NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	108		Excitement	9.3 [95]		MVP	Moussa Diabat� (CHA): +16.1%
Toronto Raptors	110		Comeback	4.7 [267]		LVP	LaMelo Ball (CHA): -24.5%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Moussa Diabat�	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.06	0.10	0.00	3	89%	0.18	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Kon Knueppel	0.12	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.11	0.03	0.02	16	71%	0.19	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Collin Sexton	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.11	0.05	0.06	0.00	12	57%	0.14	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.02
Pat Connaughton	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.05	-0.00	2	62%	0.08	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Tre Mann	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Kalkbrenner	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.08	0.00	-0.08	-0.00	3	70%	-0.03	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.01
Drew Peterson	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	3	12%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Sion James	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.03	-0.03	4	0%	-0.08	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Miles Bridges	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.17,0,-0.1	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	22	48%	0.04	4	-0.15	2	50%	-0.01
LaMelo Ball	-0.24	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.24	-0.06	-0.18	0.00	19	44%	-0.11	3	-0.13	7	100%	0.03

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jakob Poeltl	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.05	-0.00	7	81%	0.15	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Scottie Barnes	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.13	0.13	0.01	0.09	-0.03	16	50%	0.16	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
RJ Barrett	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.08,0.11	0.11	-0.00	0.12	0.01	16	46%	0.16	1	-0.05	3	33%	-0.02
Gradey Dick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.01	0.00	5	83%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Sandro Mamukelashvili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.02	-0.02	7	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Immanuel Quickley	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.01	0.02	11	68%	0.11	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Collin Murray-Boyles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Ja'Kobe Walter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Ingram	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.02,0.06,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.04	0.02	21	55%	0.11	5	-0.14	7	86%	0.05
Jamal Shead	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.04	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	0.0	40.5	0.0	24.2	0.0	36.2	0.0
league avg	26.3	2.0	28.9	14.3	29.6	2.2	32.8	136.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +63.0%

CHA -4.4%

CHA -9.8%

CHA -3.5%

TOR +4.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	TOR	NBA	CHA	TOR	NBA
this game	14.3	13.4	14.2	102.9	106.8	113.5
season	14.8	14.0		115.1	112.8
opponent	14.7	14.0		111.1	113.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	13.3	12.7	16.2	15.4	14.3
TOR	14.2	11.7	14.3	13.4	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Moussa Diabat�	104	102	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.09	0	-2	2	14.3	18.0	-3.74	13.3	15.0	-1.66
Pat Connaughton	86	84	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.07	-5	3	-8	14.3	14.3	0.04	13.1	14.6	-1.50
Drew Peterson	59	59	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.18	-2	0	-2	15.4	12.8	2.58	13.2	13.6	-0.36
Tre Mann	52	50	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.04	-10	8	-18	13.2	15.4	-2.22	13.3	13.5	-0.19
Sion James	105	103	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.30	-2	0	-2	14.3	0.0	14.30	13.4	0.0	13.36
Ryan Kalkbrenner	86	85	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.26	-4	2	-6	14.1	15.2	-1.05	12.5	17.3	-4.75
Kon Knueppel	90	88	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.47	2	-4	6	14.3	14.4	-0.12	12.8	16.9	-4.11
LaMelo Ball	105	103	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.44	-2	0	-2	14.3	0.0	14.30	13.4	0.0	13.36
Collin Sexton	99	98	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.43	-7	5	-12	14.6	9.7	4.91	13.1	19.2	-6.14
Miles Bridges	99	98	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.43	-7	5	-12	14.6	9.7	4.91	13.1	19.2	-6.14

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jakob Poeltl	79	82	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.45	7	-5	12	12.8	15.1	-2.30	14.7	12.9	1.83
Immanuel Quickley	92	93	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.40	8	-6	14	13.0	16.3	-3.26	14.2	15.1	-0.89
Brandon Ingram	98	99	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.43	7	-5	12	13.1	19.2	-6.14	14.6	9.7	4.91
Scottie Barnes	101	103	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.45	5	-3	8	13.3	14.0	-0.65	14.3	12.0	2.34
RJ Barrett	84	86	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.44	1	1	0	12.6	16.9	-4.34	14.1	15.2	-1.05
Gradey Dick	71	73	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.12	7	-5	12	14.1	11.7	2.33	14.6	13.6	1.01
Jamal Shead	95	97	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.20	4	-2	6	13.3	14.6	-1.37	14.2	15.2	-1.03
Sandro Mamukelashvili	95	97	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.20	4	-2	6	13.3	14.6	-1.37	14.2	15.2	-1.03
Collin Murray-Boyles	76	77	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.00	4	-2	6	13.2	13.9	-0.72	14.1	14.8	-0.72
Ja'Kobe Walter	29	30	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.01	1	1	0	11.7	14.0	-2.28	12.7	14.9	-2.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.64,0.66,0.6,0.51,0.59,0.68,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.69,0.72,0.77,0.7,0.63,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.74,0.68,0.62,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.58,0.52,0.71,0.72,0.77,0.74,0.8,0.72,0.85,0.64,0.55,0.27,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 103, OKC 104	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.58,0.71,0.67,0.61,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.58,0.67,0.58,0.67,0.59,0.62,0.73,0.63,0.65,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.66,0.78,0.75,0.72,0.32,0.27,1	91.2%
CHA 84, PHI 86	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.65,0.68,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.75,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.59,0.63,0.56,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.82,0.67,0.77,0.82,0.73,0.6,0.61,0.78,0.45,0.1,1	90.7%
CHI 98, NYK 102	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.62,0.67,0.66,0.61,0.66,0.8,0.74,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.57,0.67,0.72,0.74,0.65,0.6,0.53,0.46,0.43,0.42,1	90.6%