NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	123		Excitement	6.3 [290]		MVP	Lauri Markkanen (UTA): +22.3%
Cleveland Cavaliers	112		Comeback	3.1 [41]		LVP	De'Andre Hunter (CLE): -12.5%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lauri Markkanen	0.22	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.15	0.05	-0.02	16	64%	0.25	1	-0.02	12	75%	-0.01
Keyonte George	0.16	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.19,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.15	0.05	0.03	16	73%	0.27	4	-0.10	12	100%	0.05
Kevin Love	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.07	0.07	-0.01	6	92%	0.18	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Svi Mykhailiuk	0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.03	0.07	-0.00	7	79%	0.16	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jusuf Nurki?	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.03	-0.02	9	55%	0.10	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Kyle Filipowski	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ace Bailey	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cody Williams	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	7	57%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Collier	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	7	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brice Sensabaugh	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.01	-0.03	8	39%	0.02	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Merrill	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.07	0.08	-0.03	11	61%	0.19	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.01
Donovan Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.01	-0.01	18	54%	0.09	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Darius Garland	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.06	0.04	17	61%	0.16	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Evan Mobley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.02	0.01	11	62%	0.12	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Nae'Qwan Tomlin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.02	-0.00	11	59%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Craig Porter Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	83%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jaylon Tyson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.02	0.00	9	58%	0.06	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Jarrett Allen	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	7	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
De'Andre Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.04	-0.02	5	20%	-0.06	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	0.1	32.3	0.1	37.5	0.0	33.0	0.0
league avg	26.3	2.0	28.9	14.4	29.5	2.3	32.7	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +35.5%

UTA +7.0%

UTA +11.1%

CLE -4.1%

UTA +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	CLE	NBA	UTA	CLE	NBA
this game	14.6	12.7	14.2	116.0	106.7	113.6
season	14.0	13.3		113.0	114.7
opponent	14.5	13.7		112.3	120.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	12.2	14.5	15.0	17.1	14.6
CLE	12.1	12.7	13.8	12.2	12.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Love	69	70	0.82	-0.32	1.13	0.03	27	-16	43	14.0	15.7	-1.66	12.8	12.3	0.47
Kyle Filipowski	65	66	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.04	24	-13	37	13.8	15.8	-1.93	12.9	12.2	0.68
Brice Sensabaugh	106	105	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.18	11	0	11	14.6	0.0	14.59	12.7	0.0	12.66
Lauri Markkanen	106	105	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.18	11	0	11	14.6	0.0	14.59	12.7	0.0	12.66
Keyonte George	87	88	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.23	9	2	7	14.7	14.3	0.40	12.9	11.4	1.49
Jusuf Nurki?	82	82	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.02	16	-5	21	14.0	16.5	-2.52	13.2	10.8	2.40
Svi Mykhailiuk	62	64	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.03	15	-4	19	13.0	16.8	-3.80	13.6	11.1	2.48
Isaiah Collier	96	96	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.16	8	3	5	14.0	20.5	-6.52	12.7	11.8	0.96
Ace Bailey	43	43	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.21	-1	12	-13	15.5	14.0	1.54	13.0	12.4	0.58
Cody Williams	64	65	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.04	2	9	-7	13.3	16.6	-3.31	13.2	11.8	1.43

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Craig Porter Jr.	62	60	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.07	-11	0	-11	12.8	12.4	0.40	13.2	16.4	-3.25
Sam Merrill	72	71	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.11	-11	0	-11	13.2	11.6	1.58	14.6	14.7	-0.09
Darius Garland	89	89	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.18	-9	-2	-7	12.9	11.1	1.81	14.3	15.9	-1.53
Jarrett Allen	89	89	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.18	-9	-2	-7	12.9	11.1	1.81	14.3	15.9	-1.53
Evan Mobley	97	97	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.21	-8	-3	-5	12.8	10.7	2.06	14.8	12.0	2.84
Jaylon Tyson	97	98	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.22	-8	-3	-5	12.7	12.0	0.71	14.2	19.5	-5.31
Donovan Mitchell	105	106	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.18	-11	0	-11	12.7	0.0	12.66	14.6	0.0	14.59
Nae'Qwan Tomlin	57	56	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.23	-11	0	-11	13.6	11.5	2.09	14.5	14.7	-0.12
De'Andre Hunter	62	61	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	0.03	-20	9	-29	12.8	12.5	0.25	14.0	15.4	-1.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.34,0.29,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.49,0.59,0.61,0.73,0.74,0.63,0.52,0.52,0.61,0.52,0.48,0.32,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 102, MIN 94	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.32,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.15,0.14,0.09,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0	92.5%
MIN 92, GSW 74	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.33,0.31,0.35,0.33,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.6,0.6,0.51,0.61,0.55,0.47,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.56,0.4,0.34,0.26,0.21,0.25,0.19,0.2,0.09,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	92.2%
LAL 104, PHX 92	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.43,0.36,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.5,0.61,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.48,0.4,0.3,0.26,0.14,0.11,0.12,0.26,0.24,0.1,0.1,0.05,0,0,0	92.1%