NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	125		Excitement	6.7 [426]		MVP	Naz Reid (MIN): +22.5%
New Orleans Pelicans	116		Comeback	2.4 [674]		LVP	Micah Peavy (NOP): -11.2%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Naz Reid	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.13	0.12	0.03	13	66%	0.22	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Julius Randle	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11	0.09	0.02	-0.01	18	64%	0.16	4	-0.04	8	100%	0.04
Jaylen Clark	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.01	-0.00	9	60%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Donte DiVincenzo	0.03	0,0,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.10	-0.00	0.07	10	71%	0.05	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.02	8	62%	0.06	1	-0.04	8	62%	-0.05
Terrence Shannon Jr.	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	70%	0.06	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Rob Dillingham	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaden McDaniels	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	0.04	14	47%	-0.01	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Anthony Edwards	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.02	-0.03	6	73%	0.09	8	-0.17	3	100%	0.03
Mike Conley	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.00	7	14%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karlo Matkovi?	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.01	5	80%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bryce McGowens	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	12	50%	0.05	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Derik Queen	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	9	55%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Jose Alvarado	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.07	-0.01	0.04	8	81%	0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Trey Murphy III	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	17	50%	0.05	2	-0.06	8	87%	0.01
Saddiq Bey	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.06	-0.03	0.05	17	53%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Jordan Hawkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Trey Alexander	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremiah Fears	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	0.01	-0.05	0.06	17	56%	-0.01	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Micah Peavy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	2	0%	-0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	0.0	29.1	0.0	33.5	0.0	27.0	0.0
league avg	26.4	1.9	29.0	14.3	29.7	2.2	32.8	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +35.6%

MIN +6.4%

MIN +17.0%

NOP -9.7%

MIN +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	NOP	NBA	MIN	NOP	NBA
this game	12.6	13.2	14.2	111.6	104.5	113.4
season	13.9	14.1		114.9	112.3
opponent	14.1	14.1		115.9	111.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	12.6	15.9	11.6	10.2	12.6
NOP	13.4	10.4	13.2	16.1	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Edwards	86	86	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.24	11	-2	13	12.7	12.0	0.68	13.5	12.4	1.07
Naz Reid	112	111	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.24	9	0	9	12.6	0.0	12.56	13.2	0.0	13.23
Jaden McDaniels	96	96	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.24	6	3	3	12.5	12.9	-0.44	13.6	10.9	2.73
Julius Randle	93	93	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.21	4	5	-1	12.6	12.2	0.49	12.8	15.3	-2.52
Donte DiVincenzo	86	88	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.31	0	9	-9	12.5	12.6	-0.07	13.1	13.7	-0.65
Terrence Shannon Jr.	61	60	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.02	-1	10	-11	12.6	12.5	0.02	12.9	13.6	-0.78
Rudy Gobert	57	57	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.00	-2	11	-13	13.1	12.1	1.00	13.0	13.4	-0.39
Jaylen Clark	83	84	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.01	-2	11	-13	13.3	10.6	2.67	12.3	16.1	-3.76
Rob Dillingham	29	30	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.01	-3	12	-15	12.8	12.5	0.31	12.6	13.5	-0.86
Mike Conley	84	84	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.02	-2	11	-13	13.3	10.2	3.13	12.3	16.1	-3.76

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trey Alexander	28	26	0.11	-0.61	0.73	-0.03	5	-14	19	10.4	14.2	-3.84	15.7	11.6	4.13
Micah Peavy	88	87	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.01	0	-9	9	12.5	16.0	-3.45	13.3	10.2	3.09
Derik Queen	88	86	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.31	0	-9	9	13.1	13.7	-0.65	12.5	12.6	-0.07
Saddiq Bey	91	91	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.28	-1	-8	7	13.0	14.0	-1.01	12.9	11.3	1.57
Jordan Hawkins	62	62	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.05	-10	1	-11	13.9	12.3	1.57	12.1	13.1	-1.01
Jeremiah Fears	95	95	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.24	-4	-5	1	12.9	15.3	-2.44	12.5	12.8	-0.24
Bryce McGowens	100	100	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.19	-10	1	-11	13.4	11.9	1.46	12.8	10.4	2.40
Trey Murphy III	106	105	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.24	-9	0	-9	13.1	15.4	-2.28	12.7	10.7	1.97
Jose Alvarado	94	95	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.21	-12	3	-15	13.7	10.8	2.91	12.0	15.7	-3.71
Karlo Matkovi?	94	94	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.20	-15	6	-21	14.2	7.6	6.59	12.1	15.2	-3.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.36,0.44,0.47,0.38,0.31,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.44,0.51,0.39,0.5,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.68,0.62,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.47,0.26,0.12,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 109, MIL 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.35,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.5,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.69,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.29,0.24,0.19,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.02,0.06,0.16,0	93.0%
NOH 92, POR 77	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.33,0.34,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.66,0.68,0.65,0.7,0.6,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.29,0.28,0.24,0.11,0.16,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	92.9%
DAL 106, SAC 99	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.52,0.53,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.7,0.73,0.68,0.59,0.62,0.52,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.57,0.41,0.33,0.12,0.1,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0	92.7%