inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Golden State Warriors 137 Excitement10.7 [46] MVPMax Christie (DAL): +34.6%
Dallas Mavericks 131 Comeback5.2 [314] LVPDraymond Green (GSW): -52.8%


Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Gary Payton II0.340,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.340.180.170.008100%0.3400.0010%-0.02
LJ Cryer0.180,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.150.040.017100%0.1800.0000%0.00
Gui Santos0.170,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.170.020.16-0.001057%0.243-0.07875%0.00
Will Richard0.160,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.150.030.025120%0.1600.0000%0.00
Brandin Podziemski0.120,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.050.100.021562%0.213-0.082100%0.03
Moses Moody-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.13,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.030.03-0.07-0.012052%0.032-0.06475%-0.02
Pat Spencer-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.02-0.030.00250%-0.001-0.0500%0.00
Kristaps Porzi??is-0.080,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.080.04-0.14-0.031754%-0.002-0.07786%-0.01
De'Anthony Melton-0.320,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.24,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32-0.24-0.09-0.0160%-0.127-0.2000%0.00
Draymond Green-0.530,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.53,-0.53,-0.53,-0.53,-0.53,-0.53-0.12-0.41-0.001146%0.016-0.54250%-0.00

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Max Christie0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.350.350.130.230.01894%0.371-0.0300%0.00
Daniel Gafford0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.210.210.160.050.01883%0.2100.00850%-0.05
Klay Thompson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.100.010.001075%0.151-0.0400%0.00
John Poulakidas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.090.01-0.00590%0.1000.0000%0.00
Marvin Bagley III0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.060.010.00482%0.101-0.03367%-0.00
P.J. Washington0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.00-0.01847%0.0300.00333%-0.02
Cooper Flagg0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.020.020.08-0.060.011973%0.317-0.306100%0.05
Tyler Smith00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Khris Middleton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.030.00-0.00333%0.011-0.0400%0.00
Ryan Nembhard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.08-0.040.00729%-0.062-0.0600%0.00
Naji Marshall0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.38,-0.38,-0.38,-0.4,-0.4,-0.4-0.40-0.12-0.30-0.011553%-0.078-0.3400%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game24.40.237.814.526.80.040.20.023.80.0
league avg26.41.929.114.229.72.232.82.216.6136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL -36.9%
GSW +28.3%
GSW +85.2%
DAL -18.4%
DAL -8.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsGSWDALNBAGSWDALNBA
this game14.013.814.2119.1114.9113.7
season14.713.9112.5109.6
opponent14.013.8115.0113.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
GSW13.113.814.313.916.214.0
DAL15.012.915.112.912.213.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
LJ Cryer95970.79-0.291.090.5010-41414.013.60.4414.211.42.83
Gary Payton II1141140.59-0.090.670.358-21014.10.014.0913.80.013.76
Kristaps Porzi??is1131130.57-0.070.640.338-21014.010.04.0413.85.08.84
Brandin Podziemski1121110.53-0.030.570.279-31213.915.7-1.7513.98.75.23
Gui Santos1091090.52-0.020.540.317-1814.012.81.1913.714.2-0.46
Moses Moody1101090.500.000.490.297-1814.110.43.7314.07.66.45
Pat Spencer90910.310.190.120.1942213.814.5-0.7114.012.71.39
Draymond Green98970.270.230.030.41-511-1613.914.5-0.6613.813.70.07
De'Anthony Melton71690.210.29-0.090.2106-613.814.3-0.5314.612.52.03
Will Richard5051-0.040.54-0.590.07-410-1413.714.2-0.5415.112.72.45

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
P.J. Washington86880.28-0.781.06-0.0411-172814.013.10.8713.615.1-1.55
Marvin Bagley III84870.07-0.570.63-0.085-111614.511.62.9413.714.6-0.90
John Poulakidas2728-0.05-0.450.40-0.174-101413.613.8-0.2713.314.2-0.90
Tyler Smith3637-0.17-0.330.150.03-71-816.112.73.4313.214.3-1.14
Cooper Flagg9899-0.20-0.300.10-0.355-111613.813.70.0213.914.2-0.33
Daniel Gafford9391-0.25-0.25-0.00-0.250-6613.813.70.0613.914.3-0.47
Naji Marshall9596-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.311-7813.813.70.0913.914.4-0.55
Max Christie100101-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.300-6613.813.50.3014.014.1-0.12
Ryan Nembhard8383-0.48-0.02-0.46-0.24-82-1014.312.41.9313.714.6-0.91
Khris Middleton6261-0.530.03-0.56-0.09-159-2415.012.22.7813.314.7-1.43
Klay Thompson114114-0.580.08-0.66-0.34-82-1013.80.013.7614.10.014.09


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.43,0.53,0.64,0.69,0.56,0.58,0.68,0.68,0.76,0.84,0.75,0.67,0.78,0.79,0.69,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.77,0.78,0.69,0.7,0.6,0.6,0.5,0.15,0.14,0.17,0.32,0.24,0.29,0.06,0.1,0.15,0.17,0.42,0.5,0.2,0.07,0.03,0.02,0
GameSimilarity Score
HOU 117, MEM 1110.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.6,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.73,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.84,0.83,0.73,0.7,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.62,0.52,0.6,0.68,0.58,0.48,0.53,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.29,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.23,0.42,0.54,0.36,0.11,0.09,0.09,088.7%
NJN 106, LAC 950.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.61,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.52,0.44,0.46,0.26,0.43,0.57,0.53,0.42,0.35,0.17,0.07,0.15,0.33,0.58,0.54,0.39,0.45,0.03,0,086.8%
SEA 99, MIN 980.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.59,0.64,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.66,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.64,0.56,0.49,0.64,0.64,0.54,0.68,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.8,0.77,0.88,0.79,0.7,0.6,0.54,0.43,0.38,0.29,0.19,0.17,0.15,0.27,0.2,0.28,0.15,0.26,0.46,0.55,0.21,0.15,0.08,086.6%