NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	98		Excitement	1.7 [552]		MVP	Neemias Queta (BOS): +16.5%
Boston Celtics	114		Comeback	2.2 [907]		LVP	Kelly Oubre Jr. (PHI): -12.0%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dominick Barlow	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	-0.00	0.01	7	64%	0.08	1	-0.02	8	75%	-0.00
Trendon Watford	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Drummond	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.00	-0.00	5	77%	0.09	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
VJ Edgecombe	0.02	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.01	21	51%	0.08	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Quentin Grimes	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.01	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cameron Payne	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrese Maxey	-0.01	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.01	34	45%	-0.01	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Adem Bona	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.01	4	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kelly Oubre Jr.	-0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.04	-0.02	10	20%	-0.11	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Neemias Queta	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.20	0.02	0.05	14	71%	0.17	0	0.00	10	70%	-0.01
Derrick White	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0.02,0,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.00	-0.04	16	58%	0.17	4	-0.10	4	100%	0.02
Nikola Vu?evi?	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	9	61%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	0.01	17	66%	0.17	5	-0.11	7	100%	0.02
Jordan Walsh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.01	6	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Hauser	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	11	36%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hugo Gonz�lez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Baylor Scheierman	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0.03	12	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Payton Pritchard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	4	0%	-0.07	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.6	0.0	32.5	0.0	27.8	0.0	36.2	0.0
league avg	26.5	1.9	29.2	14.2	29.9	2.1	32.8	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +40.6%

BOS +0.2%

BOS +26.3%

PHI -18.1%

BOS +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	BOS	NBA	PHI	BOS	NBA
this game	14.5	16.8	14.2	105.4	125.3	113.4
season	14.5	15.5		112.7	118.4
opponent	14.4	14.1		110.6	113.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	14.1	15.8	12.0	16.5	14.5
BOS	17.8	13.0	16.8	20.5	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cameron Payne	9	9	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.07	-7	-9	2	16.9	14.3	2.60	15.0	17.0	-1.95
Trendon Watford	63	62	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.16	-3	-13	10	14.7	14.2	0.50	17.4	15.5	1.87
Quentin Grimes	77	75	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.02	-9	-7	-2	14.4	15.2	-0.86	17.8	11.8	6.00
Adem Bona	66	67	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.07	-9	-7	-2	14.6	14.3	0.34	16.9	16.5	0.35
Dominick Barlow	70	70	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.08	-9	-7	-2	14.2	15.5	-1.25	15.7	20.1	-4.40
VJ Edgecombe	79	78	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.07	-14	-2	-12	14.6	13.9	0.72	16.4	18.8	-2.35
Andre Drummond	93	91	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.03	-16	0	-16	14.5	0.0	14.54	16.8	0.0	16.76
Tyrese Maxey	93	91	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.03	-16	0	-16	14.5	0.0	14.54	16.8	0.0	16.76
Kelly Oubre Jr.	87	86	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.06	-17	1	-18	14.7	11.8	2.89	17.0	12.6	4.40

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Baylor Scheierman	69	71	0.64	-0.14	0.78	-0.00	22	-6	28	16.2	18.6	-2.48	14.9	13.2	1.72
Derrick White	84	85	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.01	18	-2	20	16.3	21.7	-5.37	14.7	12.4	2.37
Jaylen Brown	91	93	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.03	16	0	16	16.8	0.0	16.76	14.5	0.0	14.54
Neemias Queta	88	90	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.04	14	2	12	16.9	12.3	4.58	14.8	7.7	7.10
Payton Pritchard	77	78	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.17	8	8	0	16.9	15.8	1.15	14.5	14.7	-0.23
Sam Hauser	58	58	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.03	12	4	8	18.0	14.6	3.33	14.8	14.1	0.68
Nikola Vu?evi?	72	74	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.21	1	15	-14	16.7	16.8	-0.11	14.7	14.1	0.61
Hugo Gonz�lez	62	61	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.09	0	16	-16	16.4	17.5	-1.11	13.9	15.8	-1.94
Jordan Walsh	56	57	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.05	-1	17	-18	16.9	16.5	0.35	13.6	15.9	-2.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.48,0.4,0.39,0.35,0.33,0.38,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.63,0.63,0.7,0.69,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.89,0.88,0.75,0.78,0.86,0.79,0.9,0.81,0.8,0.86,0.83,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.8,0.93,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.9,0.93,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 102, IND 107	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.37,0.45,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.71,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.87,0.85,0.78,0.8,0.87,0.85,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.76,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.98,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,1	94.4%
MIL 102, CHI 117	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.37,0.43,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.45,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.65,0.68,0.75,0.8,0.8,0.85,0.84,0.8,0.84,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.81,0.84,0.8,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.86,0.92,0.94,0.88,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.3%
NYK 90, LAL 98	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.7,0.73,0.66,0.72,0.67,0.7,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.74,0.8,0.84,0.87,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.84,0.82,0.8,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.95,0.93,0.99,1,1,1	94.3%