NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	126		Excitement	8.6 [115]		MVP	Coby White (CHI): +28.6%
Atlanta Hawks	123		Comeback	18.6 [25]		LVP	Jalen Johnson (ATL): -14.0%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Coby White	0.29	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,0.07,0,0.29	0.05	0.25	0.01	13	75%	0.59	7	-0.31	6	83%	0.10
Tre Jones	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.16,0.16	0.03	0.13	0.01	6	56%	0.16	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Matas Buzelis	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.15	0.02	0.03	8	88%	0.13	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Nikola Vu?evi?	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.04	16	62%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Jalen Smith	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	3	56%	0.05	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Zach Collins	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	9	56%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Huerter	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	7	50%	0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Isaac Okoro	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Patrick Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Giddey	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.18,-0.18,-0.04	-0.06	0.02	0.00	15	59%	0.11	7	-0.15	2	50%	-0.02
Ayo Dosunmu	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	6	43%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
V�t Krej?�	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.19	0.05	0.02	9	106%	0.24	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.14,0.18	0.18	0.06	0.13	0.01	19	52%	0.18	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Trae Young	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.18	0.18	0.08	0.11	0.01	16	54%	0.20	1	-0.02	9	78%	0.00
Asa Newell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	-0.00	-0.02	7	93%	0.12	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Zaccharie Risacher	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.00	6	62%	0.07	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Keaton Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Onyeka Okongwu	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	9	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Luke Kennard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Johnson	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	23	49%	0.10	5	-0.24	3	33%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	0.0	29.2	0.0	33.1	0.0	44.3	0.0
league avg	26.3	2.1	28.9	14.5	29.5	2.3	32.7	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL -23.1%

CHI +53.9%

CHI +32.2%

ATL -12.0%

ATL -1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	ATL	NBA	CHI	ATL	NBA
this game	12.9	13.5	14.1	116.7	111.8	113.9
season	13.5	13.2		112.3	114.3
opponent	14.4	14.1		114.5	116.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	12.5	12.8	13.4	12.8	12.9
ATL	13.6	14.9	11.5	14.4	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Coby White	94	96	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.40	8	-5	13	13.1	11.4	1.74	13.6	13.1	0.43
Josh Giddey	97	99	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.41	7	-4	11	13.1	10.9	2.18	13.5	13.5	0.07
Nikola Vu?evi?	93	95	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.42	6	-3	9	13.0	11.8	1.24	13.5	13.6	-0.09
Tre Jones	105	107	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.40	4	-1	5	12.9	13.0	-0.13	13.6	12.0	1.56
Isaac Okoro	67	68	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.18	4	-1	5	13.5	11.8	1.76	13.9	13.0	0.88
Kevin Huerter	95	96	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.11	-2	5	-7	13.2	10.5	2.65	13.6	12.8	0.84
Matas Buzelis	58	58	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	-0.04	-3	6	-9	13.4	12.2	1.25	13.9	13.1	0.84
Patrick Williams	34	33	-0.21	0.71	-0.91	0.09	-10	13	-23	13.0	12.8	0.15	13.8	13.4	0.47
Jalen Smith	58	58	-0.23	0.73	-0.97	-0.06	-6	9	-15	13.0	12.8	0.21	12.7	14.4	-1.75
Ayo Dosunmu	80	81	-0.34	0.84	-1.17	-0.07	-9	12	-21	13.2	11.9	1.27	13.5	13.5	0.05
Zach Collins	76	77	-0.36	0.86	-1.22	-0.13	-8	11	-19	13.6	11.2	2.44	13.3	14.0	-0.73

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luke Kennard	78	77	0.23	-0.73	0.95	0.08	5	-8	13	13.4	13.8	-0.37	13.4	11.7	1.67
Keaton Wallace	62	61	0.12	-0.62	0.74	0.09	1	-4	5	13.2	13.9	-0.63	13.0	12.7	0.22
Asa Newell	94	93	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.13	3	-6	9	13.6	12.9	0.75	13.3	10.4	2.87
Trae Young	108	108	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.08	0	-3	3	13.8	0.5	13.26	12.9	0.0	12.87
Zaccharie Risacher	74	75	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.25	3	-6	9	13.7	13.2	0.52	13.6	11.3	2.30
Onyeka Okongwu	107	107	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.28	-2	-1	-1	13.8	3.3	10.47	13.0	1.0	11.98
V�t Krej?�	110	108	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.41	-3	0	-3	13.5	0.0	13.52	12.9	0.0	12.87
Jalen Johnson	101	99	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.45	-2	-1	-1	13.4	14.8	-1.37	13.2	9.1	4.10
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	94	92	-0.69	0.19	-0.89	-0.43	-9	6	-15	13.7	12.7	0.97	13.1	11.5	1.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.46,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.65,0.67,0.62,0.71,0.6,0.69,0.8,0.86,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.8,0.84,0.79,0.8,0.75,0.73,0.81,0.87,0.85,0.76,0.85,0.83,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.88,0.76,0.88,0.79,0.91,0.9,0.9,0.79,0.68,0.31,0
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 103, LAL 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.72,0.72,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.78,0.78,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.83,0.76,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.73,0.83,0.87,0.83,0.89,0.82,0.87,0.96,0.92,0.91,0.87,0.81,0.79,0.67,0.42,0	92.2%
MIN 82, HOU 79	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.61,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.72,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.87,0.87,0.86,0.84,0.78,0.76,0.82,0.89,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.83,0.86,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.81,0.87,0.79,0.8,0.77,0.79,0.81,0.67,0.75,0.64,0.55,0.27,0	92.2%
PHI 127, BKN 125	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.72,0.74,0.79,0.71,0.78,0.76,0.75,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.86,0.88,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.9,0.95,0.83,0.81,0.94,0.94,0.91,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.97,0.95,0.9,0.85,0.71,0.42,0	92.0%