NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	114		Excitement	11.0 [29]		MVP	Derrick White (BOS): +72.2%
Boston Celtics	117		Comeback	2.3 [285]		LVP	Ausar Thompson (DET): -12.3%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tobias Harris	0.23	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.23	0.08	0.14	-0.01	8	63%	0.23	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Duncan Robinson	0.04	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	9	61%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Stewart	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.04	-0.02	7	37%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Daniss Jenkins	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cade Cunningham	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.26,0	0.16	-0.14	0.02	26	62%	0.34	4	-0.34	16	87%	0.01
Ronald Holland II	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	6	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caris LeVert	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.19,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.04	-0.00	8	56%	0.05	1	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Jaden Ivey	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.03	-0.00	9	33%	0.01	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.03
Javonte Green	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Duren	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.17,-0.17,-0.07,-0.11	-0.05	-0.05	0.01	10	46%	-0.01	3	-0.10	6	67%	0.03
Ausar Thompson	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.06	-0.04	0.03	8	40%	-0.07	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick White	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.3,0.45,0.45,0.64,0.72	0.72	0.21	0.51	-0.01	13	82%	0.79	2	-0.06	7	100%	0.08
Baylor Scheierman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.11	0.00	0.03	7	93%	0.12	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Payton Pritchard	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08	0.08	0.10	0.03	0.05	10	73%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Josh Minott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.00	6	69%	0.11	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Sam Hauser	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.04	0.01	4	62%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anfernee Simons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03	0.03	-0.05	0.08	-0.00	7	31%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.04
Amari Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jordan Walsh	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.01	6	58%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Luka Garza	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hugo Gonz�lez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Jaylen Brown	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.11,-0.08,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.07,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.17,0.06,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.02	0.01	32	46%	0.13	5	-0.17	8	87%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.7	2.6	32.3	13.4	29.5	2.2	43.0	151.8
league avg	26.3	2.0	28.9	14.3	29.6	2.2	32.8	136.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +93.6%

DET -19.2%

DET -42.6%

BOS +18.9%

DET -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	BOS	NBA	DET	BOS	NBA
this game	14.9	14.5	14.2	117.5	118.2	113.5
season	14.1	15.4		115.3	119.3
opponent	14.3	14.2		112.0	107.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	13.5	14.3	15.9	15.8	14.9
BOS	15.2	14.5	14.1	14.2	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Daniss Jenkins	27	27	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-4	5	13.8	15.3	-1.47	15.9	13.9	2.00
Javonte Green	19	20	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.01	-1	-2	1	16.3	14.5	1.72	15.0	14.3	0.72
Jaden Ivey	70	72	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.07	-3	0	-3	15.1	14.4	0.65	14.9	13.4	1.47
Ronald Holland II	61	61	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.07	-4	1	-5	15.5	13.8	1.66	14.7	14.1	0.60
Duncan Robinson	79	80	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.37	2	-5	7	15.0	14.3	0.73	15.2	11.5	3.71
Isaiah Stewart	73	74	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.37	-1	-2	1	15.2	13.9	1.33	14.6	14.0	0.58
Caris LeVert	96	98	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.37	-3	0	-3	15.0	2.0	13.01	14.6	0.0	14.62
Ausar Thompson	83	86	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.38	-4	1	-5	15.1	13.5	1.61	14.7	13.1	1.61
Tobias Harris	71	73	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.42	-3	0	-3	15.1	14.3	0.78	14.8	13.5	1.32
Jalen Duren	88	91	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.45	-2	-1	-1	14.9	15.1	-0.26	14.7	12.0	2.69
Cade Cunningham	89	92	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.42	-3	0	-3	14.9	14.5	0.41	14.7	12.0	2.66

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick White	74	73	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.41	6	-3	9	14.8	13.5	1.28	15.5	12.9	2.66
Jordan Walsh	86	83	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.46	3	0	3	14.6	13.7	0.90	15.0	14.4	0.61
Sam Hauser	89	88	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.35	3	0	3	15.0	9.7	5.31	15.5	9.0	6.48
Baylor Scheierman	96	94	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.34	3	0	3	14.9	1.0	13.90	15.3	2.0	13.29
Payton Pritchard	89	87	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.37	1	2	-1	14.6	13.5	1.08	15.1	12.5	2.65
Anfernee Simons	80	80	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.32	1	2	-1	14.9	12.7	2.22	15.6	11.4	4.20
Amari Williams	93	91	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.41	-3	6	-9	15.1	5.5	9.55	14.9	14.7	0.22
Jaylen Brown	87	85	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.46	-5	8	-13	14.8	11.8	3.01	14.6	16.8	-2.23
Josh Minott	89	88	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.34	-1	4	-5	15.0	9.7	5.31	15.3	10.3	5.01
Luka Garza	23	23	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.05	-2	5	-7	15.9	14.0	1.87	15.1	14.8	0.28
Hugo Gonz�lez	13	12	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	-0.12	2	1	1	15.8	14.3	1.58	16.5	14.6	1.85

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.45,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.36,0.35,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.49,0.58,0.54,0.5,0.43,0.45,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.58,0.62,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.58,0.3,0.41,0.4,0.47,0.83,0.68,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 89, DET 93	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.46,0.51,0.44,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.49,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.62,0.68,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.75,0.7,0.66,0.7,0.53,0.47,0.41,0.31,0.28,0.31,0.63,0.86,0.74,1	91.1%
SAC 103, MIN 108	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.48,0.58,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.41,0.54,0.42,0.69,0.93,0.94,1,1	90.8%
NOH 76, CLE 79	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.73,0.63,0.71,0.66,0.57,0.57,0.42,0.47,0.31,0.47,0.4,0.45,0.79,0.9,0.83,1	90.8%