NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	119		Excitement	8.2 [102]		MVP	Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (OKC): +57.7%
Oklahoma City Thunder	123		Comeback	1.2 [340]		LVP	Dillon Brooks (PHX): -26.6%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Collin Gillespie	0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.17,0.17,0.2	0.11	0.10	-0.00	16	75%	0.31	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Royce O'Neale	0.20	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2	0.03	0.17	-0.00	10	55%	0.22	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Oso Ighodaro	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.06	0.01	4	67%	0.09	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Jamaree Bouyea	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.00	0.00	6	75%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Goodwin	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.03	0.00	13	47%	0.05	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Nick Richards	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Booker	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.11,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	13	57%	0.17	5	-0.17	11	82%	0.02
Mark Williams	0.00	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.03	0.02	9	62%	0.08	4	-0.08	3	100%	0.02
Nigel Hayes-Davis	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dillon Brooks	-0.27	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.21,-0.27	-0.03	-0.23	0.00	18	46%	-0.20	3	-0.06	5	100%	0.02

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.31,0.52,0.58	0.58	0.22	0.35	-0.00	20	65%	0.69	1	-0.11	17	82%	0.03
Chet Holmgren	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.16,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19	0.19	0.16	0.04	-0.00	13	72%	0.19	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Cason Wallace	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.11	0.07	0.01	9	78%	0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaylin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.09	0.06	0.00	8	82%	0.22	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Isaiah Joe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	9	56%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenrich Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luguentz Dort	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	7	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	12	39%	-0.03	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Ajay Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Alex Caruso	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	3	67%	0.02	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.7	0.0	29.5	0.0	41.2	0.0	36.0	0.0
league avg	26.3	2.1	28.8	14.6	29.4	2.3	32.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +39.2%

OKC +10.0%

PHX -17.2%

OKC +16.7%

OKC +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	OKC	NBA	PHX	OKC	NBA
this game	14.2	12.9	14.1	112.3	116.0	113.7
season	13.9	13.7		112.6	119.3
opponent	14.5	14.5		102.3	112.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	13.9	14.2	16.6	12.3	14.2
OKC	11.3	13.0	12.7	14.8	12.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Richards	12	12	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.00	-3	-1	-2	15.1	14.1	0.98	12.5	13.0	-0.48
Nigel Hayes-Davis	63	63	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.29	7	-11	18	13.5	15.2	-1.67	13.2	12.5	0.77
Jordan Goodwin	95	94	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.16	-6	2	-8	14.5	11.9	2.58	13.0	12.0	1.04
Jamaree Bouyea	73	72	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.09	-12	8	-20	15.1	12.4	2.69	12.4	14.1	-1.71
Royce O'Neale	86	85	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.35	-4	0	-4	13.8	15.9	-2.14	13.0	12.7	0.26
Mark Williams	86	86	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.29	-6	2	-8	14.0	15.2	-1.21	13.4	11.0	2.37
Dillon Brooks	98	98	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.39	-3	-1	-2	14.1	15.4	-1.25	13.5	6.1	7.35
Oso Ighodaro	105	105	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.37	-4	0	-4	14.3	4.0	10.31	13.0	0.0	13.05
Devin Booker	106	106	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.38	-4	0	-4	14.2	0.0	14.22	12.9	0.0	12.92
Collin Gillespie	89	89	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.36	-6	2	-8	14.4	13.2	1.17	13.2	11.6	1.59

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luguentz Dort	89	88	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.34	8	-4	12	13.5	10.1	3.34	13.9	15.6	-1.61
Cason Wallace	80	81	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.33	8	-4	12	13.4	11.5	1.89	14.4	13.8	0.60
Chet Holmgren	91	91	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.31	8	-4	12	13.1	11.6	1.54	14.2	14.3	-0.06
Alex Caruso	106	106	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.38	4	0	4	12.9	0.0	12.92	14.2	0.0	14.22
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	106	106	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.38	4	0	4	12.9	0.0	12.92	14.2	0.0	14.22
Jalen Williams	83	84	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.27	7	-3	10	13.3	11.7	1.62	14.3	13.9	0.39
Isaiah Joe	90	90	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.16	9	-5	14	13.1	11.7	1.38	14.5	12.4	2.17
Jaylin Williams	98	98	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.19	4	0	4	13.2	9.9	3.30	14.6	10.1	4.43
Kenrich Williams	30	31	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.09	6	-2	8	12.6	13.1	-0.45	16.5	13.3	3.20
Ajay Mitchell	28	28	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.00	0	4	-4	11.7	13.4	-1.64	13.9	14.3	-0.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.56,0.51,0.47,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.68,0.59,0.65,0.67,0.64,0.73,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.86,0.84,0.83,0.88,0.91,0.88,0.89,0.92,0.97,0.9,0.76,0.85,0.83,0.76,0.73,0.73,0.64,0.55,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 115, TOR 117	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.54,0.66,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.74,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.81,0.74,0.85,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.87,0.71,0.78,0.81,0.72,0.85,0.98,1	92.9%
HOU 107, POR 117	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.67,0.75,0.69,0.69,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.77,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.77,0.8,0.75,0.8,0.78,0.87,0.9,0.87,0.85,0.8,0.77,0.7,0.84,0.67,0.61,0.71,0.67,0.99,1	92.7%
GSW 72, POR 79	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.51,0.51,0.65,0.67,0.75,0.76,0.87,0.8,0.81,0.8,0.74,0.84,0.81,0.81,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.72,0.81,0.71,0.67,0.96,1	92.6%