NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	122		Excitement	9.7 [71]		MVP	Max Christie (DAL): +64.3%
Portland Trail Blazers	125		Comeback	3.6 [269]		LVP	Cooper Flagg (DAL): -33.5%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Max Christie	0.64	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.64,0.64	0.20	0.49	0.04	12	89%	0.69	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Brandon Williams	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.29,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.17	-0.01	0.02	12	73%	0.15	0	0.00	6	100%	0.04
Klay Thompson	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14	0.05	0.09	0.00	12	52%	0.14	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Daniel Gafford	0.06	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.00	0.03	9	77%	0.14	2	-0.08	4	75%	-0.02
Dwight Powell	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caleb Martin	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Washington	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08	0.00	-0.07	0.01	8	44%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ryan Nembhard	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	4	0%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Naji Marshall	-0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.07,-0.25	0.06	-0.29	0.02	12	63%	-0.19	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.02
Cooper Flagg	-0.34	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.34	-0.17	-0.18	-0.01	20	36%	-0.09	5	-0.25	2	100%	0.03

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Caleb Love	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.06,0.06,0.19,0.19,0.38,0.38,0.56	0.56	0.17	0.38	-0.00	15	75%	0.62	1	-0.07	2	100%	0.08
Donovan Clingan	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.17	0.02	0.02	10	90%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Williams III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.02	5	80%	0.08	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shaedon Sharpe	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,-0.06,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	23	48%	0.03	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.04
Rayan Rupert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.02	-0.05	0.01	9	50%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Toumani Camara	0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.06	-0.07	0.03	7	64%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sidy Cissoko	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.09	0.00	-0.05	8	30%	-0.00	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Yang Hansen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Deni Avdija	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0,-0.14	-0.14	-0.00	-0.12	0.02	18	56%	0.12	6	-0.26	12	67%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.5	0.3	32.7	6.6	28.2	0.0	38.0	0.0
league avg	26.3	2.0	28.9	14.3	29.6	2.2	32.8	136.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +7.5%

POR +9.8%

POR +36.5%

DAL -5.6%

POR +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	POR	NBA	DAL	POR	NBA
this game	13.1	14.3	14.2	117.3	117.9	113.5
season	13.8	13.8		109.2	111.9
opponent	14.0	14.0		114.5	112.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	13.4	13.5	13.4	12.0	13.1
POR	13.6	13.1	14.8	15.7	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Nembhard	57	57	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	0.03	-2	-1	-1	13.8	12.2	1.67	14.7	13.8	0.89
Caleb Martin	64	65	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.02	-7	4	-11	14.1	11.5	2.62	14.2	14.4	-0.16
Brandon Williams	97	98	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.10	-7	4	-11	13.5	7.4	6.07	14.3	13.9	0.45
Klay Thompson	87	89	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.38	-2	-1	-1	13.3	11.8	1.51	14.5	13.2	1.33
Naji Marshall	98	102	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.33	-5	2	-7	13.5	7.0	6.46	14.5	9.5	4.98
P.J. Washington	99	102	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.37	-5	2	-7	13.4	7.8	5.55	14.5	9.5	4.98
Cooper Flagg	87	88	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.40	-6	3	-9	13.5	11.2	2.28	14.2	14.9	-0.79
Dwight Powell	86	89	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.41	-6	3	-9	13.9	9.2	4.67	14.6	12.8	1.82
Max Christie	82	84	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.34	-9	6	-15	13.5	11.6	1.90	14.1	15.2	-1.12
Daniel Gafford	100	103	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.41	-8	5	-13	13.4	5.0	8.41	14.4	11.7	2.70

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Deni Avdija	96	93	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.45	6	-3	9	14.7	10.7	3.97	13.4	10.2	3.25
Sidy Cissoko	102	100	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.46	5	-2	7	14.3	13.0	1.34	13.4	4.2	9.19
Toumani Camara	94	93	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.46	2	1	1	14.6	11.6	3.05	13.3	11.4	1.93
Shaedon Sharpe	106	104	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.41	3	0	3	14.3	0.0	14.29	13.1	0.0	13.09
Caleb Love	106	104	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.41	3	0	3	14.3	0.0	14.29	13.1	0.0	13.09
Donovan Clingan	86	84	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.38	-1	4	-5	14.5	13.2	1.28	13.2	12.7	0.48
Robert Williams III	97	94	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.23	4	-1	5	14.5	12.0	2.51	13.8	6.5	7.29
Yang Hansen	70	67	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.09	7	-4	11	14.3	14.3	0.02	14.0	11.5	2.48
Rayan Rupert	86	85	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.04	-2	5	-7	14.8	12.3	2.46	13.5	11.3	2.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.76,0.83,0.8,0.84,0.8,0.82,0.86,0.78,0.77,0.79,0.86,0.82,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.81,0.85,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.47,0.53,0.45,0.22,0.77,0.31,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 103, DAL 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.73,0.71,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.65,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.73,0.63,0.62,0.75,0.75,0.7,0.76,0.74,0.74,0.78,0.7,0.67,0.75,0.66,0.7,0.57,0.76,0.68,0.64,0.6,0.47,0.39,0.29,0.57,0.58,1	90.2%
DEN 93, MEM 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.76,0.68,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.86,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.87,0.84,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.74,0.78,0.85,0.78,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.77,0.64,0.59,0.74,0.61,0.54,0.76,0.42,1	90.0%
MIL 83, LAC 86	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.86,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.82,0.77,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.85,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.79,0.85,0.86,0.89,0.78,0.62,0.48,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.52,0.45,0.63,0.55,0.31,1	89.7%