NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	115		Excitement	5.9 [531]		MVP	Austin Reaves (LAL): +36.8%
Los Angeles Lakers	119		Comeback	6.1 [244]		LVP	LeBron James (LAL): -14.8%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joel Embiid	0.19	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.18,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.20	0.03	0.04	19	76%	0.27	3	-0.08	8	100%	0.03
Trendon Watford	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.05	0.00	3	100%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dominick Barlow	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.01	-0.00	10	57%	0.07	1	-0.04	3	33%	-0.03
Justin Edwards	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adem Bona	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrese Maxey	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02	0.00	0.02	0.04	22	54%	0.10	4	-0.12	4	75%	0.02
Quentin Grimes	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	2	67%	0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
VJ Edgecombe	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.04	0.02	-0.03	0.02	16	56%	0.07	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.00
Kelly Oubre Jr.	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	8	40%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Austin Reaves	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.27,0.41,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.37	0.37	0.20	0.15	-0.02	17	85%	0.47	5	-0.10	7	86%	-0.01
Rui Hachimura	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.23	0.23	0.13	0.12	0.01	7	87%	0.23	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Marcus Smart	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.04	-0.03	5	50%	0.08	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.05
Jake LaRavia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	-0.00	0.01	7	74%	0.12	1	-0.04	5	80%	-0.00
Deandre Ayton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.01	0.02	5	83%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Maxi Kleber	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.02	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dalton Knecht	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jarred Vanderbilt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	7	43%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Luka Don?i?	0,0,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.12	-0.02	0.00	10	42%	-0.04	5	-0.10	4	100%	0.02
LeBron James	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.19,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.15	-0.15	-0.15	0.01	0.01	17	46%	0.03	8	-0.18	3	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.7	2.2	28.5	14.2	29.1	2.2	54.1	156.1
league avg	26.4	1.9	29.0	14.3	29.7	2.2	32.8	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +38.0%

LAL +2.5%

LAL +12.7%

PHI -2.3%

PHI -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	LAL	NBA	PHI	LAL	NBA
this game	13.2	14.1	14.2	109.5	113.3	113.4
season	14.5	14.5		113.2	115.9
opponent	14.1	13.9		114.5	113.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	13.4	13.0	14.3	12.3	13.2
LAL	14.7	13.7	12.4	15.9	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Justin Edwards	10	11	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.01	0	-4	4	14.0	13.2	0.84	14.8	14.1	0.75
Dominick Barlow	72	70	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.12	-5	1	-6	14.1	11.4	2.73	14.0	14.4	-0.34
Trendon Watford	69	68	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.10	-8	4	-12	14.1	11.6	2.56	14.0	14.4	-0.36
Kelly Oubre Jr.	104	104	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.36	-4	0	-4	13.2	19.0	-5.82	14.2	3.0	11.25
VJ Edgecombe	105	105	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.38	-4	0	-4	13.2	0.0	13.24	14.1	0.0	14.14
Quentin Grimes	79	76	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.15	-12	8	-20	14.2	10.3	3.84	13.9	14.7	-0.71
Joel Embiid	98	98	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.39	-4	0	-4	13.3	12.3	1.02	14.2	13.7	0.46
Tyrese Maxey	104	105	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.40	-4	0	-4	13.4	1.0	12.36	14.1	0.0	14.14
Adem Bona	86	84	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.15	-14	10	-24	14.1	9.5	4.53	14.5	12.5	2.02

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Maxi Kleber	105	105	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.38	4	0	4	14.1	0.0	14.14	13.2	0.0	13.24
Rui Hachimura	105	105	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.38	4	0	4	14.1	0.0	14.14	13.2	0.0	13.24
Jarred Vanderbilt	98	99	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.30	6	-2	8	14.6	7.6	7.04	13.5	9.0	4.49
Austin Reaves	96	94	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.38	1	3	-2	14.3	12.3	1.98	13.6	10.3	3.31
Marcus Smart	80	78	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.49	-4	8	-12	14.5	13.1	1.40	13.8	11.5	2.36
LeBron James	95	95	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.36	-4	8	-12	14.6	9.7	4.91	13.1	14.6	-1.51
Jake LaRavia	66	66	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.05	-3	7	-10	13.6	15.1	-1.53	14.1	11.7	2.38
Dalton Knecht	21	21	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.06	-6	10	-16	14.7	14.0	0.65	14.4	13.0	1.43
Luka Don?i?	41	40	-0.19	0.69	-0.87	0.08	-9	13	-22	14.5	13.9	0.61	14.2	12.6	1.55
Deandre Ayton	47	47	-0.32	0.82	-1.14	0.06	-13	17	-30	14.4	14.0	0.40	14.1	12.6	1.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.31,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.31,0.34,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.19,0.16,0.22,0.17,0.16,0.2,0.26,0.19,0.23,0.3,0.36,0.42,0.57,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.83,0.93,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 116, ATL 132	0.5,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.4,0.51,0.37,0.31,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.39,0.42,0.31,0.34,0.25,0.19,0.14,0.09,0.2,0.24,0.2,0.33,0.44,0.62,0.73,0.88,0.76,0.85,0.96,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	92.5%
WAS 94, LAL 103	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.33,0.36,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.28,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.17,0.28,0.15,0.26,0.4,0.62,0.62,0.86,0.87,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.98,1,0.99,1,1	92.4%
BKN 105, SAS 118	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.35,0.37,0.29,0.32,0.33,0.33,0.28,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.25,0.33,0.26,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.33,0.26,0.17,0.21,0.14,0.17,0.32,0.58,0.69,0.79,0.86,0.77,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.93,0.96,0.98,1,1	92.2%