NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	99		Excitement	1.5 [767]		MVP	Bobby Portis (MIL): +10.0%
Milwaukee Bucks	105		Comeback	2.0 [461]		LVP	Pascal Siakam (IND): -9.6%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Micah Potter	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.01	-0.01	5	80%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Nesmith	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.02	9	60%	0.09	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
T.J. McConnell	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	0.00	0.03	6	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Nembhard	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.02	0.04	17	54%	0.07	2	-0.06	7	100%	0.02
Jay Huff	-0.00	0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kam Jones	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarace Walker	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.07	-0.04	0.04	9	75%	0.08	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.00
Johnny Furphy	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Sheppard	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.03	4	75%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Pascal Siakam	-0.10	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.01	0.01	19	41%	-0.05	2	-0.04	8	50%	-0.02

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bobby Portis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.02	-0.01	18	58%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Porter Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.03	-0.01	20	53%	0.10	2	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
AJ Green	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.00	0.02	-0.06	14	50%	0.11	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Pete Nance	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	3	83%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jericho Sims	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	57%	0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Ryan Rollins	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.02	0.01	19	58%	0.11	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.00	5	58%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Gary Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Myles Turner	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	10	45%	0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	1.3	25.9	8.7	28.2	1.4	35.0	124.3
league avg	26.5	1.9	29.2	14.2	29.9	2.1	32.8	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +38.7%

IND -6.6%

MIL +18.5%

IND -0.5%

IND -0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	MIL	NBA	IND	MIL	NBA
this game	13.5	17.2	14.2	106.5	111.7	113.4
season	13.8	14.7		108.9	110.9
opponent	14.3	14.2		117.5	117.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	12.1	17.1	13.8	11.3	13.5
MIL	18.4	14.9	17.5	18.0	17.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Micah Potter	57	56	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.05	-7	1	-8	13.5	13.5	0.07	18.0	16.1	1.95
T.J. McConnell	59	58	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.03	-7	1	-8	13.6	13.3	0.35	17.9	16.1	1.83
Ben Sheppard	75	77	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.40	6	-12	18	12.8	16.4	-3.63	17.8	14.7	3.06
Aaron Nesmith	70	69	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.18	-6	0	-6	14.2	11.6	2.59	17.9	15.4	2.42
Johnny Furphy	65	67	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.33	-1	-5	4	13.5	13.6	-0.13	18.0	15.3	2.74
Jarace Walker	93	94	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.32	-6	0	-6	13.5	0.0	13.52	17.2	0.0	17.21
Pascal Siakam	70	71	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.29	-9	3	-12	14.1	11.8	2.30	17.3	17.0	0.28
Kam Jones	60	61	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	0.05	-21	15	-36	14.7	11.3	3.48	17.3	17.1	0.14
Jay Huff	47	48	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	0.07	-22	16	-38	15.5	11.5	3.95	16.9	17.5	-0.56
Andrew Nembhard	76	78	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.30	-11	5	-16	14.2	10.6	3.58	17.4	16.4	1.01

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Myles Turner	72	71	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.21	13	-7	20	17.9	15.0	2.89	14.5	10.2	4.31
Jericho Sims	70	69	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.34	7	-1	8	17.5	16.4	1.13	14.2	11.6	2.61
AJ Green	87	85	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.32	7	-1	8	17.3	16.6	0.69	13.9	9.4	4.53
Ryan Rollins	87	85	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.32	7	-1	8	17.3	16.6	0.69	13.9	9.4	4.53
Pete Nance	70	70	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.00	16	-10	26	17.5	16.3	1.24	14.7	9.9	4.84
Kevin Porter Jr.	82	81	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.32	2	4	-2	17.4	16.2	1.20	12.9	17.5	-4.57
Bobby Portis	83	83	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.30	1	5	-4	17.4	15.5	1.99	12.8	19.1	-6.26
Gary Harris	81	81	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.31	0	6	-6	17.5	15.3	2.21	12.9	17.6	-4.67
Gary Trent Jr.	60	60	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.08	3	3	0	18.2	15.4	2.78	13.5	13.6	-0.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.54,0.64,0.75,0.7,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.89,0.92,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.98,1,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.83,0.81,0.93,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BKN 105, TOR 122	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.52,0.49,0.64,0.7,0.8,0.77,0.8,0.89,0.85,0.9,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.3%
NJN 92, SAC 105	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.43,0.39,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.51,0.61,0.59,0.67,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.83,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	93.8%
ORL 76, CHH 89	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.7%