NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	114		Excitement	7.4 [360]		MVP	Daniss Jenkins (DET): +24.6%
Cleveland Cavaliers	110		Comeback	2.3 [286]		LVP	Jaylon Tyson (CLE): -9.8%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Daniss Jenkins	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.21,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.28,0.28,0.25	0.23	0.03	0.02	10	100%	0.29	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.03
Cade Cunningham	0.12	0,0,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.03	0.11	0.01	22	49%	0.14	1	-0.02	11	100%	0.10
Javonte Green	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.02	9	55%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jaden Ivey	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	9	39%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Duncan Robinson	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	11	55%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Stewart	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.04	0.00	7	57%	0.10	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Holland II	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	7	47%	0.03	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Paul Reed	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	9	44%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ausar Thompson	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03	-0.06	0.01	-0.02	9	44%	0.01	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Sasser	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
De'Andre Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.01	0.10	-0.01	8	64%	0.20	3	-0.09	6	100%	0.08
Sam Merrill	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05	0.05	0.11	-0.01	0.05	8	94%	0.12	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Thomas Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.00	2	87%	0.09	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Evan Mobley	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.07	-0.02	0.04	9	71%	0.07	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Darius Garland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.02	0.01	15	50%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Donovan Mitchell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.05,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.2,0.15,0	-0.00	0.10	-0.10	0.01	21	59%	0.17	2	-0.18	9	78%	0.00
Nae'Qwan Tomlin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	42%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Craig Porter Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Lonzo Ball	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jaylon Tyson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	9	30%	-0.04	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	0.1	32.0	0.1	41.7	0.1	38.5	138.4
league avg	26.4	1.9	29.1	14.2	29.7	2.2	32.8	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +14.1%

CLE -5.2%

DET +27.4%

DET +12.1%

DET +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	CLE	NBA	DET	CLE	NBA
this game	15.1	13.0	14.2	112.9	105.8	113.7
season	14.1	13.7		115.9	116.9
opponent	14.6	14.4		112.5	108.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	17.1	12.3	15.4	15.9	15.1
CLE	11.5	13.9	13.5	12.9	13.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Daniss Jenkins	76	79	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.30	13	-9	22	14.5	17.1	-2.66	13.4	11.5	1.95
Javonte Green	100	102	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.37	3	1	2	15.2	3.0	12.24	13.1	5.5	7.61
Duncan Robinson	81	82	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.30	4	0	4	15.4	13.8	1.58	13.5	10.8	2.72
Jaden Ivey	85	86	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.14	7	-3	10	15.0	15.7	-0.75	13.2	12.1	1.10
Ronald Holland II	85	87	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.17	5	-1	6	15.0	15.7	-0.75	13.1	12.1	1.01
Cade Cunningham	87	89	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.33	-1	5	-6	15.4	13.1	2.38	13.2	11.7	1.44
Ausar Thompson	69	69	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.30	-3	7	-10	16.2	12.7	3.51	13.7	11.6	2.05
Paul Reed	87	89	0.21	0.28	-0.07	0.21	0	4	-4	15.3	14.0	1.30	13.2	11.3	1.98
Isaiah Stewart	71	72	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.41	-14	18	-32	16.2	12.5	3.77	13.4	12.0	1.39
Marcus Sasser	25	25	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.08	-9	13	-22	17.1	14.5	2.66	11.5	13.4	-1.95

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nae'Qwan Tomlin	66	65	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.15	5	-9	14	13.4	12.1	1.31	15.8	14.0	1.78
Thomas Bryant	93	91	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.32	0	-4	4	13.1	11.5	1.58	15.6	10.4	5.24
Jaylon Tyson	64	63	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.00	-14	10	-24	14.0	11.2	2.78	15.0	15.4	-0.44
Evan Mobley	85	83	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.31	-4	0	-4	13.4	11.1	2.34	15.3	14.3	0.96
Craig Porter Jr.	93	91	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.15	-10	6	-16	13.6	7.9	5.65	15.1	15.3	-0.20
De'Andre Hunter	101	100	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.37	-3	-1	-2	13.2	4.7	8.54	15.2	3.0	12.24
Donovan Mitchell	104	101	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.38	-4	0	-4	13.0	0.0	12.96	15.1	0.0	15.12
Darius Garland	84	83	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.26	-9	5	-14	13.7	10.0	3.67	15.1	15.0	0.14
Sam Merrill	80	80	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.31	-9	5	-14	13.4	11.5	1.95	15.3	14.6	0.69
Lonzo Ball	49	48	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	-0.20	-15	11	-26	13.8	12.2	1.58	14.2	16.0	-1.77

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.61,0.65,0.68,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.56,0.51,0.44,0.36,0.22,0.29,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.48,0.33,0.21,0.3,0.22,0.12,0.05,0.12,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.15,0.17,0
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 95, LAC 87	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.57,0.56,0.59,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.48,0.41,0.37,0.44,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0	93.5%
SAS 96, UTA 78	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.61,0.54,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.43,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.29,0.31,0.27,0.26,0.29,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.12,0.06,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	92.6%
LAC 106, ORL 95	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.71,0.74,0.65,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.29,0.15,0.26,0.18,0.18,0.11,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	92.6%