NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

LA Clippers	98		Excitement	8.0 [277]		MVP	John Collins (LAC): +22.3%
Detroit Pistons	92		Comeback	23.9 [32]		LVP	Daniss Jenkins (DET): -27.6%

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Collins	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.16	0.06	-0.00	14	78%	0.30	2	-0.07	4	50%	0.03
Ivica Zubac	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.1,0.13	-0.00	0.06	-0.07	9	65%	0.23	4	-0.10	8	62%	0.02
Kawhi Leonard	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.14	-0.05	0.02	13	74%	0.13	3	-0.06	9	67%	-0.02
Nicolas Batum	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Dunn	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.01	-0.00	3	33%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Miller	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	0.01	0.02	8	45%	-0.01	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.03
Brook Lopez	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08	-0.15	0.05	-0.02	20	37%	0.04	5	-0.12	11	91%	0.05
Kobe Sanders	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Duncan Robinson	0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.13	-0.04	-0.00	10	91%	0.17	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Ausar Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Sasser	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caris LeVert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	9	44%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Holland II	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.06	-0.01	15	48%	0.03	2	-0.09	3	100%	0.01
Tolu Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	7	41%	-0.04	2	-0.03	8	87%	0.02
Javonte Green	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	6	50%	0.02	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Jaden Ivey	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	12	33%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Paul Reed	0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.04	-0.01	6	44%	0.04	5	-0.18	6	33%	-0.08
Daniss Jenkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.28,-0.28	-0.28	-0.08	-0.21	-0.02	8	50%	0.14	5	-0.41	4	75%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.8	0.1	30.1	12.2	31.4	0.1	43.8	145.4
league avg	26.4	1.9	29.1	14.2	29.7	2.2	32.8	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +14.4%

LAC +25.6%

DET -29.8%

LAC +44.1%

DET -4.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	DET	NBA	LAC	DET	NBA
this game	14.9	13.3	14.2	97.0	89.3	113.7
season	14.9	14.1		115.1	115.6
opponent	14.3	14.4		108.1	113.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	15.7	17.6	14.0	12.8	14.9
DET	11.9	14.4	14.2	12.9	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kawhi Leonard	75	78	0.74	-0.24	0.99	0.42	11	-5	16	14.6	15.8	-1.23	13.1	14.0	-0.94
Ivica Zubac	78	81	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.33	13	-7	20	14.6	15.8	-1.15	13.3	13.3	-0.03
John Collins	92	94	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.30	10	-4	14	14.9	15.0	-0.12	13.4	12.7	0.68
Kris Dunn	93	96	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.30	9	-3	12	15.2	10.9	4.36	13.1	15.6	-2.45
James Harden	101	103	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.32	6	0	6	14.9	0.0	14.89	13.3	0.0	13.29
Nicolas Batum	96	97	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.34	5	1	4	15.1	10.2	4.94	13.5	10.3	3.14
Jordan Miller	94	95	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	-0.12	-3	9	-12	15.2	11.0	4.18	13.3	12.7	0.59
Kobe Sanders	73	74	-0.32	0.82	-1.13	-0.08	-8	14	-22	15.7	12.8	2.91	13.5	12.9	0.60
Brook Lopez	55	56	-0.33	0.83	-1.16	-0.01	-11	17	-28	15.2	14.5	0.72	12.4	14.3	-1.93

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Sasser	15	14	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.06	0	-6	6	14.1	13.2	0.91	15.4	14.8	0.54
Caris LeVert	97	96	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.02	-1	-5	4	13.4	11.5	1.90	15.1	10.2	4.94
Jaden Ivey	64	63	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.01	-3	-3	0	13.2	13.5	-0.27	15.7	13.6	2.06
Tolu Smith	99	98	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.33	-3	-3	0	13.5	7.5	6.03	15.3	2.7	12.60
Duncan Robinson	101	99	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.35	-6	0	-6	13.4	8.5	4.89	15.1	3.5	11.62
Daniss Jenkins	84	83	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.42	-4	-2	-2	13.0	14.5	-1.51	14.3	17.6	-3.31
Ausar Thompson	99	98	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.31	-8	2	-10	13.5	8.7	4.72	15.2	3.3	11.91
Ronald Holland II	91	89	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.36	-7	1	-8	13.2	14.3	-1.18	14.3	19.0	-4.66
Javonte Green	87	84	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.35	-8	2	-10	13.2	13.9	-0.69	15.2	13.5	1.71
Paul Reed	65	64	-0.82	0.32	-1.14	-0.47	-12	6	-18	12.5	14.6	-2.12	14.5	15.6	-1.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.65,0.69,0.74,0.72,0.72,0.7,0.65,0.68,0.77,0.79,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.8,0.8,0.83,0.8,0.76,0.77,0.82,0.86,0.76,0.63,0.72,0.69,0.55,0.65,0.62,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.81,0.78,0.93,0.94,0.81,0.6,0.76,0.83,0.77,0.71,0.45,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 91, LAC 87	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.72,0.68,0.71,0.78,0.84,0.87,0.82,0.73,0.69,0.74,0.78,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.78,0.73,0.8,0.75,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.87,0.88,0.7,0.76,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.43,0.16,0	91.4%
MIN 100, CLE 94	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.76,0.81,0.8,0.77,0.72,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.78,0.82,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.87,0.8,0.79,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.7,0.78,0.82,0.71,0.81,0.83,0.88,0.78,0.68,0.72,0.68,0.28,0	90.4%
TOR 105, DET 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.82,0.83,0.83,0.9,0.89,0.89,0.89,0.88,0.91,0.81,0.81,0.82,0.78,0.69,0.63,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.74,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.94,0.92,0.87,0.91,0.86,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.91,0.86,0.69,0.57,0.27,0	90.1%