NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	111		Excitement	7.5 [336]		MVP	DeMar DeRozan (SAC): +23.1%
Sacramento Kings	116		Comeback	1.6 [647]		LVP	Daeqwon Plowden (SAC): -12.8%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cody Williams	0.19	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.28,0.2,0.19	0.17	0.01	-0.01	20	71%	0.27	3	-0.07	8	87%	0.04
Blake Hinson	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.05	-0.00	4	70%	0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Oscar Tshiebwe	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	0.00	5	56%	0.06	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.04
Brice Sensabaugh	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.02	17	61%	0.11	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Elijah Harkless	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.02,0.02,-0.03	0.02	-0.05	0.00	10	57%	0.08	2	-0.11	3	100%	0.02
Isaiah Collier	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	21	46%	0.01	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.01
Bez Mbeng	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.03	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Andersson Garcia	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.01	0.00	7	21%	-0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.24,0.29,0.27,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.32,0.3,0.35,0.33,0.24,0.23	0.23	0.12	0.13	0.02	21	65%	0.43	5	-0.20	21	86%	0.10
Precious Achiuwa	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.08	0.14	-0.01	15	67%	0.27	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Killian Hayes	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.07	0.05	-0.00	9	80%	0.20	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Doug McDermott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.04	-0.01	8	56%	0.10	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dylan Cardwell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Nique Clifford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	9	53%	0.04	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Maxime Raynaud	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	8	50%	0.04	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Daeqwon Plowden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.03	0.01	14	33%	-0.07	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	0.1	28.5	0.0	27.7	0.0	32.8	0.0
league avg	26.4	1.9	29.1	14.2	29.7	2.2	32.8	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +28.1%

SAC +16.0%

SAC +12.8%

UTA -8.3%

SAC +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	SAC	NBA	UTA	SAC	NBA
this game	12.7	14.8	14.2	104.7	112.6	113.7
season	13.9	14.4		111.5	109.1
opponent	14.1	13.7		119.3	119.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	12.7	13.7	12.2	12.2	12.7
SAC	14.8	14.0	15.0	15.5	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Blake Hinson	73	71	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.02	4	-9	13	13.0	12.0	1.07	14.5	15.5	-0.95
Oscar Tshiebwe	96	94	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.40	2	-7	9	12.8	12.1	0.67	14.7	16.4	-1.75
Andersson Garcia	106	103	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.35	-5	0	-5	12.7	0.0	12.71	14.8	0.0	14.84
Isaiah Collier	58	57	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.10	-15	10	-25	13.5	11.7	1.79	13.0	17.2	-4.17
Elijah Harkless	101	98	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.31	-8	3	-11	12.6	14.0	-1.36	14.4	23.0	-8.57
Bez Mbeng	101	98	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.31	-8	3	-11	12.6	14.0	-1.36	14.4	23.0	-8.57
Brice Sensabaugh	75	72	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.11	-16	11	-27	13.1	11.8	1.27	13.6	17.7	-4.05
Cody Williams	100	98	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	-0.39	-8	3	-11	13.1	6.8	6.23	14.8	15.2	-0.37

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeMar DeRozan	91	94	0.74	-0.24	0.97	0.35	13	-8	21	14.2	19.8	-5.65	12.9	10.8	2.11
Killian Hayes	98	101	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.31	8	-3	11	14.4	23.0	-8.57	12.6	14.0	-1.36
Maxime Raynaud	76	79	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.37	6	-1	7	14.0	17.3	-3.32	13.0	11.7	1.30
Daeqwon Plowden	103	106	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.35	5	0	5	14.8	0.0	14.84	12.7	0.0	12.71
Precious Achiuwa	103	106	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.35	5	0	5	14.8	0.0	14.84	12.7	0.0	12.71
Nique Clifford	83	87	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.23	7	-2	9	14.6	15.7	-1.12	13.2	10.5	2.66
Dylan Cardwell	84	88	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.09	7	-2	9	14.2	17.5	-3.29	12.7	12.6	0.18
Doug McDermott	86	88	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.23	-4	9	-13	14.5	16.8	-2.30	13.0	11.1	1.99

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.44,0.51,0.61,0.63,0.58,0.63,0.75,0.83,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.76,0.74,0.67,0.68,0.54,0.7,0.88,0.79,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.93,0.97,0.85,0.78,0.9,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 100, MIL 107	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.54,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.67,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.77,0.81,0.76,0.74,0.75,0.62,0.74,0.85,0.76,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1	93.0%
NYK 70, PHI 74	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.39,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.74,0.68,0.73,0.69,0.7,0.64,0.58,0.74,0.85,0.83,0.91,0.89,0.8,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.95,1	92.8%
MIL 90, NYK 108	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.77,0.79,0.86,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	92.8%