inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Golden State Warriors 132 Excitement7.5 [181] MVPBrandin Podziemski (GSW): +34.0%
Charlotte Hornets 125 Comeback2.4 [323] LVPCollin Sexton (CHA): -10.8%


Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Brandin Podziemski0.340,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.28,0.28,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.340.170.17-0.00995%0.381-0.042100%0.01
Gui Santos0.180,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.140.040.006108%0.1800.0000%0.00
Gary Payton II0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.100.030.014112%0.1300.0000%0.00
Jimmy Butler III0.070,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.060.040.03868%0.143-0.071292%0.06
Al Horford0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.040.03-0.00757%0.0700.0000%0.00
Stephen Curry0.060,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.060.10-0.020.021674%0.215-0.143100%0.01
Moses Moody0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.02-0.01-0.00750%0.0100.0000%0.00
Will Richard0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,00.000.000.00383%0.052-0.0500%0.00
Trayce Jackson-Davis0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Quinten Post-0.000,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,00.04-0.010.03764%0.021-0.0300%0.00
Draymond Green-0.010,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.010.00-0.000.01683%0.074-0.0800%0.00
Pat Spencer-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.03-0.030.0020%-0.0600.0000%0.00
De'Anthony Melton-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.06-0.030.00844%0.013-0.1000%0.00

Charlotte Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
LaMelo Ball0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.21,0.28,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.150.150.170.030.051396%0.325-0.172100%0.01
Kon Knueppel0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.16-0.000.021183%0.161-0.032100%0.01
Sion James0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.090.040.00482%0.1300.00367%-0.00
PJ Hall0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.050.010.00664%0.0500.00250%-0.01
Tidjane Salaün0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.030.020.00560%0.0500.0000%0.00
Josh Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.01-0.010.00550%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Brandon Miller0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.06-0.060.012954%0.103-0.11367%-0.01
Liam McNeeley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.020.0010%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Moussa Diabaté0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.09-0.02-0.0030%-0.062-0.0500%0.00
Collin Sexton0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.08-0.03-0.011643%0.014-0.12580%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.21.332.40.241.30.232.9134.5
league avg26.32.128.914.529.52.332.7136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
GSW +43.2%
GSW +5.7%
GSW +1.4%
CHA -3.3%
GSW +3.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsGSWCHANBAGSWCHANBA
this game14.613.514.1129.4122.5113.8
season14.714.6112.4113.9
opponent14.013.6115.9111.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
GSW13.315.514.015.914.6
CHA14.213.912.114.113.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Draymond Green80800.81-0.311.120.3416-92514.415.6-1.2313.314.4-1.04
Stephen Curry88870.60-0.100.710.2811-41514.515.2-0.6813.812.11.66
Quinten Post52530.60-0.100.690.2711-41514.015.3-1.2814.112.91.21
Moses Moody57560.57-0.070.630.309-21114.215.2-1.0614.013.01.00
Jimmy Butler III1021020.500.000.500.2970714.60.014.6313.50.013.55
Will Richard1021020.500.000.500.2970714.60.014.6313.50.013.55
De'Anthony Melton1011010.450.050.410.2570714.80.014.7713.66.07.62
Gui Santos63620.310.190.130.1170715.313.61.6414.012.81.19
Pat Spencer43430.230.27-0.050.2307-715.314.11.2513.313.7-0.35
Brandin Podziemski71710.050.45-0.400.08-18-914.415.2-0.7713.912.71.21
Trayce Jackson-Davis4240-0.120.62-0.730.06-613-1913.615.4-1.8013.213.8-0.62
Gary Payton II7877-0.120.62-0.74-0.06-29-1114.215.9-1.6313.513.8-0.33
Al Horford7473-0.240.74-0.990.02-916-2514.115.9-1.7913.314.1-0.73

Charlotte Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Josh Green72710.10-0.600.700.042-91113.513.8-0.3114.215.7-1.51
Liam McNeeley6868-0.18-0.320.13-0.10-3-4114.012.71.2213.916.2-2.32
PJ Hall6162-0.26-0.24-0.01-0.11-5-2-313.613.40.2214.015.6-1.68
Tidjane Salaün7777-0.44-0.06-0.38-0.23-70-713.912.51.4214.315.6-1.34
Kon Knueppel9898-0.44-0.06-0.38-0.24-70-713.612.01.6114.811.03.78
Sion James101102-0.46-0.04-0.42-0.25-70-713.66.07.6214.60.014.63
Brandon Miller102102-0.500.00-0.50-0.29-70-713.50.013.5514.60.014.63
Collin Sexton7677-0.530.03-0.57-0.27-92-1113.613.50.1214.614.8-0.23
LaMelo Ball9798-0.550.05-0.59-0.28-92-1113.416.2-2.7914.712.02.73
Moussa Diabaté8583-0.820.32-1.14-0.29-1811-2913.812.41.3614.415.8-1.43


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.44,0.37,0.26,0.16,0.13,0.21,0.27,0.29,0.45,0.48,0.66,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.46,0.33,0.38,0.19,0.22,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.11,0.02,0.04,0
GameSimilarity Score
DEN 111, GSW 1000.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.39,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.31,0.31,0.22,0.27,0.29,0.32,0.42,0.35,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.32,0.31,0.19,0.22,0.15,0.22,0.03,0,092.1%
NOP 99, HOU 900.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.3,0.26,0.31,0.31,0.24,0.3,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.41,0.56,0.59,0.62,0.57,0.52,0.42,0.23,0.14,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.01,092.0%
IND 105, POR 970.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.41,0.42,0.37,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.37,0.34,0.28,0.2,0.17,0.33,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.4,0.5,0.34,0.3,0.43,0.37,0.3,0.2,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,091.8%