NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	114		Excitement	7.9 [283]		MVP	Joel Embiid (PHI): +34.7%
Philadelphia 76ers	124		Comeback	1.9 [626]		LVP	Adem Bona (PHI): -12.2%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Saddiq Bey	0.32	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.27,0.27,0.33,0.32	0.25	0.07	-0.00	19	77%	0.35	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.03
Zion Williamson	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	-0.01	0.13	-0.02	6	52%	0.20	2	-0.07	9	78%	0.10
Jose Alvarado	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.13,0.25,0.25,0.19,0.19,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.00	8	59%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Trey Murphy III	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	-0.01	-0.03	21	45%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Herbert Jones	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	5	50%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Micah Peavy	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	62%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Yves Missi	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.02	0.00	8	39%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Karlo Matkovi?	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jeremiah Fears	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.06	-0.00	12	46%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Derik Queen	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	8	50%	0.01	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joel Embiid	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.13,0.11,0.04,0.16,0.11,0.22,0.22,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.35	0.35	0.10	0.21	-0.04	27	59%	0.50	5	-0.16	14	79%	0.01
Jared McCain	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.11	0.07	-0.00	7	86%	0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.13	-0.01	-0.00	13	63%	0.13	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Dominick Barlow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.06	0.00	4	80%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
VJ Edgecombe	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.10	0.02	0.05	10	71%	0.11	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Tyrese Maxey	0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.01	-0.02	18	50%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Grimes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	3	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trendon Watford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jabari Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adem Bona	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.04	-0.00	5	25%	-0.04	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	0.5	29.9	1.3	33.5	0.2	35.0	124.8
league avg	26.4	1.9	29.1	14.2	29.7	2.2	32.8	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +50.1%

NOP -7.9%

PHI +12.9%

NOP -5.4%

PHI +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	PHI	NBA	NOP	PHI	NBA
this game	13.8	14.5	14.2	114.0	120.4	113.7
season	14.1	14.5		111.9	113.6
opponent	13.9	14.1		113.6	116.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	14.2	14.6	14.2	12.3	13.8
PHI	15.0	14.2	14.6	14.3	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeremiah Fears	75	77	0.24	-0.74	0.99	-0.05	10	-20	30	13.8	13.8	0.05	15.1	12.8	2.31
Micah Peavy	34	35	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.02	-5	-5	0	14.4	13.5	0.97	15.4	14.1	1.36
Karlo Matkovi?	68	68	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.05	-3	-7	4	14.1	13.1	1.08	14.7	14.3	0.42
Yves Missi	80	82	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.29	2	-12	14	14.1	12.5	1.56	15.1	12.4	2.70
Jose Alvarado	55	55	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.31	0	-10	10	14.1	13.4	0.77	15.1	13.8	1.31
Derik Queen	50	50	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	0.06	-17	7	-24	14.9	12.7	2.12	13.9	15.2	-1.27
Trey Murphy III	98	100	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.22	-10	0	-10	13.8	12.5	1.33	14.5	15.3	-0.82
Zion Williamson	99	102	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.17	-13	3	-16	13.7	19.0	-5.25	14.4	26.0	-11.58
Saddiq Bey	88	90	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.13	-15	5	-20	13.6	14.9	-1.27	14.2	16.7	-2.47
Herbert Jones	82	85	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.16	-16	6	-22	13.6	14.5	-0.85	14.2	16.2	-2.05

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joel Embiid	86	83	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.14	16	-6	22	14.2	16.4	-2.18	13.6	14.9	-1.37
VJ Edgecombe	95	93	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.12	15	-5	20	14.5	14.5	0.04	13.7	14.6	-0.83
Tyrese Maxey	102	99	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.17	13	-3	16	14.4	26.0	-11.58	13.7	19.0	-5.25
Kelly Oubre Jr.	95	94	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.19	12	-2	14	14.2	18.0	-3.76	13.7	15.7	-1.99
Dominick Barlow	69	68	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.17	9	1	8	14.8	13.9	0.88	13.9	13.7	0.21
Adem Bona	75	74	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.07	6	4	2	14.6	14.3	0.34	14.3	12.3	2.02
Quentin Grimes	71	71	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.25	-3	13	-16	15.2	13.0	2.27	14.1	13.0	1.08
Trendon Watford	79	79	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.03	4	6	-2	14.7	13.9	0.80	14.3	12.0	2.28
Jabari Walker	28	28	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.02	-1	11	-12	14.9	14.4	0.44	14.9	13.4	1.57
Jared McCain	64	62	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.02	-2	12	-14	14.9	14.0	0.86	13.6	14.1	-0.41

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.48,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.82,0.84,0.74,0.82,0.89,0.89,0.88,0.89,0.83,0.78,0.76,0.7,0.79,0.74,0.74,0.71,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.35,0.46,0.55,0.63,0.91,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 89, MEM 92	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.61,0.66,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.73,0.84,0.79,0.82,0.91,0.91,0.86,0.82,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.74,0.71,0.85,0.74,0.71,0.67,0.63,0.59,0.46,0.48,0.75,0.72,0.85,0.98,1	93.5%
BOS 99, MIL 105	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.72,0.72,0.82,0.8,0.89,0.86,0.87,0.89,0.86,0.91,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.75,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.77,0.69,0.47,0.55,0.61,0.79,0.85,0.99,1	92.7%
DET 109, BOS 113	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.68,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.72,0.81,0.79,0.82,0.78,0.72,0.72,0.74,0.87,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.83,0.77,0.53,0.35,0.46,0.6,0.64,0.84,0.84,1	92.3%