NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	110		Excitement	7.8 [224]		MVP	Nikola Vu?evi? (CHI): +46.2%
Indiana Pacers	113		Comeback	46.6 [19]		LVP	Coby White (CHI): -25.0%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nikola Vu?evi?	0.46	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.46	0.11	0.36	0.01	17	69%	0.56	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Matas Buzelis	0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.16	0.00	0.04	11	83%	0.15	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jalen Smith	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.04	-0.00	9	68%	0.15	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01
Ayo Dosunmu	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.02	0.01	15	56%	0.11	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Kevin Huerter	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	5	36%	0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Isaac Okoro	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	6	42%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julian Phillips	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dalen Terry	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Giddey	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	8	50%	0.07	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.03
Patrick Williams	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Coby White	-0.25	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.25	-0.02	-0.23	0.01	15	41%	-0.25	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron Nesmith	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.37	0.37	0.12	0.27	0.01	9	74%	0.37	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Jay Huff	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	-0.02	0.16	-0.01	10	45%	0.17	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jarace Walker	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.15	0.04	0.04	8	89%	0.15	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Andrew Nembhard	0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,0.13	0.13	0.05	0.10	0.03	14	56%	0.16	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Bennedict Mathurin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,0.1,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.04	-0.00	10	62%	0.13	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Micah Potter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	-0.00	5	58%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ben Sheppard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	7	57%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Jackson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pascal Siakam	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.09,-0.07,-0.03,-0.1,-0.13,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.02	0.03	16	50%	0.05	2	-0.07	8	87%	0.02
Johnny Furphy	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.00	0.05	4	20%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	0.0	26.5	0.0	35.0	0.0	32.9	0.0
league avg	26.3	2.0	28.9	14.3	29.6	2.2	32.8	136.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +31.4%

CHI -2.1%

IND +4.0%

IND +15.0%

IND +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	IND	NBA	CHI	IND	NBA
this game	15.4	14.1	14.2	113.4	115.3	113.5
season	13.7	13.9		112.8	107.4
opponent	14.1	14.3		115.5	117.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	14.2	15.4	15.0	17.2	15.4
IND	15.0	12.8	15.0	13.5	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Huerter	70	72	0.40	-0.90	1.31	0.11	10	-13	23	15.0	16.6	-1.58	14.8	12.2	2.55
Patrick Williams	59	59	0.40	-0.90	1.31	0.08	11	-14	25	15.8	14.7	1.11	14.9	12.9	2.00
Isaac Okoro	49	49	0.27	-0.77	1.05	0.10	6	-9	15	16.1	14.7	1.31	14.6	13.6	0.94
Dalen Terry	19	19	0.17	-0.67	0.84	-0.07	8	-11	19	13.7	15.8	-2.08	14.2	14.1	0.13
Julian Phillips	21	21	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.08	-7	4	-11	15.6	15.4	0.20	13.3	14.3	-0.98
Jalen Smith	95	95	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.21	-2	-1	-1	15.6	6.5	9.10	14.3	6.7	7.67
Ayo Dosunmu	89	91	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.42	0	-3	3	15.4	15.4	0.04	14.4	10.3	4.11
Coby White	89	90	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.38	-7	4	-11	15.5	14.6	0.86	13.8	17.1	-3.29
Matas Buzelis	81	81	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.42	-9	6	-15	15.7	14.1	1.54	14.2	13.8	0.34
Nikola Vu?evi?	76	77	-0.74	0.24	-0.99	-0.45	-10	7	-17	15.9	13.7	2.17	13.6	15.8	-2.11
Josh Giddey	78	79	-0.76	0.26	-1.01	-0.43	-11	8	-19	15.8	13.6	2.21	13.7	15.8	-2.09

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew Nembhard	79	78	0.76	-0.26	1.01	0.43	11	-8	19	13.7	15.8	-2.09	15.8	13.6	2.21
Johnny Furphy	67	66	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.46	7	-4	11	14.2	13.9	0.29	16.5	13.0	3.55
Aaron Nesmith	92	92	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.40	4	-1	5	13.9	17.7	-3.80	15.4	16.0	-0.62
Pascal Siakam	98	97	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.41	3	0	3	14.1	0.0	14.10	15.4	0.0	15.41
Jay Huff	78	79	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.17	5	-2	7	14.2	13.6	0.63	15.9	13.2	2.76
Jarace Walker	76	76	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.06	2	1	1	14.7	12.1	2.53	15.9	13.8	2.11
Ben Sheppard	29	29	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	0.06	-7	10	-17	15.0	13.7	1.32	14.5	15.8	-1.33
Isaiah Jackson	23	23	-0.22	0.72	-0.93	0.11	-11	14	-25	15.0	13.8	1.17	13.9	15.9	-1.97
Bennedict Mathurin	72	73	-0.34	0.84	-1.18	-0.02	-11	14	-25	14.6	12.7	1.87	15.4	15.4	0.05
T.J. McConnell	61	60	-0.45	0.95	-1.40	-0.07	-13	16	-29	15.1	12.4	2.77	15.2	15.7	-0.47
Micah Potter	66	67	-0.59	1.09	-1.68	-0.06	-18	21	-39	15.1	12.0	3.17	15.2	16.0	-0.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.3,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.35,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.29,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.48,0.42,0.32,0.31,0.37,0.26,0.26,0.15,0.26,0.18,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.19,0.07,0.43,0.53,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 92, UTA 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.37,0.27,0.31,0.29,0.32,0.28,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.36,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.48,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.26,0.3,0.22,0.15,0.1,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.14,0.07,0.15,0.72,1	91.9%
SAC 102, UTA 104	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.32,0.34,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.36,0.29,0.23,0.28,0.31,0.26,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.1,0.15,0.55,0.72,1	91.0%
NOH 94, ORL 99	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.34,0.35,0.31,0.26,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.22,0.23,0.25,0.28,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.34,0.4,0.44,0.33,0.39,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.31,0.34,0.29,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.21,0.24,0.19,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.22,0.32,0.73,1	90.9%