NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	122		Excitement	8.6 [28]		MVP	Donovan Mitchell (CLE): +67.9%
Cleveland Cavaliers	128		Comeback	21.3 [10]		LVP	Josh Giddey (CHI): -28.4%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Smith	0.29	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.20	0.09	0.00	6	129%	0.31	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Huerter	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.21	0.10	0.11	-0.00	10	68%	0.23	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Isaac Okoro	0.19	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.19	0.17	0.05	0.02	7	95%	0.21	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.05
Patrick Williams	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.11	0.02	0.01	5	92%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tre Jones	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.17,0.21,0.09	0.02	0.05	-0.02	9	57%	0.15	2	-0.06	12	92%	0.11
Ayo Dosunmu	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.00	11	56%	0.08	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Julian Phillips	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vu?evi?	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.02	-0.03	11	37%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Matas Buzelis	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	6	29%	-0.03	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Josh Giddey	-0.28	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.25,-0.28,-0.28	-0.10	-0.18	0.00	18	37%	-0.16	2	-0.12	5	100%	0.02

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donovan Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.3,0.68	0.68	0.08	0.57	-0.03	24	56%	0.70	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.06
Jaylon Tyson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.22,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.14	0.17	0.02	10	77%	0.28	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Evan Mobley	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.15	-0.01	0.00	14	69%	0.15	1	-0.01	7	71%	-0.01
De'Andre Hunter	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.11,0.18,0.11,0.1,0.13	0.13	0.18	-0.03	0.02	16	74%	0.23	3	-0.09	7	71%	-0.01
Craig Porter Jr.	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrese Proctor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.04	0.01	5	60%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Merrill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	0.01	8	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lonzo Ball	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dean Wade	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Allen	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	8	50%	0.01	2	-0.06	6	50%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	32.3	0.3	30.9	0.3	46.8	0.1	36.6	147.2
league avg	26.2	2.3	28.6	14.8	29.1	2.3	32.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +57.9%

CHI -17.9%

CHI -7.2%

CLE +17.6%

CHI -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	CLE	NBA	CHI	CLE	NBA
this game	13.2	13.6	13.7	113.0	119.6	110.7
season	13.2	13.0		112.4	113.7
opponent	14.0	14.0		108.5	111.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	13.1	11.4	14.3	14.1	13.2
CLE	12.9	14.4	13.4	13.6	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Julian Phillips	19	18	0.37	-0.87	1.24	-0.07	15	-21	36	12.4	13.3	-0.96	15.1	13.3	1.83
Ayo Dosunmu	82	83	0.36	-0.86	1.22	0.12	8	-14	22	13.3	12.6	0.76	14.5	10.6	3.87
Patrick Williams	76	76	0.16	-0.66	0.82	0.16	0	-6	6	14.0	11.1	2.89	14.8	10.7	4.05
Matas Buzelis	80	80	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.02	-1	-5	4	13.4	12.6	0.79	13.8	12.8	1.04
Jalen Smith	73	74	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.02	-1	-5	4	13.8	11.8	2.01	13.6	13.5	0.19
Isaac Okoro	78	77	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.31	-4	-2	-2	14.1	10.7	3.36	14.2	12.1	2.02
Nikola Vu?evi?	85	85	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.29	-7	1	-8	13.7	11.0	2.69	13.8	12.8	1.03
Tre Jones	108	107	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.32	-6	0	-6	13.2	0.0	13.16	13.6	0.0	13.59
Josh Giddey	97	96	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.27	-10	4	-14	13.5	9.7	3.82	13.6	13.7	-0.15
Kevin Huerter	94	95	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.37	-7	1	-8	13.4	11.9	1.49	13.6	13.3	0.29

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Evan Mobley	97	98	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.29	10	-4	14	13.6	13.1	0.54	13.5	9.6	3.92
De'Andre Hunter	87	87	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.30	7	-1	8	13.9	12.4	1.46	13.7	11.1	2.56
Sam Merrill	107	108	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.32	6	0	6	13.6	0.0	13.59	13.2	0.0	13.16
Donovan Mitchell	107	108	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.32	6	0	6	13.6	0.0	13.59	13.2	0.0	13.16
Jaylon Tyson	93	93	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.34	4	2	2	13.8	12.5	1.25	13.5	11.3	2.20
Dean Wade	63	62	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.08	10	-4	14	13.5	13.7	-0.24	14.0	12.0	2.02
Craig Porter Jr.	11	11	-0.24	0.74	-0.97	0.09	-11	17	-28	15.2	13.4	1.78	9.7	13.5	-3.82
Jarrett Allen	84	83	-0.25	0.75	-0.99	-0.19	-2	8	-10	14.1	11.7	2.47	13.7	11.4	2.34
Lonzo Ball	82	83	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	-0.16	-4	10	-14	13.9	12.6	1.24	13.7	11.5	2.13
Tyrese Proctor	32	33	-0.61	1.11	-1.73	0.06	-23	29	-52	15.3	12.9	2.41	13.1	13.2	-0.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.62,0.57,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.24,0.16,0.17,0.15,0.18,0.12,0.14,0.1,0.14,0.25,0.36,0.39,0.27,0.32,0.38,0.41,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.42,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.27,0.19,0.27,0.29,0.36,0.1,0.28,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 98, SAC 104	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.54,0.59,0.57,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.28,0.22,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.15,0.12,0.16,0.25,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.35,0.34,0.48,0.56,0.52,0.26,0.37,0.47,0.38,0.27,0.26,0.29,0.28,0.19,0.22,0.16,0.26,1	92.3%
BKN 115, NOP 117	0.5,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.31,0.35,0.3,0.39,0.36,0.28,0.23,0.2,0.25,0.19,0.2,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.42,0.31,0.35,0.34,0.15,0.15,0.03,0.02,1	89.3%
HOU 119, MEM 120	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.29,0.33,0.38,0.29,0.28,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.34,0.42,0.3,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.51,0.32,0.34,0.48,0.47,0.52,0.28,0.14,0.08,0.06,0.24,0.23,0.15,0.27,1	88.6%