NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	111		Excitement	9.5 [87]		MVP	Kevin Huerter (CHI): +43.2%
Chicago Bulls	114		Comeback	2.7 [215]		LVP	Josh Giddey (CHI): -24.0%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anfernee Simons	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.09	0.07	0.00	16	66%	0.24	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Brown	0.11	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.07,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.11	0.10	0.06	0.04	28	55%	0.20	2	-0.09	4	75%	-0.04
Hugo Gonz�lez	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.05	0.00	1	150%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Walsh	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.03	0.00	5	70%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amari Williams	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick White	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.05	-0.00	18	39%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Sam Hauser	0.03	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.00	7	57%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Baylor Scheierman	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Payton Pritchard	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.01	10	48%	-0.00	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Luka Garza	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	4	50%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Neemias Queta	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05	-0.00	-0.05	-0.00	6	43%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Huerter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.43	0.43	0.11	0.33	0.01	7	86%	0.43	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.10	0.17	0.00	5	100%	0.27	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vu?evi?	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.13	0.14	-0.00	10	80%	0.29	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Isaac Okoro	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.08	0.09	-0.01	9	63%	0.18	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Jalen Smith	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.01	0.01	0.10	-0.06	0.03	10	70%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matas Buzelis	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.02	13	54%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ayo Dosunmu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	9	56%	0.04	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Coby White	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,0.02,0.12,0.19,0.16,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0,0,-0.11	-0.11	0.02	-0.11	0.02	16	59%	0.04	4	-0.15	5	100%	0.03
Josh Giddey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.14	-0.10	-0.00	6	29%	-0.02	5	-0.22	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	2.4	27.4	14.6	26.3	3.2	31.3	130.7
league avg	26.3	2.0	28.9	14.3	29.6	2.2	32.8	136.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +72.3%

BOS -8.0%

CHI +13.8%

BOS -34.5%

CHI +6.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	CHI	NBA	BOS	CHI	NBA
this game	16.1	14.8	14.2	118.1	123.9	113.5
season	15.4	13.7		119.3	112.8
opponent	14.3	14.3		117.1	112.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	17.0	16.4	16.5	14.4	16.1
CHI	12.4	15.5	14.0	17.6	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Baylor Scheierman	24	25	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.02	-2	-1	-1	17.0	15.8	1.19	12.4	15.7	-3.36
Luka Garza	56	55	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.00	-7	4	-11	16.9	15.0	1.88	15.2	14.2	1.03
Jordan Walsh	63	61	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.18	-2	-1	-1	16.6	15.2	1.43	15.3	13.8	1.46
Amari Williams	36	35	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.03	-12	9	-21	16.2	16.0	0.22	13.8	15.4	-1.67
Hugo Gonz�lez	55	55	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.36	0	-3	3	15.9	16.5	-0.63	14.8	14.8	0.08
Neemias Queta	74	72	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.34	-1	-2	1	15.9	16.9	-1.06	15.2	13.3	1.92
Sam Hauser	60	59	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.14	-11	8	-19	16.4	15.5	0.92	14.7	14.9	-0.21
Anfernee Simons	94	92	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.39	-3	0	-3	16.1	0.0	16.12	14.8	0.0	14.80
Derrick White	94	92	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.41	-3	0	-3	16.1	0.0	16.12	14.8	0.0	14.80
Payton Pritchard	74	72	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.38	-5	2	-7	15.7	17.8	-2.14	15.6	11.8	3.84
Jaylen Brown	89	86	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.37	-7	4	-11	16.2	13.8	2.45	15.1	10.2	4.96

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matas Buzelis	81	84	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.36	9	-6	15	15.1	12.8	2.26	16.3	14.7	1.59
Jalen Smith	68	71	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.31	8	-5	13	15.6	12.5	3.12	16.3	15.6	0.73
Kevin Huerter	87	89	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.42	4	-1	5	14.9	13.2	1.70	16.4	11.8	4.56
Coby White	81	84	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.40	4	-1	5	15.3	11.4	3.91	16.1	16.3	-0.20
Nikola Vu?evi?	92	94	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.41	3	0	3	14.8	0.0	14.80	16.1	0.0	16.12
Josh Giddey	92	94	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.40	3	0	3	14.8	0.0	14.80	16.1	0.0	16.12
Ayo Dosunmu	77	76	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.16	5	-2	7	14.4	17.1	-2.70	16.6	14.2	2.41
Isaac Okoro	59	60	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.00	6	-3	9	14.4	15.5	-1.16	16.6	15.3	1.34
Patrick Williams	49	47	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.12	-1	4	-5	14.2	15.5	-1.28	16.7	15.6	1.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.29,0.33,0.41,0.46,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.65,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.62,0.52,0.71,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.6,0.74,0.81,0.85,0.67,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 105, MEM 110	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.54,0.56,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.52,0.67,0.68,0.58,0.66,0.67,0.58,0.42,0.47,0.76,0.67,0.69,0.81,0.76,0.92,1	91.9%
TOR 93, BOS 100	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.31,0.35,0.3,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.45,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.57,0.68,0.53,0.71,0.78,0.9,0.78,0.78,0.84,1	91.2%
UTA 78, MEM 79	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.37,0.32,0.37,0.39,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.41,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.46,0.68,0.72,0.56,0.58,1	91.1%