inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Indiana Pacers 83 Excitement5.7 [217] MVPQuinten Post (GSW): +11.4%
Golden State Warriors 114 Comeback1.2 [335] LVPDraymond Green (GSW): -10.9%


Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Monté Morris0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.07-0.010.00580%0.0600.0000%0.00
Tony Bradley0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.000.01-0.02643%0.0200.002100%0.02
Jay Huff0.020,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.01-0.00-0.011150%0.051-0.0420%-0.05
RayJ Dennis0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.03462%0.0030.0000%0.00
Taelon Peter-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.070.00-0.0730%-0.0010.0000%0.00
Isaiah Jackson-0.020,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.03-0.020.03967%0.032-0.0500%0.00
Andrew Nembhard-0.040,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.05-0.00-0.021641%0.022-0.062100%0.01
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.010.001135%-0.051-0.01475%0.00
Jarace Walker-0.080,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.12-0.01-0.051441%0.056-0.131100%0.01
Ben Sheppard-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.10-0.02-0.021015%-0.0900.0000%0.00
Cody Martin-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.13-0.02-0.04520%-0.034-0.0700%0.00

Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Quinten Post0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.070.03-0.021056%0.1100.00580%0.01
Jimmy Butler III0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.080.01-0.011562%0.111-0.00425%-0.06
Al Horford0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.090.010.026100%0.142-0.0600%0.00
Moses Moody0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.07,0.04,0.02,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.050.030.001152%0.0800.00367%-0.01
Will Richard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.080.020.04862%0.0600.00887%0.02
Buddy Hield0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.020.02-0.00750%0.0400.002100%0.02
Gary Payton II00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Gui Santos0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.010.000.01350%0.0000.0000%0.00
Trayce Jackson-Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.04280%0.0000.0010%0.00
Pat Spencer0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.03-0.00-0.00325%-0.0200.002100%0.01
Brandin Podziemski0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.01-0.030.051150%-0.042-0.04683%0.00
Jonathan Kuminga0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.12-0.02-0.04921%-0.091-0.01650%-0.03
Draymond Green0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.08-0.04-0.00350%0.004-0.1100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.01.631.114.331.11.331.1136.5
league avg26.32.128.814.629.42.332.6136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
GSW +20.5%
GSW +10.9%
GSW +3.3%
GSW +14.0%
GSW +1.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsINDGSWNBAINDGSWNBA
this game13.714.714.182.2111.8113.7
season14.114.7106.8112.4
opponent13.614.1110.7115.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
IND14.314.411.814.213.7
GSW15.013.814.915.114.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
RayJ Dennis2425-0.13-0.370.250.49-21-10-1114.213.50.7815.114.60.56
Taelon Peter2425-0.13-0.370.250.49-21-10-1114.213.50.7815.114.60.56
Tony Bradley7980-0.26-0.24-0.020.18-15-16113.813.00.8914.814.20.66
Jarace Walker8687-0.35-0.15-0.190.06-14-17313.713.50.2214.913.71.13
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl9899-0.35-0.15-0.190.44-27-4-2313.87.76.1714.812.72.09
Isaiah Jackson5555-0.36-0.14-0.230.28-22-9-1313.713.60.0414.714.7-0.05
Monté Morris8888-0.50-0.00-0.500.09-20-11-913.514.4-0.8414.615.3-0.68
Jay Huff7072-0.510.01-0.520.55-365-4113.214.7-1.5714.814.40.47
Ben Sheppard7273-0.520.02-0.550.15-23-8-1513.214.8-1.6014.415.4-0.95
Cody Martin9899-0.560.06-0.620.44-343-3713.710.73.0814.99.35.53
Andrew Nembhard7778-0.590.09-0.670.12-24-7-1713.414.5-1.1714.515.5-1.00

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Moses Moody93940.50-0.000.51-0.292742314.813.11.7413.614.6-0.99
Buddy Hield1011010.50-0.000.51-0.413103114.81.013.8313.70.013.65
Jimmy Butler III85850.480.020.450.071417-314.416.1-1.6413.514.7-1.23
Will Richard69700.460.040.42-0.272561914.614.9-0.2713.314.4-1.06
Pat Spencer85830.390.110.28-0.462922715.112.82.2513.713.60.12
Al Horford79790.380.120.270.031219-714.415.7-1.3513.115.5-2.42
Brandin Podziemski76760.310.190.13-0.362381515.013.81.1414.012.71.29
Quinten Post60590.200.30-0.09-0.4121101115.014.20.8613.713.50.18
Jonathan Kuminga52520.140.36-0.21-0.00526-2115.114.30.8614.013.30.71
Draymond Green63610.140.36-0.22-0.331615115.014.30.6713.713.60.05
Gary Payton II25240.130.37-0.25-0.4921101115.114.60.5614.213.50.78
Gui Santos25240.130.37-0.25-0.4921101115.114.60.5614.213.50.78
Trayce Jackson-Davis25240.130.37-0.25-0.4921101115.114.60.5614.213.50.78


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.61,0.62,0.57,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.67,0.78,0.7,0.63,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.6,0.72,0.87,0.91,0.97,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIL 108, UTA 1210.5,0.49,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.51,0.58,0.65,0.61,0.47,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.63,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.63,0.71,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.85,0.92,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,194.5%
DET 85, SAS 970.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.63,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.63,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.75,0.74,0.87,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,194.3%
DET 74, NJN 890.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.6,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.63,0.59,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.72,0.78,0.78,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,193.8%