NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	149		Excitement	10.2 [27]		MVP	Anthony Edwards (MIN): +71.6%
New Orleans Pelicans	142		Comeback	37.6 [27]		LVP	Jeremiah Fears (NOP): -6.1%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Edwards	0.72	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.14,0.11,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.37,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.71,0.72,0.72	0.22	0.48	-0.01	30	65%	0.87	3	-0.16	8	75%	-0.01
Rudy Gobert	0.24	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.08	0.08	10	87%	0.24	0	0.00	10	80%	-0.03
Jaden McDaniels	0.23	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.15	0.09	0.01	10	85%	0.23	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Clark	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.05	0.06	0.00	4	75%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.02	0.00	5	38%	0.02	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Donte DiVincenzo	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.03,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	16	47%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Julius Randle	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.05,-0.05,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	14	50%	0.10	2	-0.09	4	100%	0.05
Terrence Shannon Jr.	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Rob Dillingham	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Naz Reid	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.08	-0.13	0.00	12	69%	0.03	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.03

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Saddiq Bey	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.19,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.11	0.16	0.03	12	69%	0.34	2	-0.11	8	100%	0.18
Trey Alexander	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.08	0.07	0.00	3	117%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trey Murphy III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.19	-0.01	0.04	21	67%	0.19	1	-0.06	7	100%	0.04
Jordan Hawkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.04	0.09	-0.00	7	59%	0.15	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Jose Alvarado	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.04	0.00	8	87%	0.17	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Micah Peavy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.06	-0.00	6	67%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derik Queen	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.1,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.05	-0.00	15	55%	0.14	2	-0.07	8	62%	-0.08
Bryce McGowens	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kevon Looney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeremiah Fears	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.06	-0.11	0.01	13	64%	0.08	3	-0.14	7	86%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	25.4	0.6	31.1	13.4	32.5	1.6	32.5	0.7	12.1	150.0
league avg	26.3	2.1	28.8	14.6	29.4	2.3	32.6	2.3	16.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +43.8%

NOP -19.4%

MIN +3.4%

MIN +13.7%

MIN +8.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	NOP	NBA	MIN	NOP	NBA
this game	14.4	13.6	14.1	131.9	124.6	113.7
season	14.1	14.4		116.8	110.5
opponent	13.7	14.2		118.4	112.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
MIN	14.3	16.4	13.8	13.6	13.2	14.4
NOP	13.6	11.4	15.5	14.2	12.7	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rudy Gobert	113	114	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.29	7	0	7	14.4	0.0	14.40	13.6	0.0	13.57
Anthony Edwards	113	114	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.29	7	0	7	14.4	0.0	14.40	13.6	0.0	13.57
Donte DiVincenzo	82	82	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.29	6	1	5	14.1	15.1	-0.92	13.5	13.8	-0.38
Jaylen Clark	76	76	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.10	16	-9	25	13.9	15.4	-1.46	14.4	11.8	2.63
Julius Randle	96	96	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.25	-3	10	-13	14.6	13.1	1.51	12.9	16.9	-4.01
Jaden McDaniels	93	93	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.35	-7	14	-21	14.8	12.7	2.06	12.9	16.6	-3.74
Rob Dillingham	18	20	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.04	-6	13	-19	15.2	14.2	0.98	13.5	13.6	-0.02
Mike Conley	75	76	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	-0.05	-3	10	-13	14.9	13.4	1.43	13.6	13.5	0.07
Naz Reid	101	101	-0.34	0.84	-1.18	-0.28	-2	9	-11	14.5	13.2	1.38	13.8	11.5	2.38
Terrence Shannon Jr.	25	27	-0.42	0.92	-1.34	0.05	-16	23	-39	16.4	13.8	2.62	11.4	14.2	-2.79

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevon Looney	72	71	0.30	-0.80	1.10	0.07	8	-15	23	13.2	14.1	-0.91	15.0	13.4	1.66
Trey Alexander	36	34	0.22	-0.72	0.94	0.04	6	-13	19	13.5	13.6	-0.06	14.9	14.2	0.65
Saddiq Bey	95	93	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.36	6	-13	19	12.8	17.2	-4.37	14.8	12.7	2.06
Micah Peavy	77	76	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.15	-13	6	-19	14.1	12.5	1.52	14.5	14.2	0.35
Jordan Hawkins	93	91	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.05	-10	3	-13	14.3	10.5	3.79	14.2	15.1	-0.86
Bryce McGowens	71	71	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.09	-10	3	-13	14.2	12.6	1.55	14.5	14.2	0.29
Jeremiah Fears	83	81	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.29	-5	-2	-3	13.3	14.4	-1.17	14.2	15.0	-0.80
Jose Alvarado	108	107	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.30	-5	-2	-3	13.9	8.0	5.88	14.6	11.3	3.24
Trey Murphy III	114	113	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.29	-7	0	-7	13.6	0.0	13.57	14.4	0.0	14.40
Derik Queen	93	91	-0.74	0.24	-0.98	-0.24	-17	10	-27	14.0	11.8	2.22	14.1	15.5	-1.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.46,0.51,0.45,0.35,0.34,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.48,0.46,0.61,0.7,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.89,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.76,0.85,0.71,0.6,0.62,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.79,0.6,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.78,0.92,0.5,0.53,0.28,0.06,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 107, POR 106	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.4,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.41,0.44,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.7,0.77,0.82,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.77,0.85,0.72,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.74,0.7,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.7,0.65,0.67,0.61,0.79,0.9,0.63,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.23,0.09,0	90.4%
DET 105, BOS 97	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.44,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.49,0.59,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.73,0.64,0.76,0.71,0.72,0.81,0.73,0.67,0.64,0.74,0.62,0.75,0.62,0.58,0.69,0.53,0.65,0.61,0.85,0.75,0.72,0.46,0.2,0.07,0.02,0,0	88.7%
ATL 107, DET 101	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.7,0.8,0.81,0.77,0.78,0.79,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.56,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.53,0.77,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.79,0.88,0.91,0.98,0.46,0.31,0.21,0.03,0,0	87.4%