NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	111		Excitement	8.6 [153]		MVP	Tyrese Maxey (PHI): +90.9%
Philadelphia 76ers	113		Comeback	15.5 [151]		LVP	Nique Clifford (SAC): -13.5%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dennis Schr�der	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.32,0.26,0.26,0.23	0.17	0.08	0.02	16	75%	0.32	2	-0.09	4	100%	0.02
Keon Ellis	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.07	0.10	-0.00	7	71%	0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maxime Raynaud	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.04	0.07	-0.00	4	80%	0.16	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Zach LaVine	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.07,0.07	-0.04	0.11	-0.00	16	46%	0.21	3	-0.13	5	100%	0.03
DeMar DeRozan	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.03	0.12	-0.08	0.01	15	66%	0.05	1	-0.02	8	75%	-0.00
Precious Achiuwa	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	7	57%	0.06	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Dylan Cardwell	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Domantas Sabonis	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.01	-0.07	0.01	10	58%	0.03	3	-0.12	4	50%	-0.02
Nique Clifford	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.12	-0.03	-0.01	7	14%	-0.09	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrese Maxey	0,0,0,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.29,0.29,0.39,0.91	0.91	0.29	0.64	0.02	18	82%	0.97	2	-0.06	13	92%	0.11
Joel Embiid	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.19,0.29,0.29,0.35,0.27,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.19	-0.01	0.01	21	67%	0.23	2	-0.06	13	77%	0.01
Dominick Barlow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.05	0.00	1	100%	0.11	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Paul George	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.00	15	50%	0.09	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Justin Edwards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Andre Drummond	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adem Bona	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared McCain	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
VJ Edgecombe	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	7	36%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	1.4	30.7	0.0	41.3	0.0	37.8	0.0
league avg	26.3	2.0	28.9	14.4	29.6	2.3	32.8	136.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +23.2%

PHI +30.8%

SAC -44.9%

PHI +33.3%

PHI +7.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	PHI	NBA	SAC	PHI	NBA
this game	15.6	15.2	14.2	116.8	122.8	113.4
season	14.2	14.6		108.1	113.8
opponent	13.9	14.2		112.9	118.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	16.2	14.5	14.8	16.8	15.6
PHI	14.2	16.2	16.5	13.8	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Maxime Raynaud	71	69	0.37	-0.87	1.24	0.16	7	-9	16	15.0	17.1	-2.10	15.2	15.2	0.01
Nique Clifford	63	61	0.12	-0.62	0.73	0.12	0	-2	2	15.4	15.9	-0.53	15.8	14.0	1.74
Keon Ellis	88	85	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.06	-2	0	-2	15.7	13.9	1.84	15.4	12.6	2.83
Zach LaVine	81	79	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.41	-1	-1	0	15.9	13.6	2.33	14.8	17.4	-2.56
DeMar DeRozan	93	91	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.39	-5	3	-8	15.6	12.0	3.63	15.4	0.0	15.35
Precious Achiuwa	85	83	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.35	-7	5	-12	15.8	13.8	1.96	15.6	11.6	4.02
Domantas Sabonis	69	68	-0.67	0.17	-0.83	-0.52	-5	3	-8	15.9	14.6	1.35	15.7	13.8	1.88
Dylan Cardwell	86	84	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.43	-8	6	-14	15.9	12.2	3.68	15.4	13.2	2.12
Dennis Schr�der	81	77	-0.75	0.25	-0.99	-0.45	-10	8	-18	15.6	15.1	0.49	15.7	12.3	3.41

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joel Embiid	85	90	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.49	7	-5	12	15.7	9.0	6.69	15.5	16.2	-0.68
Kelly Oubre Jr.	91	94	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.45	5	-3	8	15.4	0.0	15.35	15.5	23.0	-7.52
VJ Edgecombe	84	86	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.42	6	-4	10	15.1	16.5	-1.44	15.5	16.1	-0.61
Paul George	74	76	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.48	4	-2	6	15.9	12.2	3.75	15.7	15.1	0.63
Tyrese Maxey	84	87	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.41	4	-2	6	15.4	13.0	2.39	15.7	14.2	1.43
Adem Bona	51	54	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.02	-1	3	-4	15.8	14.4	1.39	15.4	15.7	-0.31
Justin Edwards	45	46	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	-0.01	-4	6	-10	16.7	13.7	3.03	14.4	16.6	-2.18
Andre Drummond	9	8	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	-0.06	-4	6	-10	16.1	15.1	1.03	13.2	15.8	-2.52
Jared McCain	54	54	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	-0.13	-2	4	-6	15.9	14.2	1.62	15.2	16.0	-0.78
Dominick Barlow	78	79	-0.34	0.84	-1.19	-0.11	-8	10	-18	15.7	12.4	3.34	15.0	18.5	-3.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.57,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.45,0.56,0.48,0.44,0.34,0.4,0.33,0.2,0.15,0.07,0.2,0.28,0.31,0.36,0.45,0.15,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 93, MIA 94	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.66,0.67,0.75,0.74,0.63,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.3,0.34,0.25,0.33,0.37,0.21,0.16,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.24,0.26,1	90.8%
MIN 125, SAC 128	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.66,0.66,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.74,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.59,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.32,0.38,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.19,0.61,0.33,0.26,1	90.3%
NJN 91, DET 92	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.68,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.57,0.67,0.73,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.76,0.64,0.55,0.52,0.38,0.44,0.33,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.23,0.18,0.29,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.55,0.42,1	90.2%