NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	117		Excitement	9.6 [76]		MVP	Jalen Suggs (ORL): +19.1%
Orlando Magic	120		Comeback	31.1 [83]		LVP	Isaiah Collier (UTA): -35.9%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Love	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.16	0.02	0.01	3	130%	0.17	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Kyle Filipowski	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.02	-0.02	4	69%	0.09	1	-0.00	5	80%	0.00
John Konchar	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.09,0.09	-0.01	0.10	-0.00	4	50%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lauri Markkanen	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	0.01	0.02	21	64%	0.15	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jaren Jackson Jr.	0.01	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.04	-0.00	17	61%	0.09	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Vince Williams Jr.	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cody Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ace Bailey	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.23,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.11	0.08	-0.00	11	42%	0.15	5	-0.18	2	50%	-0.01
Keyonte George	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	0.02	5	38%	-0.04	1	-0.03	3	100%	-0.01
Jusuf Nurki?	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	4	-0.11	2	50%	-0.02
Brice Sensabaugh	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.19	-0.10	-0.09	-0.00	9	20%	-0.19	0	0.00	2	100%	0.05
Isaiah Collier	-0.36	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,-0.36	-0.00	-0.35	0.00	15	61%	0.03	5	-0.39	3	67%	-0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Suggs	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.09,0.09,0.19	0.19	-0.03	0.22	-0.00	11	46%	0.25	2	-0.06	4	50%	0.03
Moritz Wagner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.10	0.09	0.01	8	72%	0.18	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Desmond Bane	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.08,0.12	0.12	0.03	0.09	0.01	14	58%	0.18	3	-0.07	10	80%	-0.00
Noah Penda	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.03	0.00	2	100%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jase Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	1	125%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tristan da Silva	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	6	67%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Black	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	0.00	19	50%	0.06	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Jett Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	40%	0.00	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Wendell Carter Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.03	0.00	3	80%	0.11	2	-0.11	4	100%	0.04
Jonathan Isaac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paolo Banchero	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.07,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.05	-0.12	0.00	17	50%	-0.05	5	-0.13	12	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	1.4	33.2	14.5	31.4	0.0	33.9	0.0
league avg	26.3	2.0	28.9	14.3	29.6	2.2	32.8	136.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA -4.1%

ORL +37.9%

UTA -32.7%

ORL +48.3%

ORL +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	ORL	NBA	UTA	ORL	NBA
this game	12.5	12.2	14.2	100.9	102.6	113.5
season	14.0	14.1		112.5	112.5
opponent	14.1	13.6		112.4	119.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	13.1	11.7	11.5	13.9	12.5
ORL	11.1	11.9	12.5	13.3	12.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jaren Jackson Jr.	89	91	0.28	-0.78	1.06	0.07	7	-10	17	12.1	13.9	-1.74	11.8	13.3	-1.46
Lauri Markkanen	80	83	0.26	-0.76	1.02	0.05	7	-10	17	12.2	13.2	-0.94	11.7	13.2	-1.50
Jusuf Nurki?	70	73	0.18	-0.68	0.85	0.09	3	-6	9	12.1	13.1	-1.02	11.9	12.6	-0.75
Keyonte George	45	47	0.12	-0.62	0.74	0.03	3	-6	9	12.6	12.5	0.06	11.8	12.4	-0.61
Vince Williams Jr.	40	39	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.16	-5	2	-7	11.4	13.1	-1.67	12.8	11.8	0.97
Kevin Love	73	72	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.11	-4	1	-5	12.2	13.1	-0.88	11.8	12.7	-0.91
John Konchar	92	91	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.24	-11	8	-19	12.7	12.0	0.65	12.6	10.5	2.10
Cody Williams	70	69	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.26	-16	13	-29	13.0	11.8	1.11	12.7	11.4	1.31
Brice Sensabaugh	86	88	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.43	0	-3	3	12.3	13.1	-0.83	12.5	11.1	1.42
Isaiah Collier	105	107	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.44	-4	1	-5	12.6	11.7	0.87	12.1	12.5	-0.36
Kyle Filipowski	27	26	-0.78	0.28	-1.06	-0.49	-10	7	-17	13.9	12.1	1.74	13.3	11.8	1.46
Ace Bailey	79	80	-0.79	0.29	-1.07	-0.46	-11	8	-19	13.1	11.3	1.75	12.7	11.1	1.55

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wendell Carter Jr.	99	97	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.40	7	-4	11	12.3	11.7	0.60	12.6	12.1	0.49
Desmond Bane	117	116	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.41	3	0	3	12.2	0.0	12.17	12.5	0.0	12.52
Jalen Suggs	117	116	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.41	3	0	3	12.2	0.0	12.17	12.5	0.0	12.52
Paolo Banchero	108	106	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.48	-3	6	-9	12.2	11.2	1.03	12.6	12.1	0.46
Anthony Black	108	106	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.48	-3	6	-9	12.2	11.2	1.03	12.6	12.1	0.46
Moritz Wagner	82	82	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.08	12	-9	21	12.6	11.1	1.47	12.4	12.8	-0.43
Tristan da Silva	81	82	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.11	10	-7	17	12.3	12.0	0.29	12.2	13.4	-1.22
Noah Penda	74	75	0.04	0.46	-0.43	-0.14	6	-3	9	12.2	12.1	0.16	12.2	13.1	-0.86
Jonathan Isaac	42	41	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.00	0	3	-3	11.8	12.4	-0.64	12.7	12.4	0.33
Jett Howard	19	17	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.01	-4	7	-11	11.9	12.2	-0.33	12.7	12.5	0.22
Jase Richardson	69	67	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	-0.04	-3	6	-9	11.9	12.6	-0.66	12.5	12.6	-0.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.62,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.31,0.33,0.2,0.16,0.22,0.19,0.33,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.28,0.21,0.06,0.11,0.22,0.26,0.21,0.14,0.19,0.32,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.21,0.43,0.27,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 118, DEN 122	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.57,0.53,0.62,0.68,0.64,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.52,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.37,0.34,0.23,0.25,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.24,0.19,0.36,0.35,0.39,0.25,0.28,0.43,0.58,1	90.8%
WAS 94, SAC 95	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.25,0.27,0.26,0.23,0.25,0.24,0.33,0.26,0.2,0.24,0.3,0.37,0.25,0.3,0.19,0.18,0.29,0.37,0.36,0.46,0.4,0.19,0.1,0.2,0.42,1	90.8%
UTA 86, MIL 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.53,0.46,0.4,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.26,0.3,0.24,0.21,0.26,0.29,0.25,0.3,0.22,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.29,0.32,0.17,0.29,0.33,0.38,0.37,0.45,0.58,1	90.5%