NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	105		Excitement	9.0 [128]		MVP	Jake LaRavia (LAL): +23.6%
Los Angeles Lakers	101		Comeback	6.4 [127]		LVP	Luka Don?i? (LAL): -20.5%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Porter Jr.	0.23	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.01,0.23	0.05	0.19	0.02	14	58%	0.32	3	-0.09	10	70%	-0.02
Myles Turner	0.20	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.2,0.2	-0.01	0.21	-0.01	6	67%	0.27	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent Jr.	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.01	5	60%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Harris	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Kuzma	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	-0.00	10	59%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
AJ Green	0.02	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.07	-0.03	0.02	7	79%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.08,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.05,-0.05	0.08	-0.12	0.01	11	81%	0.13	4	-0.18	4	75%	-0.00
Bobby Portis	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	12	46%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Rollins	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.14,-0.2,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.02	-0.00	13	31%	-0.08	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.05

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jake LaRavia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.07	0.17	0.00	8	81%	0.30	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jarred Vanderbilt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.01	0.00	7	64%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gabe Vincent	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	5	60%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dalton Knecht	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maxi Kleber	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaxson Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	6	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Smart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.05	-0.01	9	50%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Deandre Ayton	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	6	33%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.24,0.15,0.15,-0.17	-0.17	0.02	-0.18	0.01	21	54%	0.08	3	-0.25	6	67%	0.01
Luka Don?i?	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.07	-0.13	0.01	25	41%	-0.14	3	-0.07	8	50%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	2.3	26.2	14.6	27.4	0.0	31.7	0.0
league avg	26.3	2.0	28.9	14.3	29.6	2.2	32.8	136.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +21.9%

MIL +34.8%

LAL -1.0%

LAL -7.0%

MIL +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	LAL	NBA	MIL	LAL	NBA
this game	15.6	14.9	14.2	112.9	105.2	113.5
season	14.7	14.5		112.1	115.4
opponent	14.1	14.3		114.7	115.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	13.1	16.7	16.0	16.8	15.6
LAL	14.4	14.6	15.3	15.3	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Giannis Antetokounmpo	84	86	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.31	10	-6	16	15.5	16.1	-0.61	15.4	10.6	4.78
AJ Green	83	85	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.34	6	-2	8	15.4	16.8	-1.39	15.0	13.8	1.21
Kevin Porter Jr.	92	94	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.40	2	2	0	15.5	22.0	-6.51	14.9	13.0	1.93
Kyle Kuzma	93	95	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.39	2	2	0	15.6	0.0	15.56	14.9	16.0	-1.13
Ryan Rollins	85	88	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.36	3	1	2	15.6	15.0	0.61	15.0	13.6	1.38
Myles Turner	77	77	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.43	0	4	-4	16.2	12.7	3.47	15.2	13.6	1.63
Gary Harris	40	42	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.00	5	-1	6	14.4	16.4	-1.95	15.1	14.7	0.42
Bobby Portis	81	82	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	-0.05	-1	5	-6	15.2	17.9	-2.71	15.1	13.4	1.79
Gary Trent Jr.	62	64	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.06	-5	9	-14	15.0	16.7	-1.77	15.1	14.5	0.53

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Maxi Kleber	6	6	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.02	-3	-1	-2	15.5	14.8	0.66	17.2	15.4	1.72
Dalton Knecht	55	53	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.27	2	-6	8	14.9	14.9	0.06	15.1	16.2	-1.12
Jaxson Hayes	78	76	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.36	2	-6	8	15.0	14.2	0.82	15.3	16.5	-1.19
Luka Don?i?	88	87	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.21	-7	3	-10	15.2	11.1	4.10	15.7	14.2	1.49
LeBron James	84	82	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.31	-4	0	-4	14.9	14.8	0.06	15.5	15.8	-0.29
Marcus Smart	74	72	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.28	-5	1	-6	15.5	13.0	2.50	15.3	16.4	-1.12
Deandre Ayton	54	53	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.03	-17	13	-30	15.4	14.2	1.19	14.8	16.5	-1.65
Jarred Vanderbilt	91	89	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.38	-3	-1	-2	15.0	12.2	2.83	15.3	20.5	-5.16
Gabe Vincent	96	93	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.38	-4	0	-4	14.9	0.0	14.89	15.6	0.0	15.56
Jake LaRavia	90	88	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.33	-9	5	-14	15.1	12.3	2.72	15.5	16.8	-1.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.47,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.27,0.26,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.4,0.36,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.15,0.25,0.23,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.19,0.15,0.24,0.37,0.41,0.59,0.72,0.61,0.79,0.57,0.59,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 98, PHX 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.44,0.39,0.31,0.28,0.33,0.2,0.12,0.16,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.29,0.32,0.31,0.23,0.14,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.25,0.34,0.47,0.64,0.54,0.62,0.61,0.72,0.57,0.58,0	91.3%
PHX 98, DET 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.42,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.26,0.38,0.42,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.34,0.24,0.23,0.16,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.29,0.42,0.53,0.46,0.35,0.55,0.72,0.57,0.26,0	90.2%
MEM 99, DET 93	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.54,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.3,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.33,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.19,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.25,0.27,0.41,0.46,0.4,0.53,0.55,0.71,0.42,0	89.7%