NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	105		Excitement	7.7 [288]		MVP	Collin Sexton (CHI): +15.8%
Phoenix Suns	103		Comeback	1.0 [195]		LVP	Jalen Green (PHX): -43.2%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Collin Sexton	0.16	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16	0.15	0.03	0.02	19	65%	0.19	1	-0.03	8	75%	0.00
Tre Jones	0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.14,0.15	0.10	0.05	-0.00	15	64%	0.21	1	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01
Guerschon Yabusele	0.08	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.08	0.02	0.04	-0.02	15	50%	0.11	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Nick Richards	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	2	64%	0.06	2	-0.05	10	50%	-0.08
Yuki Kawamura	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Leonard Miller	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	9	40%	-0.00	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Lachlan Olbrich	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	6	33%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rob Dillingham	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	12	46%	-0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Isaac Okoro	-0.21	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.21	-0.05	-0.17	-0.01	7	43%	0.01	2	-0.21	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Amir Coffey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.11,0.15	0.15	0.10	0.04	-0.01	4	80%	0.15	0	0.00	7	57%	-0.05
Oso Ighodaro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.02	0.00	5	91%	0.11	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Devin Booker	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.03	0.02	21	55%	0.15	4	-0.12	7	100%	0.04
Rasheer Fleming	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.01	0.01	3	62%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Grayson Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.04,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.03	-0.01	19	50%	0.05	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Collin Gillespie	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	6	36%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Ryan Dunn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	0.01	7	43%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Royce O'Neale	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	6	25%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Khaman Maluach	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	1	50%	0.00	4	-0.11	2	0%	-0.02
Jalen Green	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.14,-0.13,-0.16,-0.14,-0.2,-0.43	-0.43	-0.13	-0.29	0.00	20	29%	-0.41	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.9	2.7	27.5	15.4	33.4	2.2	36.0	141.1
league avg	26.4	1.9	29.0	14.3	29.7	2.2	32.8	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +56.2%

PHX -4.3%

CHI +8.3%

PHX -16.0%

CHI +5.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	PHX	NBA	CHI	PHX	NBA
this game	13.6	14.1	14.2	100.0	100.0	113.4
season	13.6	14.4		111.5	112.6
opponent	14.6	14.2		111.5	116.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	12.9	14.3	13.4	13.6	13.6
PHX	15.8	13.9	12.3	14.6	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Richards	103	101	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.46	5	-3	8	13.4	22.0	-8.61	14.3	3.5	10.82
Collin Sexton	90	88	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.33	8	-6	14	13.5	14.1	-0.68	14.6	11.3	3.25
Leonard Miller	88	87	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.18	12	-10	22	13.4	14.4	-0.96	14.6	11.3	3.31
Tre Jones	105	103	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.44	2	0	2	13.6	0.0	13.55	14.1	0.0	14.11
Isaac Okoro	91	90	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.32	6	-4	10	13.6	13.4	0.14	14.4	11.9	2.50
Guerschon Yabusele	96	94	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.43	2	0	2	13.6	13.2	0.36	14.6	9.2	5.35
Rob Dillingham	91	90	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.20	9	-7	16	13.9	11.1	2.86	14.4	12.0	2.41
Lachlan Olbrich	63	64	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.00	14	-12	26	13.4	13.7	-0.27	14.8	12.9	1.86
Yuki Kawamura	42	42	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.09	6	-4	10	13.1	13.9	-0.80	15.9	12.9	3.04

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Amir Coffey	42	44	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.38	1	-3	4	14.3	14.0	0.26	13.6	13.5	0.03
Collin Gillespie	80	81	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.08	-9	7	-16	14.1	14.3	-0.20	13.6	13.4	0.18
Rasheer Fleming	71	72	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.02	-12	10	-22	14.1	14.2	-0.07	13.2	14.4	-1.27
Grayson Allen	103	105	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.35	-2	0	-2	14.1	0.0	14.11	13.6	0.0	13.55
Ryan Dunn	103	105	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.35	-2	0	-2	14.1	0.0	14.11	13.6	0.0	13.55
Royce O'Neale	46	46	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.09	-17	15	-32	14.8	13.5	1.30	12.4	14.5	-2.07
Oso Ighodaro	102	104	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.44	0	-2	2	14.2	3.0	11.22	13.5	16.0	-2.47
Khaman Maluach	86	87	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.27	-6	4	-10	14.2	13.4	0.83	13.3	14.6	-1.28
Jalen Green	75	76	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.17	-10	8	-18	14.5	13.1	1.37	13.2	14.6	-1.43
Devin Booker	88	90	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.33	-8	6	-14	14.6	11.3	3.25	13.5	14.1	-0.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.4,0.34,0.31,0.4,0.35,0.3,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.23,0.25,0.37,0.37,0.25,0.31,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.35,0.28,0.34,0.36,0.28,0.26,0.16,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.1,0.05,0.09,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 95, CHI 86	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.28,0.36,0.27,0.29,0.3,0.34,0.29,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.27,0.22,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.29,0.24,0.3,0.26,0.31,0.22,0.13,0.15,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	94.6%
PHX 108, HOU 98	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.38,0.31,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.3,0.24,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.31,0.35,0.31,0.29,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.3,0.38,0.23,0.3,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.31,0.37,0.33,0.29,0.1,0.05,0.12,0.05,0.12,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	94.5%
MIN 108, WAS 100	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.32,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.35,0.26,0.34,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.3,0.3,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.3,0.25,0.19,0.23,0.25,0.29,0.27,0.24,0.22,0.28,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.18,0.12,0.11,0.17,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.01,0	94.5%