NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	111		Excitement	7.4 [335]		MVP	Naz Reid (MIN): +26.3%
Minnesota Timberwolves	122		Comeback	1.1 [918]		LVP	Jaden McDaniels (MIN): -19.4%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyus Jones	0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.04	0.00	10	65%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Bagley III	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.01	0.02	9	68%	0.11	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Klay Thompson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06	-0.01	0.04	-0.03	12	46%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Caleb Martin	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	67%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
AJ Johnson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Naji Marshall	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.08	0.02	-0.03	16	38%	0.06	3	-0.08	7	71%	-0.01
Daniel Gafford	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.01	-0.04	0.02	7	57%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Williams	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	0.02	8	54%	-0.02	2	-0.05	8	62%	-0.05
Khris Middleton	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.01	-0.04	0.04	14	53%	-0.02	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.01
P.J. Washington	-0.15	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15	-0.07	-0.08	0.01	17	33%	-0.15	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.06

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Naz Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.10	0.13	-0.03	14	70%	0.30	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Anthony Edwards	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.21,0.23,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.18	0.12	0.05	30	62%	0.31	3	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.11	0.06	0.02	11	73%	0.19	2	-0.05	8	50%	-0.03
Donte DiVincenzo	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.07	-0.02	0.03	5	90%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Joan Beringer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bones Hyland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ayo Dosunmu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	9	28%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julius Randle	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.14	-0.04	-0.01	15	38%	-0.01	5	-0.16	4	100%	0.02
Jaden McDaniels	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.17	-0.05	-0.03	11	30%	-0.05	6	-0.14	1	0%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.0	2.3	35.0	15.3	29.1	2.2	30.1	142.1
league avg	26.4	1.9	29.0	14.3	29.7	2.2	32.8	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +54.7%

DAL -0.3%

MIN +11.3%

DAL -17.4%

MIN +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	MIN	NBA	DAL	MIN	NBA
this game	13.8	13.2	14.2	104.7	114.0	113.4
season	13.9	13.9		109.3	114.9
opponent	14.1	14.0		111.8	114.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	13.9	12.7	13.2	15.5	13.8
MIN	10.8	14.4	12.5	15.8	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyus Jones	58	57	0.18	-0.68	0.86	-0.14	11	-22	33	14.2	13.2	0.96	13.9	12.5	1.32
AJ Johnson	11	11	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.07	2	-13	15	13.5	13.8	-0.25	13.7	13.2	0.54
Marvin Bagley III	87	87	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.18	0	-11	11	14.2	11.8	2.42	13.8	10.9	2.88
Khris Middleton	87	87	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.16	-2	-9	7	13.6	14.8	-1.24	13.7	11.4	2.21
Brandon Williams	83	84	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.08	-8	-3	-5	13.3	15.5	-2.18	12.5	15.8	-3.29
Caleb Martin	73	72	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.03	-10	-1	-9	13.6	14.1	-0.46	12.4	15.1	-2.70
Naji Marshall	97	98	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.19	-8	-3	-5	13.8	13.8	-0.00	13.6	9.6	4.03
P.J. Washington	99	100	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.16	-10	-1	-9	13.7	14.9	-1.16	13.4	11.3	2.09
Daniel Gafford	97	97	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.11	-13	2	-15	14.0	11.6	2.42	13.2	13.9	-0.72
Klay Thompson	101	101	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.07	-17	6	-23	13.9	10.4	3.54	13.1	15.0	-1.86

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Naz Reid	107	106	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.18	11	0	11	13.2	0.0	13.24	13.8	0.0	13.77
Donte DiVincenzo	94	95	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.14	12	-1	13	13.5	11.5	1.94	14.0	11.6	2.38
Anthony Edwards	100	99	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.21	7	4	3	13.5	9.3	4.23	13.8	13.3	0.52
Rudy Gobert	100	98	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.21	7	4	3	13.5	9.3	4.23	13.7	14.4	-0.65
Julius Randle	84	85	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.16	7	4	3	13.2	13.3	-0.02	14.2	11.9	2.39
Ayo Dosunmu	100	98	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.22	4	7	-3	13.2	13.4	-0.20	14.0	11.2	2.73
Jaden McDaniels	98	98	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.11	8	3	5	13.2	13.3	-0.10	13.7	14.7	-1.06
Bones Hyland	42	42	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.05	3	8	-5	13.5	13.1	0.38	14.9	13.1	1.79
Joan Beringer	10	10	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.09	-4	15	-19	13.5	13.2	0.28	14.0	13.7	0.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.73,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.82,0.83,0.75,0.73,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.59,0.65,0.73,0.7,0.79,0.81,0.87,0.82,0.62,0.77,0.59,0.55,0.78,0.75,0.89,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 97, ATL 105	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.72,0.76,0.77,0.76,0.78,0.8,0.77,0.76,0.74,0.81,0.83,0.86,0.85,0.8,0.8,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.7,0.68,0.78,0.66,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.59,0.53,0.73,0.8,0.93,0.99,1,1	92.8%
SAS 101, PHX 107	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.75,0.8,0.72,0.69,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.78,0.78,0.71,0.74,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.62,0.55,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.6,0.62,0.78,0.75,0.64,0.73,0.59,0.6,0.77,0.81,0.84,0.9,1,1	92.7%
TOR 94, NYK 102	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.6,0.61,0.67,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.78,0.78,0.8,0.82,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.8,0.77,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.72,0.7,0.61,0.71,0.74,0.79,0.7,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.79,0.67,0.77,0.74,0.71,0.61,0.62,0.79,0.95,0.98,1	92.7%