NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	110		Excitement	11.4 [25]		MVP	Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (OKC): +40.2%
Oklahoma City Thunder	114		Comeback	8.8 [271]		LVP	Daniss Jenkins (DET): -60.7%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Reed	0.16	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.16	0.04	0.14	0.02	13	62%	0.23	3	-0.08	8	75%	0.04
Kevin Huerter	0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.16,0.16,0.15	0.04	0.11	-0.01	16	52%	0.22	1	-0.06	1	0%	-0.02
Javonte Green	0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.28,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.15	-0.04	0.02	12	73%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Marcus Sasser	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.00	9	60%	0.11	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.05
Caris LeVert	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	11	45%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ausar Thompson	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.04	2	-0.08	6	33%	-0.06
Tolu Smith	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	40%	0.00	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Chaz Lanier	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	4	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Holland II	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.17,-0.17	-0.06	-0.11	-0.00	7	29%	-0.13	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Daniss Jenkins	-0.61	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.24,-0.57,-0.57,-0.57,-0.61,-0.61,-0.61	-0.10	-0.50	0.00	17	44%	-0.26	5	-0.35	0	0%	0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.27,0.2,0.19,0.27,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.4	0.40	0.29	0.14	0.02	19	75%	0.86	4	-0.46	25	84%	0.13
Aaron Wiggins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	-0.00	8	62%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Joe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.05	-0.00	5	60%	0.11	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jared McCain	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.00	5	64%	0.05	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Alex Caruso	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	75%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jaylin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.10	0.10	-0.00	6	25%	0.11	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Ajay Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.05	0.00	10	54%	-0.00	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.03
Kenrich Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luguentz Dort	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Cason Wallace	0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.04	0.01	9	50%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chet Holmgren	0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.07	-0.00	11	59%	0.03	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	27.7	0.1	30.7	14.4	30.9	1.3	42.1	2.5	21.4	171.1
league avg	26.4	1.9	29.1	14.2	29.7	2.2	32.8	2.2	16.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +56.9%

OKC +43.0%

DET -30.1%

DET -15.8%

DET -4.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	OKC	NBA	DET	OKC	NBA
this game	14.7	15.2	14.2	104.8	106.5	113.7
season	14.1	13.8		115.6	116.9
opponent	14.6	14.3		105.3	108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
DET	16.4	13.6	14.0	15.0	14.9	14.7
OKC	14.1	13.6	15.4	17.9	16.3	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ausar Thompson	83	85	0.43	-0.93	1.35	0.13	10	-14	24	14.1	17.0	-2.83	15.7	13.5	2.25
Tolu Smith	86	88	0.41	-0.91	1.32	0.17	8	-12	20	14.6	15.2	-0.54	15.2	15.4	-0.15
Marcus Sasser	85	88	0.38	-0.88	1.27	0.15	8	-12	20	14.8	14.4	0.39	15.2	15.4	-0.15
Chaz Lanier	73	75	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.09	-5	1	-6	14.8	14.5	0.31	14.3	17.4	-3.04
Paul Reed	81	82	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.39	2	-6	8	14.6	15.0	-0.42	15.7	13.8	1.83
Javonte Green	92	95	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.42	2	-6	8	14.6	15.4	-0.77	15.9	10.2	5.72
Caris LeVert	100	102	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.28	-4	0	-4	15.0	8.2	6.84	15.7	6.6	9.07
Ronald Holland II	100	102	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.28	-4	0	-4	15.0	8.2	6.84	15.7	6.6	9.07
Daniss Jenkins	87	89	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.38	-1	-3	2	14.4	16.4	-2.09	15.8	12.7	3.03
Kevin Huerter	90	93	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.37	-4	0	-4	14.4	16.5	-2.12	15.5	13.4	2.17

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jared McCain	84	82	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.43	9	-5	14	14.7	17.1	-2.40	14.8	14.5	0.25
Alex Caruso	90	88	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.33	6	-2	8	15.4	14.6	0.78	15.4	11.1	4.36
Cason Wallace	81	78	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.47	1	3	-2	16.0	13.0	3.01	14.3	15.9	-1.53
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	107	105	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.38	4	0	4	15.2	0.0	15.24	14.7	0.0	14.71
Ajay Mitchell	90	89	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.32	5	-1	6	15.6	13.2	2.39	14.9	13.9	0.99
Jaylin Williams	104	102	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.34	4	0	4	15.5	7.0	8.48	14.9	7.3	7.60
Kenrich Williams	14	14	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.01	1	3	-2	11.1	15.9	-4.80	13.6	14.9	-1.24
Luguentz Dort	78	76	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.21	-8	12	-20	16.0	13.1	2.89	14.4	15.4	-0.97
Chet Holmgren	70	70	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.09	-6	10	-16	15.9	14.0	1.86	14.4	15.4	-1.03
Aaron Wiggins	61	61	-0.35	0.85	-1.21	-0.15	-7	11	-18	15.8	14.5	1.30	14.9	14.5	0.33
Isaiah Joe	66	65	-0.55	1.05	-1.59	-0.13	-14	18	-32	15.7	14.5	1.18	13.9	16.0	-2.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.73,0.77,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.7,0.78,0.69,0.63,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.65,0.71,0.72,0.74,0.7,0.79,0.7,0.74,0.78,0.57,0.58,0.41,0.59,0.27,0.1,0.22,0.31,0.53,0.5,0.61,0.84,0.66,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 96, NYK 98	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.75,0.71,0.65,0.7,0.61,0.64,0.74,0.82,0.84,0.75,0.68,0.6,0.52,0.55,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.78,0.8,0.77,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.73,0.64,0.55,0.27,0.38,0.36,0.41,0.42,0.54,0.61,0.79,0.77,0.92,1	91.3%
WAS 103, MEM 112	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.8,0.79,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.61,0.69,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.61,0.58,0.48,0.65,0.7,0.6,0.64,0.54,0.48,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.17,0.1,0.21,0.2,0.42,0.46,0.69,0.93,0.98,1,1	89.4%
UTA 93, LAC 102	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.73,0.65,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.77,0.84,0.78,0.81,0.7,0.71,0.62,0.47,0.41,0.41,0.28,0.19,0.29,0.22,0.15,0.46,0.61,0.79,0.97,1,1	89.2%