NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	123		Excitement	9.8 [35]		MVP	Austin Reaves (LAL): +39.7%
Toronto Raptors	120		Comeback	3.6 [98]		LVP	Brandon Ingram (TOR): -29.8%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Austin Reaves	0.40	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.26,0.33,0.4,0.37,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.43,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.25,0.25,0.4	0.27	0.13	0.00	21	77%	0.63	5	-0.24	15	87%	0.07
Rui Hachimura	0.32	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.32	0.04	0.29	0.01	9	60%	0.35	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Nick Smith Jr.	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.09	0.07	0.00	7	71%	0.16	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Deandre Ayton	0.14	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.09	0.06	0.00	11	74%	0.20	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Jake LaRavia	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.04	0.01	8	78%	0.14	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Adou Thiero	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	1	80%	0.05	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Dalton Knecht	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	1	150%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaxson Hayes	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gabe Vincent	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	8	31%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.04	-0.04	17	24%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamison Battle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.08	0.13	0.00	5	83%	0.21	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.04
Scottie Barnes	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.09	0.09	-0.02	16	61%	0.21	1	-0.00	6	83%	0.02
Ja'Kobe Walter	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.14	0.04	0.00	10	74%	0.18	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Collin Murray-Boyles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.03	0.00	7	86%	0.14	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Immanuel Quickley	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.01	0.06	-0.03	9	68%	0.17	5	-0.09	1	100%	0.01
Gradey Dick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.02	-0.00	4	80%	0.07	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jonathan Mogbo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sandro Mamukelashvili	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.16,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	13	45%	0.09	2	-0.12	3	67%	0.00
Jamal Shead	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	0.00	1	67%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Brandon Ingram	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.21,-0.21,-0.32,-0.3	-0.30	-0.07	-0.22	0.01	23	43%	-0.15	3	-0.15	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	0.0	27.2	0.0	44.1	0.0	33.0	0.0
league avg	26.3	2.1	28.8	14.6	29.4	2.3	32.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +34.9%

LAL +16.0%

TOR -9.4%

LAL +7.0%

LAL +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	TOR	NBA	LAL	TOR	NBA
this game	16.4	14.2	14.1	130.9	127.7	113.7
season	14.5	13.9		117.0	114.2
opponent	14.6	14.0		111.6	115.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	15.9	14.8	15.9	19.6	16.4
TOR	12.1	14.6	14.1	16.4	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Austin Reaves	89	89	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.34	7	-4	11	16.4	15.8	0.65	14.6	7.0	7.60
LeBron James	88	87	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.42	3	0	3	16.3	17.5	-1.16	14.2	13.7	0.52
Jake LaRavia	94	94	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.41	3	0	3	16.4	0.0	16.41	14.2	0.0	14.19
Rui Hachimura	90	90	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.35	5	-2	7	16.4	17.0	-0.61	14.4	9.7	4.64
Deandre Ayton	70	69	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.36	0	3	-3	16.5	16.2	0.33	14.6	13.0	1.68
Jaxson Hayes	79	78	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.04	3	0	3	16.4	16.6	-0.22	13.9	15.7	-1.88
Nick Smith Jr.	72	70	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.00	2	1	1	16.7	15.5	1.14	13.7	15.5	-1.76
Dalton Knecht	12	12	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.00	1	2	-1	15.2	16.6	-1.34	12.2	14.5	-2.23
Gabe Vincent	67	68	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	-0.01	0	3	-3	16.6	15.9	0.79	13.7	15.4	-1.65
Adou Thiero	33	34	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	0.04	-7	10	-17	15.5	16.9	-1.43	13.8	14.4	-0.62

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamison Battle	62	64	0.16	-0.66	0.82	0.01	5	-8	13	13.5	15.5	-1.98	17.1	14.9	2.27
Collin Murray-Boyles	66	67	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.02	-1	-2	1	13.4	16.0	-2.52	15.8	18.0	-2.22
Jonathan Mogbo	12	12	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.00	-1	-2	1	12.2	14.5	-2.23	15.2	16.6	-1.34
Ja'Kobe Walter	51	52	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.04	-3	0	-3	14.4	13.9	0.52	15.2	18.0	-2.78
Gradey Dick	77	77	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.08	-6	3	-9	13.7	16.3	-2.57	16.4	16.4	0.08
Immanuel Quickley	85	85	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.43	-1	-2	1	14.4	12.4	1.93	16.4	16.1	0.34
Jamal Shead	87	86	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.41	-3	0	-3	14.6	9.7	4.84	16.6	14.1	2.50
Scottie Barnes	94	94	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.41	-3	0	-3	14.2	0.0	14.19	16.4	0.0	16.41
Sandro Mamukelashvili	78	79	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.39	-5	2	-7	14.9	10.7	4.15	16.1	17.9	-1.73
Brandon Ingram	87	87	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.33	-7	4	-11	14.7	8.1	6.54	16.3	18.0	-1.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.31,0.34,0.38,0.37,0.42,0.34,0.36,0.32,0.37,0.37,0.42,0.34,0.26,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.38,0.37,0.29,0.36,0.42,0.26,0.34,0.36,0.32,0.36,0.54,0.61,0.62,0.36,0.78,0.53,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 93, IND 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.31,0.32,0.27,0.35,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.33,0.42,0.45,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.26,0.26,0.34,0.33,0.37,0.36,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.59,0.58,0	91.7%
PHI 127, UTA 124	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.37,0.47,0.37,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.37,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.31,0.2,0.22,0.34,0.4,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.47,0.48,0.48,0.33,0.36,0.5,0.34,0.38,0.24,0.42,0.26,0.46,0.39,0.32,0.45,0.84,0.41,0	91.1%
ATL 87, IND 85	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.31,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.31,0.23,0.33,0.4,0.46,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.36,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.47,0.38,0.42,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.69,0.55,0.68,0.31,0	90.1%