NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	109		Excitement	5.3 [238]		MVP	Julius Randle (MIN): +13.8%
Minnesota Timberwolves	120		Comeback	1.5 [376]		LVP	Tristan Vukcevic (WAS): -8.3%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Khris Middleton	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.03	-0.00	10	65%	0.13	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Bilal Coulibaly	0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.12	0.02	0.05	6	100%	0.10	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Cam Whitmore	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.11	-0.01	0.03	8	72%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tre Johnson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	6	83%	0.11	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Bub Carrington	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	3	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Bagley III	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	0.04	11	54%	-0.03	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
CJ McCollum	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	0.03	15	47%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kyshawn George	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.04	-0.06	0.05	17	59%	0.04	4	-0.10	5	60%	-0.07
Corey Kispert	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Vukcevic	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.00	0.01	8	39%	-0.02	3	-0.06	2	100%	-0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Julius Randle	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.15	0.04	0.05	19	63%	0.14	1	-0.01	13	69%	-0.01
Mike Conley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.03	-0.01	4	59%	0.09	0	0.00	9	78%	-0.00
Naz Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.16	-0.02	0.05	21	65%	0.10	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Donte DiVincenzo	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.03	0.02	8	75%	0.10	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.02	5	75%	0.10	4	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Jaylen Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	7	44%	0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.01
Bones Hyland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Edwards	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	20	40%	-0.02	1	-0.04	5	100%	0.02
Rob Dillingham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	6	17%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.7	1.6	24.3	14.2	31.6	0.6	39.0	137.9
league avg	26.3	2.1	28.8	14.6	29.4	2.3	32.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS -3.4%

MIN +12.4%

MIN +17.4%

MIN +22.2%

MIN +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	MIN	NBA	WAS	MIN	NBA
this game	13.7	15.8	14.1	113.5	122.4	113.7
season	13.7	14.1		108.2	116.8
opponent	14.2	14.2		112.1	122.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	13.3	14.8	12.7	13.9	13.7
MIN	15.2	13.5	16.6	18.2	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bilal Coulibaly	74	75	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.16	-5	-6	1	13.1	15.5	-2.38	16.8	12.7	4.11
Tre Johnson	79	80	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.28	-1	-10	9	13.5	14.5	-0.98	15.8	15.8	0.02
Khris Middleton	72	73	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.08	-10	-1	-9	13.6	14.0	-0.44	16.1	15.0	1.07
Bub Carrington	87	89	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.17	-7	-4	-3	13.9	11.8	2.08	15.2	21.8	-6.59
Cam Whitmore	85	88	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.12	-9	-2	-7	13.8	12.9	0.86	15.3	19.8	-4.46
Tristan Vukcevic	85	88	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.13	-9	-2	-7	13.8	12.4	1.47	15.4	19.5	-4.12
Kyshawn George	91	92	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.15	-10	-1	-9	13.6	15.4	-1.83	16.2	10.2	6.00
Corey Kispert	42	44	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.23	-23	12	-35	13.6	13.7	-0.13	14.5	16.8	-2.27
Marvin Bagley III	87	89	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.18	-10	-1	-9	13.7	13.2	0.49	16.0	13.6	2.47
CJ McCollum	86	87	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.09	-14	3	-17	13.8	12.8	0.97	15.7	16.5	-0.74

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Julius Randle	98	96	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.18	11	0	11	15.8	0.0	15.80	13.7	0.0	13.67
Anthony Edwards	98	96	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.18	11	0	11	15.8	0.0	15.80	13.7	0.0	13.67
Jaylen Clark	97	94	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.18	11	0	11	15.7	24.0	-8.29	13.9	3.5	10.38
Donte DiVincenzo	74	75	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.11	10	1	9	16.2	14.5	1.66	13.2	15.2	-2.01
Rudy Gobert	82	81	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.22	5	6	-1	16.6	11.8	4.76	13.3	15.5	-2.13
Bones Hyland	26	25	0.35	0.15	0.21	-0.23	20	-9	29	13.5	16.6	-3.18	14.8	13.3	1.53
Naz Reid	91	89	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.16	5	6	-1	15.3	22.3	-6.99	13.9	10.4	3.49
Rob Dillingham	20	20	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.13	10	1	9	13.2	16.5	-3.26	13.9	13.6	0.36
Mike Conley	71	69	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.41	-9	20	-29	16.5	13.9	2.68	13.6	14.0	-0.41

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.48,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.75,0.8,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.89,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.9,0.93,0.92,0.84,0.79,0.76,0.81,0.79,0.88,0.87,0.81,0.9,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 89, CHA 101	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.71,0.77,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.88,0.91,0.95,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.95,0.93,0.85,0.86,0.9,0.89,0.84,0.87,0.81,0.95,1,1,1	95.0%
CHH 101, PHI 109	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.76,0.77,0.84,0.88,0.87,0.89,0.87,0.87,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.93,0.87,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.86,0.89,0.96,0.91,1	93.9%
HOU 105, DET 116	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.43,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.74,0.82,0.84,0.81,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.9,0.78,0.79,0.89,0.81,0.86,0.94,0.93,1,1,0.99,1,1	93.9%