NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	125		Excitement	12.9 [9]		MVP	Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (OKC): +68.5%
Oklahoma City Thunder	129		Comeback	9.8 [131]		LVP	Keyonte George (UTA): -26.7%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lauri Markkanen	0.49	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.06,0.39,0.39,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49	0.11	0.38	0.00	19	67%	0.59	4	-0.10	5	80%	0.00
Brice Sensabaugh	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.21	0.02	0.19	-0.00	12	52%	0.23	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.04
Cody Williams	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	4	62%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ace Bailey	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Collier	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	5	50%	0.04	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.03
Kyle Filipowski	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.00	6	17%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Svi Mykhailiuk	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.06	0.00	-0.05	0.00	8	42%	-0.06	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Taylor Hendricks	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	5	50%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jusuf Nurki?	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,0.01,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	16	42%	-0.07	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Walter Clayton Jr.	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.21,0.07,0.01,0.01,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16	0.04	-0.15	0.05	11	65%	-0.01	3	-0.14	1	100%	0.01
Keyonte George	-0.27	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.23,-0.23,-0.26,-0.27	-0.05	-0.21	0.01	22	51%	-0.04	6	-0.23	5	100%	0.04

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.25,0.32,0.27,0.67,0.73,0.85,0.79,0.79,0.68	0.68	0.28	0.42	0.02	26	65%	0.68	0	0.00	19	89%	0.09
Chet Holmgren	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.3,0.48	0.48	0.11	0.38	0.00	15	61%	0.50	1	-0.02	8	62%	-0.09
Luguentz Dort	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	-0.00	-0.03	5	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Isaiah Joe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	3	56%	0.03	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Jalen Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.16,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	15	50%	0.02	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Kenrich Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Branden Carlson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	4	30%	-0.02	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Ajay Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	-0.00	15	47%	-0.05	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Aaron Wiggins	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.04	-0.05	0.04	9	39%	-0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Cason Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.10	-0.14	-0.02	7	29%	-0.05	3	-0.18	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	25.2	0.0	30.7	0.0	32.9	0.0	32.0	0.0	20.9	0.0
league avg	26.3	2.0	28.9	14.4	29.6	2.3	32.8	2.2	16.6	136.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +40.8%

OKC +4.3%

UTA -20.2%

OKC +27.8%

UTA -2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	OKC	NBA	UTA	OKC	NBA
this game	14.3	12.4	14.2	104.2	109.3	113.6
season	14.0	13.6		113.0	118.2
opponent	14.6	13.6		104.5	121.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
UTA	14.6	12.5	14.2	16.8	12.8	14.3
OKC	11.8	12.7	11.5	13.4	12.9	12.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jusuf Nurki?	88	88	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.07	4	-8	12	14.4	13.9	0.51	12.8	11.2	1.56
Taylor Hendricks	77	75	0.04	-0.54	0.57	0.33	-10	6	-16	15.1	12.8	2.36	12.4	12.4	0.04
Svi Mykhailiuk	88	87	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.36	8	-12	20	14.1	14.7	-0.51	12.9	11.0	1.94
Brice Sensabaugh	87	86	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.41	8	-12	20	14.0	14.9	-0.86	13.1	10.6	2.43
Isaiah Collier	69	68	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.16	-13	9	-22	14.8	13.5	1.28	12.0	12.9	-0.87
Kyle Filipowski	28	27	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.10	-12	8	-20	15.2	14.0	1.26	11.9	12.6	-0.71
Cody Williams	56	54	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.00	-9	5	-14	14.4	14.2	0.24	11.7	13.0	-1.35
Ace Bailey	63	60	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.03	-12	8	-20	14.4	14.1	0.31	12.6	12.2	0.41
Walter Clayton Jr.	58	57	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.39	1	-5	6	14.4	14.2	0.22	13.4	11.4	1.98
Keyonte George	115	114	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.44	0	-4	4	14.3	13.0	1.34	12.3	14.7	-2.43
Lauri Markkanen	120	118	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.38	-4	0	-4	14.3	0.0	14.28	12.4	0.0	12.40

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ajay Mitchell	111	114	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.39	8	-4	12	12.6	9.7	2.85	14.4	12.0	2.40
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	118	120	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.38	4	0	4	12.4	0.0	12.40	14.3	0.0	14.28
Jalen Williams	105	107	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.35	1	3	-2	12.7	10.2	2.52	14.4	13.1	1.35
Kenrich Williams	57	58	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.04	13	-9	22	11.9	12.9	-0.94	14.4	14.1	0.32
Chet Holmgren	96	98	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.38	-3	7	-10	12.6	11.4	1.27	14.4	13.9	0.51
Luguentz Dort	88	91	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.41	-5	9	-14	12.4	12.4	-0.00	13.5	16.6	-3.08
Branden Carlson	75	76	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.06	4	0	4	12.5	12.3	0.19	14.1	14.5	-0.38
Cason Wallace	116	117	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.06	2	2	0	12.5	7.5	4.98	14.4	8.0	6.44
Isaiah Joe	23	24	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	-0.07	-5	9	-14	13.9	12.0	1.88	14.2	14.3	-0.04
Aaron Wiggins	85	85	-0.29	0.79	-1.07	0.01	-10	14	-24	12.6	12.0	0.60	14.7	13.3	1.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.82,0.88,0.85,0.83,0.8,0.77,0.78,0.77,0.72,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.63,0.67,0.58,0.43,0.65,0.59,0.65,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.27,0.17,0.15,0.1,0.29,0.28,0.32,0.15,0.5,0.61,0.63,0.77,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 102, BOS 104	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.49,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.67,0.64,0.6,0.65,0.59,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.8,0.79,0.77,0.67,0.67,0.59,0.65,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.48,0.56,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.41,0.29,0.27,0.25,0.36,0.43,0.27,0.54,0.55,0.78,0.78,0.85,1	89.0%
DET 112, ORL 116	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.55,0.63,0.72,0.72,0.71,0.75,0.74,0.83,0.8,0.85,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.84,0.8,0.75,0.81,0.73,0.58,0.65,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.68,0.74,0.7,0.79,0.71,0.58,0.36,0.12,0.17,0.14,0.36,0.2,0.42,0.46,0.52,0.63,0.75,0.42,1	88.6%
IND 93, NJN 98	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.67,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.73,0.64,0.62,0.68,0.65,0.7,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.42,0.37,0.26,0.29,0.17,0.19,0.07,0.03,0.17,0.46,0.53,0.64,0.86,0.92,1	88.4%