NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	120		Excitement	10.2 [66]		MVP	Nikola Vu?evi? (CHI): +35.8%
Chicago Bulls	121		Comeback	6.0 [537]		LVP	Kyshawn George (WAS): -22.7%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corey Kispert	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.01	0.01	10	87%	0.18	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
CJ McCollum	0.13	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.14,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.07	0.07	0.01	15	58%	0.15	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Cam Whitmore	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.13	-0.02	0.00	10	80%	0.23	2	-0.13	5	80%	-0.00
Bilal Coulibaly	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,0.05	-0.00	0.06	0.01	6	50%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Tristan Vukcevic	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	11	55%	0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Will Riley	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bub Carrington	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	9	44%	0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Justin Champagnie	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	3	33%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Alex Sarr	-0.16	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.16,-0.16	-0.03	-0.13	-0.00	18	41%	-0.13	1	-0.03	3	0%	-0.11
Kyshawn George	-0.23	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.06,0.19,-0.23	-0.05	-0.17	0.01	14	50%	0.13	4	-0.36	6	100%	0.02

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nikola Vu?evi?	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.19,0.14,0.21,0.36,0.36,0.36	0.36	0.17	0.20	0.01	20	68%	0.39	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Tre Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.22	0.22	0.01	0.21	-0.00	5	62%	0.27	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.12
Josh Giddey	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.04	-0.00	12	58%	0.14	2	-0.05	7	86%	0.01
Matas Buzelis	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.01	0.07	0.01	11	48%	0.09	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Kevin Huerter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.03	0.00	8	56%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julian Phillips	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ayo Dosunmu	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	0.00	9	36%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Jevon Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Noa Essengue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Coby White	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.21,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.05	0.01	16	51%	0.02	4	-0.11	7	71%	-0.02
Jalen Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	13	35%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.6	1.4	27.4	14.6	23.5	2.2	33.2	131.0
league avg	26.4	1.9	29.1	14.2	29.7	2.2	32.8	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS -19.9%

CHI +31.0%

WAS -7.7%

CHI +45.8%

CHI +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	CHI	NBA	WAS	CHI	NBA
this game	13.7	13.6	14.2	115.4	113.1	113.7
season	13.9	13.6		108.7	111.5
opponent	14.2	13.9		117.1	120.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	11.8	13.0	15.2	15.0	13.7
CHI	13.3	14.2	13.1	13.8	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tristan Vukcevic	81	82	0.32	-0.82	1.13	0.05	9	-10	19	12.7	17.1	-4.37	13.6	13.5	0.09
Will Riley	19	20	0.27	-0.77	1.04	-0.02	10	-11	21	10.8	14.3	-3.54	16.8	12.9	3.95
Cam Whitmore	85	87	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.23	4	-5	9	13.2	15.7	-2.51	13.7	13.3	0.36
Corey Kispert	90	92	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.52	3	-4	7	13.2	16.8	-3.59	14.4	8.8	5.57
Justin Champagnie	101	104	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.49	2	-3	5	13.4	22.3	-8.91	13.9	2.3	11.58
Bub Carrington	104	107	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.46	-1	0	-1	13.7	0.0	13.68	13.6	0.0	13.59
Kyshawn George	104	107	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.47	-1	0	-1	13.7	0.0	13.68	13.6	0.0	13.59
Alex Sarr	83	87	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.50	0	-1	1	13.6	14.0	-0.34	14.2	10.7	3.49
CJ McCollum	79	83	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.50	-1	0	-1	13.7	13.8	-0.10	14.0	12.2	1.73
Bilal Coulibaly	59	62	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.47	-2	1	-3	13.9	13.4	0.46	14.3	12.6	1.63

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Coby White	96	93	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.53	0	1	-1	13.9	11.2	2.68	13.3	16.8	-3.51
Josh Giddey	95	93	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.50	0	1	-1	14.0	10.4	3.57	13.5	15.3	-1.78
Tre Jones	106	103	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.46	1	0	1	13.7	0.0	13.72	13.5	30.0	-16.48
Matas Buzelis	86	82	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.52	-2	3	-5	14.2	11.1	3.10	13.5	14.4	-0.92
Nikola Vu?evi?	81	77	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.58	-7	8	-15	14.7	10.2	4.49	13.1	15.3	-2.18
Kevin Huerter	89	86	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.55	-10	11	-21	13.9	11.9	2.04	13.1	16.3	-3.14
Jevon Carter	25	25	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.25	-1	2	-3	14.6	13.3	1.32	14.3	13.5	0.84
Ayo Dosunmu	97	95	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.11	2	-1	3	13.5	14.5	-1.01	13.7	13.4	0.26
Julian Phillips	57	55	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.08	-1	2	-3	13.4	13.8	-0.43	13.4	14.0	-0.64
Noa Essengue	10	9	-0.19	0.69	-0.89	0.07	-9	10	-19	16.6	13.3	3.32	11.4	13.9	-2.45
Jalen Smith	92	90	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	-0.12	-3	4	-7	13.7	13.2	0.45	13.2	17.0	-3.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.46,0.44,0.38,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.35,0.4,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.42,0.34,0.24,0.18,0.21,0.22,0.18,0.25,0.3,0.33,0.38,0.4,0.3,0.25,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.25,0.27,0.34,0.36,0.26,0.19,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.31,0.2,0.45,0.61,0.71,0.76,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 86, CHI 90	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.39,0.34,0.33,0.25,0.3,0.38,0.34,0.27,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.26,0.22,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.35,0.53,0.62,0.64,0.78,0.59,1	91.3%
POR 79, MIN 83	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.46,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.33,0.28,0.21,0.24,0.19,0.27,0.22,0.37,0.4,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.52,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.25,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.38,0.47,0.41,0.29,0.46,0.69,0.78,0.55,0.42,1	90.6%
NYK 89, BOS 91	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.25,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.25,0.24,0.16,0.2,0.19,0.21,0.18,0.17,0.25,0.38,0.3,0.29,0.33,0.42,0.53,0.46,0.46,0.8,0.72,0.85,0.58,1	90.2%