inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Milwaukee Bucks 113 Excitement7.7 [231] MVPGiannis Antetokounmpo (MIL): +19.2%
Cleveland Cavaliers 118 Comeback1.6 [585] LVPGary Trent Jr. (MIL): -14.8%


Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Giannis Antetokounmpo0.190,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.190.240.010.052071%0.282-0.081669%-0.01
Taurean Prince0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.030.030.00667%0.091-0.0300%0.00
AJ Green0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.060.13-0.030.04987%0.183-0.12580%0.00
Ryan Rollins0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.030.010.020.001156%0.072-0.053100%0.02
Jericho Sims0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Andre Jackson Jr.0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Amir Coffey0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Mark Sears-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.010.0010%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Myles Turner-0.060,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06-0.03-0.030.001250%0.073-0.13250%-0.01
Bobby Portis-0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.06-0.07-0.001050%0.024-0.1500%0.00
Gary Trent Jr.-0.150,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.07-0.08-0.00930%-0.091-0.05250%0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Sam Merrill0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.19,0.17,0.170.170.110.080.021168%0.1700.003100%0.00
Donovan Mitchell0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,0,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.10.10-0.040.10-0.042050%0.245-0.14862%-0.04
Evan Mobley0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.070.070.070.040.041361%0.122-0.0512100%0.05
Lonzo Ball0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.010.060.00765%0.173-0.10333%-0.03
De'Andre Hunter0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.050.050.030.01-0.011352%0.061-0.01560%-0.01
Larry Nance Jr.0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.02-0.010.00383%0.041-0.0300%0.00
Jarrett Allen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.01-0.03-0.00657%0.021-0.042100%0.01
Jaylon Tyson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.01-0.030.00462%0.021-0.0400%0.00
Dean Wade0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.02-0.03-0.01533%-0.0500.002100%0.01
Craig Porter Jr.0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.03-0.020.00550%0.012-0.0600%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game31.30.333.914.433.80.138.8152.6
league avg26.32.028.914.329.62.232.8136.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CLE +8.2%
CLE +9.9%
CLE +16.6%
CLE +13.9%
CLE +1.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMILCLENBAMILCLENBA
this game14.313.214.2108.7112.4113.5
season14.713.5112.1116.0
opponent14.514.3111.3115.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIL15.515.813.013.414.3
CLE14.812.411.813.813.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Amir Coffey18230.04-0.540.59-0.012-7914.314.4-0.0815.712.53.20
Jericho Sims3236-0.13-0.370.240.05-61-716.313.52.8414.412.51.88
Bobby Portis7680-0.20-0.300.10-0.14-2-3114.912.82.0913.512.11.36
Mark Sears3841-0.32-0.18-0.14-0.03-105-1516.713.03.7314.212.51.71
AJ Green9496-0.44-0.06-0.39-0.36-3-2-114.017.5-3.4913.113.2-0.08
Myles Turner9496-0.44-0.06-0.39-0.36-3-2-114.017.5-3.4913.113.2-0.08
Taurean Prince102104-0.48-0.02-0.45-0.36-4-1-314.411.52.9013.30.013.28
Ryan Rollins9395-0.50-0.00-0.50-0.29-72-914.414.30.0813.212.80.39
Andre Jackson Jr.4242-0.550.05-0.60-0.14-149-2315.213.81.4213.013.3-0.29
Giannis Antetokounmpo9698-0.710.21-0.92-0.39-116-1714.611.03.6313.212.01.23
Gary Trent Jr.7575-0.940.44-1.39-0.24-2419-4315.012.72.3013.312.70.68

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Evan Mobley85840.87-0.371.240.2820-153513.412.11.2415.111.33.71
Sam Merrill87840.85-0.351.200.2919-143313.511.32.2615.210.74.51
De'Andre Hunter70670.62-0.120.730.388-31113.911.62.2914.713.71.00
Dean Wade84800.57-0.070.630.4250513.711.12.5715.211.53.65
Donovan Mitchell1051040.500.000.500.3550513.20.013.1514.30.014.35
Jarrett Allen1041030.490.010.490.4132113.30.013.2814.51.013.48
Lonzo Ball95920.470.030.440.3541313.410.82.6014.711.23.50
Larry Nance Jr.41420.120.38-0.26-0.0250512.213.7-1.5314.614.20.46
Craig Porter Jr.7976-0.060.56-0.62-0.00-27-913.212.90.3015.112.22.97
Jaylon Tyson6156-0.170.67-0.840.04-712-1913.512.70.7314.414.20.18


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.39,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.59,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.7,0.61,0.75,0.74,0.88,0.8,0.87,0.93,0.94,0.9,0.84,0.8,0.72,0.56,0.58,0.69,0.79,0.89,0.77,0.59,0.66,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.98,1
GameSimilarity Score
IND 92, NJN 970.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.88,0.84,0.85,0.8,0.87,0.86,0.92,0.93,0.91,0.83,0.74,0.6,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.68,0.74,0.71,0.77,0.85,0.84,0.89,0.92,193.3%
SAS 103, OKC 1090.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.43,0.39,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.56,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.82,0.79,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.87,0.78,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.78,0.83,0.77,0.79,0.76,0.72,0.9,0.92,1,1,192.8%
POR 91, DET 940.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.69,0.72,0.71,0.78,0.74,0.79,0.75,0.8,0.74,0.72,0.83,0.81,0.92,0.85,0.88,0.84,0.77,0.71,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.62,0.76,0.73,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.76,0.93,0.95,0.96,192.4%