NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	116		Excitement	7.4 [380]		MVP	Rui Hachimura (LAL): +35.9%
Dallas Mavericks	110		Comeback	111.4 [20]		LVP	Deandre Ayton (LAL): -12.8%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rui Hachimura	0.36	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.45,0.36,0.36	0.11	0.23	-0.02	13	63%	0.36	0	0.00	1	100%	0.02
Luka Don?i?	0.19	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19	0.15	0.06	0.03	15	73%	0.30	5	-0.11	15	93%	0.04
Jaxson Hayes	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	3	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarred Vanderbilt	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	6	57%	0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
LeBron James	0.03	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.02	16	53%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Smart	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0	-0.02	0.03	0.01	10	52%	0.06	3	-0.06	5	60%	-0.02
Drew Timme	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake LaRavia	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	8	65%	0.10	4	-0.13	4	75%	0.00
Gabe Vincent	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deandre Ayton	-0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	0.01	0.00	16	26%	-0.10	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Max Christie	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.12	0.08	0.02	18	60%	0.18	0	0.00	4	100%	0.05
Caleb Martin	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.14	0.02	0.03	10	77%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Brandon Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.15,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.02	-0.03	17	51%	0.13	2	-0.04	5	80%	-0.01
Daniel Gafford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.01	1	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Klay Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.02	-0.02	5	50%	0.06	3	-0.06	2	0%	-0.03
Ryan Nembhard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cooper Flagg	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	20	38%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.05
P.J. Washington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	5	20%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Naji Marshall	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.05	0.02	15	52%	-0.03	3	-0.05	10	70%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.3	1.3	28.0	14.2	26.9	0.0	40.1	0.0
league avg	26.4	1.9	29.1	14.2	29.8	2.1	32.8	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +52.7%

DAL -7.6%

LAL +23.7%

DAL -19.4%

LAL +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	DAL	NBA	LAL	DAL	NBA
this game	13.8	13.8	14.2	111.5	105.8	113.5
season	14.6	13.9		115.4	109.5
opponent	13.9	14.2		114.6	113.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	12.5	15.3	15.5	12.5	13.8
DAL	11.4	14.1	14.5	15.8	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luka Don?i?	96	96	0.80	-0.30	1.09	0.38	14	-8	22	13.8	14.2	-0.45	13.9	13.2	0.61
Marcus Smart	89	90	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.38	10	-4	14	13.7	14.5	-0.81	13.8	14.1	-0.38
Jake LaRavia	80	80	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.41	6	0	6	14.0	13.3	0.65	14.5	11.7	2.80
Rui Hachimura	104	104	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.32	6	0	6	13.8	0.0	13.84	13.8	0.0	13.82
LeBron James	99	98	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.30	5	1	4	13.7	15.8	-2.06	14.0	10.2	3.87
Drew Timme	24	24	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.06	-3	9	-12	16.0	13.2	2.76	13.7	13.8	-0.09
Jaxson Hayes	68	68	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	-0.03	-5	11	-16	14.4	12.8	1.53	13.4	14.6	-1.26
Gabe Vincent	73	73	-0.36	0.86	-1.23	-0.10	-9	15	-24	14.2	13.0	1.19	13.4	14.7	-1.32
Deandre Ayton	83	83	-0.43	0.93	-1.36	-0.11	-11	17	-28	14.4	11.7	2.72	13.3	15.9	-2.56
Jarred Vanderbilt	62	62	-0.47	0.97	-1.43	-0.09	-13	19	-32	14.5	12.8	1.68	13.1	14.9	-1.86

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Daniel Gafford	67	67	0.50	-1.00	1.50	0.12	13	-19	32	13.8	13.9	-0.07	14.7	12.2	2.47
P.J. Washington	91	90	0.44	-0.94	1.38	0.18	9	-15	24	13.7	14.5	-0.82	14.4	10.5	3.86
Caleb Martin	56	56	0.40	-0.90	1.30	0.05	12	-18	30	15.2	12.1	3.10	15.0	12.4	2.60
Dwight Powell	76	74	0.29	-0.79	1.09	0.15	5	-11	16	13.7	14.1	-0.45	14.3	12.8	1.46
Ryan Nembhard	8	8	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.04	1	-7	8	15.1	13.7	1.42	19.1	13.4	5.73
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl	30	30	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.08	-9	3	-12	11.4	14.8	-3.40	12.5	14.4	-1.93
Naji Marshall	94	95	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.35	-2	-4	2	14.4	8.2	6.21	14.1	11.3	2.74
Max Christie	94	94	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.35	-4	-2	-2	14.4	8.2	6.21	14.2	10.4	3.80
Brandon Williams	98	98	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.29	-6	0	-6	14.0	11.3	2.64	13.8	14.0	-0.17
Klay Thompson	101	101	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.33	-5	-1	-4	13.9	12.7	1.18	13.9	13.0	0.86
Cooper Flagg	86	86	-0.75	0.25	-0.99	-0.45	-10	4	-14	14.3	11.6	2.74	13.9	13.4	0.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.32,0.26,0.28,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.28,0.19,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.18,0.16,0.19,0.18,0.25,0.33,0.46,0.58,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.67,0.68,0.81,0.9,0.96,0.92,0.97,0.99,0.95,0.94,0.85,0.78,0.33,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 118, POR 116	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.35,0.31,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.32,0.36,0.39,0.31,0.31,0.25,0.22,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.42,0.48,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.48,0.6,0.6,0.81,0.8,0.91,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.91,0.88,0.9,0.64,0.23,0.42,0	90.4%
POR 121, SAS 116	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.27,0.25,0.19,0.18,0.1,0.11,0.16,0.23,0.27,0.3,0.23,0.27,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.27,0.19,0.18,0.13,0.17,0.27,0.29,0.34,0.44,0.52,0.67,0.72,0.74,0.78,0.86,0.93,0.96,0.86,0.76,0.87,0.9,0.72,0.43,0.27,0	88.6%
IND 96, WAS 87	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.31,0.25,0.24,0.26,0.19,0.12,0.14,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.26,0.31,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.32,0.35,0.44,0.54,0.63,0.68,0.62,0.74,0.86,0.8,0.85,0.86,0.66,0.73,0.61,0.54,0.45,0.09,0	88.4%