NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	111		Excitement	6.0 [603]		MVP	Nikola Vu?evi? (CHI): +33.6%
Chicago Bulls	115		Comeback	1.1 [525]		LVP	Cade Cunningham (DET): -11.3%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ronald Holland II	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.23,0.23,0.22	0.09	0.16	0.04	10	73%	0.25	2	-0.03	6	100%	0.02
Isaiah Stewart	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.12	0.00	0.06	14	67%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jalen Duren	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	12	58%	0.03	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.02
Paul Reed	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	150%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Javonte Green	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tobias Harris	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	12	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Caris LeVert	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	7	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Ausar Thompson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.03	-0.05	0.04	8	58%	0.01	1	-0.06	3	33%	-0.02
Duncan Robinson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	-0.00	-0.02	7	14%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cade Cunningham	-0.11	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	-0.01	24	40%	-0.07	3	-0.05	10	60%	-0.03

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nikola Vu?evi?	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.34,0.34	0.34	0.19	0.18	0.04	18	74%	0.35	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Matas Buzelis	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.07	0.03	12	68%	0.18	3	-0.06	7	100%	0.02
Josh Giddey	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.07	0.07	-0.06	0.08	-0.04	12	54%	0.14	6	-0.08	11	73%	0.02
Kevin Huerter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.01	-0.02	11	54%	0.08	1	-0.01	6	83%	0.01
Ayo Dosunmu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.03	14	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dalen Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tre Jones	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.06	-0.01	8	67%	0.09	2	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01
Patrick Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	2	67%	0.00	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Jalen Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.09	0.00	-0.05	7	12%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Isaac Okoro	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.5	1.2	33.1	14.2	31.9	2.3	38.2	148.5
league avg	26.4	1.9	29.1	14.2	29.7	2.1	32.7	136.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +37.0%

CHI +15.6%

CHI +10.2%

DET -15.5%

CHI +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	CHI	NBA	DET	CHI	NBA
this game	13.7	13.4	14.2	103.7	109.5	113.7
season	14.1	13.5		115.8	111.4
opponent	14.2	14.4		116.4	107.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	15.5	12.7	13.5	13.4	13.7
CHI	13.1	12.6	12.6	15.4	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jalen Duren	57	57	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.25	3	-7	10	13.6	13.9	-0.27	14.5	12.0	2.51
Ausar Thompson	103	101	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.14	-2	-2	0	13.8	11.0	2.84	13.7	5.5	8.19
Duncan Robinson	77	75	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.28	0	-4	4	14.5	11.7	2.88	13.9	12.0	1.98
Javonte Green	65	62	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.02	-9	5	-14	14.9	11.9	2.98	13.3	13.5	-0.18
Paul Reed	25	25	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.17	-16	12	-28	15.5	13.2	2.32	13.1	13.5	-0.40
Isaiah Stewart	97	96	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.35	0	-4	4	14.2	8.9	5.34	13.5	12.0	1.51
Tobias Harris	100	97	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.40	-2	-2	0	14.2	7.3	6.90	13.2	15.9	-2.70
Cade Cunningham	81	82	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.17	-11	7	-18	14.6	11.0	3.62	13.3	13.6	-0.29
Ronald Holland II	107	105	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.38	-4	0	-4	13.7	0.0	13.74	13.4	0.0	13.38
Caris LeVert	96	96	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.31	-7	3	-10	14.0	11.1	2.95	13.6	11.3	2.24

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tre Jones	105	107	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.38	4	0	4	13.4	0.0	13.38	13.7	0.0	13.74
Isaac Okoro	62	64	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.11	11	-7	18	14.2	12.2	2.02	15.1	11.8	3.30
Nikola Vu?evi?	87	89	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.31	4	0	4	13.4	13.4	-0.08	14.3	10.9	3.36
Jalen Smith	65	67	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.01	14	-10	24	12.9	14.2	-1.36	14.4	12.6	1.74
Kevin Huerter	93	95	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.10	10	-6	16	13.6	11.6	2.03	14.1	10.8	3.27
Patrick Williams	82	84	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.03	14	-10	24	13.1	14.4	-1.35	14.1	12.4	1.66
Josh Giddey	84	85	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.35	1	3	-2	13.5	13.0	0.48	14.6	10.4	4.25
Ayo Dosunmu	89	91	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.15	6	-2	8	13.3	14.0	-0.73	13.8	13.4	0.35
Matas Buzelis	90	90	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.50	-8	12	-20	13.7	11.4	2.31	13.7	13.8	-0.03
Dalen Terry	37	39	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.10	-2	6	-8	14.1	13.0	1.04	14.3	13.4	0.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.62,0.68,0.76,0.77,0.76,0.8,0.85,0.85,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.89,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.79,0.82,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.93,0.93,0.9,0.85,0.83,0.94,0.9,0.89,0.78,0.67,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 98, MIN 100	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.53,0.61,0.65,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.83,0.79,0.83,0.83,0.87,0.91,0.91,0.9,0.87,0.93,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.96,0.84,0.86,0.95,1	94.0%
OKC 104, SAS 109	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.8,0.85,0.83,0.86,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.91,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.91,0.89,0.93,0.93,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.91,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.93,0.89,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.94,0.93,0.89,0.86,0.91,1	94.0%
TOR 95, CHA 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.7,0.76,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.8,0.79,0.89,0.87,0.86,0.88,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.86,0.84,0.77,0.84,1	93.9%