NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	132		Excitement	9.6 [100]		MVP	Donovan Mitchell (CLE): +67.1%
Sacramento Kings	126		Comeback	9.1 [305]		LVP	Russell Westbrook (SAC): -24.6%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donovan Mitchell	0.67	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.32,0.34,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.34,0.3,0.4,0.49,0.67	0.14	0.43	-0.10	24	64%	0.77	3	-0.10	7	100%	0.15
James Harden	0.48	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.24,0.43,0.43,0.48	0.12	0.37	0.01	13	77%	0.56	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.03
Jarrett Allen	0.27	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.24	0.06	0.03	12	91%	0.30	1	-0.03	8	87%	0.05
Thomas Bryant	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	-0.00	0.01	5	83%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Keon Ellis	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nae'Qwan Tomlin	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Craig Porter Jr.	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	3	40%	0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.05
Dennis Schr�der	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	9	37%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Sam Merrill	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	6	14%	-0.09	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jaylon Tyson	-0.17	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.04	-0.11	0.01	8	50%	-0.01	3	-0.16	4	100%	0.01

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nique Clifford	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.42	0.42	0.19	0.22	-0.01	19	75%	0.46	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,0.19	0.19	-0.03	0.19	-0.02	16	37%	0.19	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Devin Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.07	0.10	-0.01	13	58%	0.20	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Dylan Cardwell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.05	0.08	-0.01	9	67%	0.15	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Daeqwon Plowden	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.00	0.02	11	67%	0.11	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Maxime Raynaud	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.02	0.01	8	70%	0.09	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.03
Precious Achiuwa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	3	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Doug McDermott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.15,-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.25	-0.00	14	70%	-0.02	7	-0.23	2	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.6	1.4	27.1	0.0	26.3	0.0	36.1	0.0
league avg	26.4	1.9	29.1	14.2	29.7	2.2	32.8	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +12.6%

CLE +40.3%

SAC -4.8%

CLE +3.5%

SAC -1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	SAC	NBA	CLE	SAC	NBA
this game	13.0	15.0	14.2	128.2	123.5	113.7
season	13.7	14.4		116.9	109.1
opponent	14.1	14.6		119.3	112.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	14.0	14.2	12.6	11.6	13.0
SAC	15.2	15.2	14.7	15.1	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keon Ellis	39	38	0.90	-0.40	1.30	0.31	20	-14	34	12.1	13.6	-1.57	15.3	14.8	0.50
Donovan Mitchell	103	102	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.32	6	0	6	13.0	0.0	13.03	15.0	0.0	15.03
James Harden	95	94	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.38	1	5	-4	13.0	13.4	-0.37	14.9	16.6	-1.73
Sam Merrill	83	81	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.36	1	5	-4	13.0	13.2	-0.21	14.6	16.7	-2.12
Jarrett Allen	88	86	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.41	-2	8	-10	13.0	13.1	-0.04	14.7	16.8	-2.11
Thomas Bryant	67	67	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.04	5	1	4	13.0	13.0	0.04	15.0	15.0	0.00
Dennis Schr�der	71	70	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.01	3	3	0	13.1	12.8	0.36	15.0	15.1	-0.09
Craig Porter Jr.	84	84	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.01	3	3	0	13.4	11.2	2.23	15.0	15.2	-0.17
Nae'Qwan Tomlin	64	66	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.10	0	6	-6	13.3	12.6	0.67	14.9	15.2	-0.26
Jaylon Tyson	79	77	-0.52	1.02	-1.54	-0.14	-13	19	-32	13.6	11.2	2.43	14.5	16.8	-2.35

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Precious Achiuwa	80	80	0.12	-0.62	0.74	0.03	3	-9	12	15.1	14.9	0.15	13.3	12.0	1.33
Maxime Raynaud	64	64	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.06	-2	-4	2	14.7	15.5	-0.79	13.0	13.1	-0.16
Doug McDermott	18	19	-0.28	-0.23	-0.05	0.05	-11	5	-16	14.9	15.0	-0.10	13.0	13.0	-0.04
Devin Carter	98	98	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.24	-3	-3	0	15.2	9.7	5.49	13.3	6.8	6.55
Dylan Cardwell	101	101	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.32	-4	-2	-2	15.0	21.0	-6.03	13.2	6.5	6.66
Daeqwon Plowden	95	97	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.39	-3	-3	0	15.0	16.0	-1.04	12.9	15.7	-2.80
Nique Clifford	102	103	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.32	-6	0	-6	15.0	0.0	15.03	13.0	0.0	13.03
Russell Westbrook	83	83	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	-0.32	-13	7	-20	15.1	14.8	0.29	12.7	14.3	-1.58
DeMar DeRozan	80	81	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	-0.38	-11	5	-16	15.1	14.8	0.27	13.0	13.0	-0.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.52,0.47,0.35,0.37,0.32,0.28,0.34,0.26,0.3,0.39,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.39,0.39,0.55,0.65,0.77,0.73,0.59,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.86,0.72,0.45,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 109, LAL 104	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.53,0.45,0.38,0.29,0.26,0.28,0.39,0.48,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.38,0.37,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.48,0.64,0.58,0.49,0.47,0.58,0.63,0.74,0.6,0.6,0.68,0.54,0.55,0.05,0	88.9%
ORL 93, CLE 87	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.62,0.58,0.52,0.47,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.37,0.32,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.34,0.33,0.37,0.41,0.45,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.68,0.62,0.63,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.27,0.38,0.46,0.33,0.1,0	88.3%
LAL 99, IND 93	0.5,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.21,0.3,0.33,0.37,0.35,0.4,0.51,0.61,0.67,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.67,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.29,0.25,0.54,0.43,0.09,0	88.3%