	111		Excitement	9.2 [143]		MVP	Jamal Cain (ORL): +19.7%
Orlando Magic	115		Comeback	1.5 [603]		LVP	Dillon Brooks (PHX): -18.8%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devin Booker	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.09,0,0.02	0.14	-0.08	0.04	16	67%	0.17	4	-0.14	19	84%	0.04
Royce O'Neale	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.08,0,0	0.10	-0.10	-0.00	8	78%	0.11	1	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Khaman Maluach	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Grayson Allen	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.08	0.03	-0.03	14	36%	0.05	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Collin Gillespie	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.04	-0.01	8	65%	0.05	2	-0.07	1	100%	-0.00
Oso Ighodaro	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	2	83%	0.03	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Jordan Goodwin	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	8	43%	-0.03	2	-0.05	5	60%	-0.04
Rasheer Fleming	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	9	50%	0.01	2	-0.08	4	50%	-0.02
Jalen Green	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.11	-0.01	-0.03	10	36%	-0.03	4	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Dillon Brooks	-0.19	0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.02,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19	-0.06	-0.17	-0.05	13	35%	-0.17	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Cain	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.12	0.07	-0.01	5	100%	0.20	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jett Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.02	-0.00	6	86%	0.13	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jalen Suggs	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.06	-0.02	11	71%	0.24	6	-0.15	6	100%	0.08
Moritz Wagner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Goga Bitadze	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Paolo Banchero	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	14	51%	0.09	4	-0.12	9	67%	-0.03
Tristan da Silva	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.07	-0.02	11	36%	-0.08	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Jevon Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.11	-0.01	-0.03	6	0%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Desmond Bane	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13	-0.13	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	16	52%	0.06	5	-0.19	8	87%	0.01
Wendell Carter Jr.	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.01	-0.15	0.01	7	71%	0.09	6	-0.27	7	86%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.0	1.7	41.9	14.6	30.7	1.8	36.0	156.6
league avg	26.4	1.9	29.1	14.2	29.7	2.2	32.8	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +27.7%

ORL +22.5%

ORL +14.5%

PHX -15.8%

ORL +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	ORL	NBA	PHX	ORL	NBA
this game	12.8	12.9	14.2	98.2	103.6	113.7
season	14.4	14.1		112.9	113.3
opponent	14.1	14.5		112.4	111.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	13.7	12.1	11.6	13.6	12.8
ORL	11.7	10.8	15.6	14.1	12.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rasheer Fleming	59	61	0.18	-0.68	0.87	-0.11	10	-14	24	12.4	13.1	-0.71	13.9	11.7	2.24
Jalen Green	53	53	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.03	-3	-1	-2	12.1	13.3	-1.22	11.9	13.8	-1.92
Dillon Brooks	63	64	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.27	-7	3	-10	12.9	12.5	0.40	12.2	13.9	-1.67
Grayson Allen	112	111	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.38	-4	0	-4	12.9	1.0	11.87	12.9	0.0	12.91
Royce O'Neale	113	111	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.38	-4	0	-4	12.8	0.0	12.76	12.9	0.0	12.91
Jordan Goodwin	112	111	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.38	-4	0	-4	12.9	1.0	11.87	12.9	0.0	12.91
Oso Ighodaro	99	99	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.39	-7	3	-10	13.0	10.9	2.17	12.6	15.4	-2.81
Devin Booker	107	106	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.26	-12	8	-20	12.7	13.8	-1.13	12.8	14.6	-1.77
Collin Gillespie	98	97	-0.67	0.17	-0.85	-0.38	-10	6	-16	13.1	10.3	2.88	12.2	17.6	-5.33
Khaman Maluach	47	47	-0.78	0.28	-1.05	-0.19	-20	16	-36	13.9	11.9	2.01	12.7	13.0	-0.29

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jalen Suggs	99	101	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.31	16	-12	28	12.7	15.0	-2.34	12.8	12.5	0.29
Paolo Banchero	100	102	0.74	-0.24	0.99	0.30	15	-11	26	12.9	13.2	-0.30	12.7	13.4	-0.67
Tristan da Silva	62	65	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.35	5	-1	6	13.4	12.3	1.08	13.0	12.4	0.63
Desmond Bane	111	113	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.38	4	0	4	12.9	0.0	12.91	12.8	0.0	12.76
Wendell Carter Jr.	82	84	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.37	4	0	4	12.9	12.8	0.11	12.7	12.9	-0.18
Goga Bitadze	80	82	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	4	-4	13.1	12.4	0.68	12.5	13.5	-0.95
Moritz Wagner	13	13	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.01	-2	6	-8	10.2	13.3	-3.03	11.8	12.9	-1.03
Jamal Cain	91	92	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	-0.02	-2	6	-8	13.0	12.4	0.56	12.6	13.6	-1.00
Jett Howard	91	92	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	-0.02	-2	6	-8	13.0	12.4	0.56	12.6	13.6	-1.00
Jevon Carter	75	75	-0.33	0.83	-1.17	-0.01	-11	15	-26	13.7	11.3	2.33	12.5	13.3	-0.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.59,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.78,0.74,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.58,0.63,0.75,0.74,0.81,0.75,0.78,0.86,0.76,0.74,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.71,0.67,0.79,0.5,0.48,0.53,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.61,0.63,0.86,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 83, BOS 90	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.66,0.72,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.69,0.76,0.81,0.77,0.74,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.78,0.62,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.47,0.47,0.29,0.54,0.61,0.72,0.9,0.99,1	92.3%
SEA 88, NOH 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.59,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.7,0.69,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.74,0.71,0.69,0.71,0.74,0.81,0.82,0.77,0.83,0.84,0.8,0.74,0.68,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.55,0.65,0.68,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.53,0.47,0.78,0.76,0.9,1	91.9%
GSW 108, HOU 116	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.55,0.58,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.66,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.77,0.82,0.84,0.77,0.75,0.7,0.69,0.6,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.72,0.62,0.59,0.69,0.71,0.71,0.54,0.62,0.43,0.37,0.44,0.37,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.64,0.86,0.99,1	91.9%