NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	110		Excitement	7.2 [145]		MVP	Anfernee Simons (BOS): +25.0%
Orlando Magic	123		Comeback	1.5 [223]		LVP	Neemias Queta (BOS): -10.3%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anfernee Simons	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.01,0.09,0.14,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.06	0.18	-0.01	8	69%	0.26	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Payton Pritchard	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07	0.14	-0.01	0.05	16	67%	0.15	3	-0.08	8	75%	0.02
Jaylen Brown	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.13,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.14,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	-0.00	-0.02	28	55%	0.12	4	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Derrick White	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	0.01	0.04	16	48%	0.02	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Luka Garza	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hugo Gonz�lez	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Josh Minott	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.05	-0.05	0.02	7	75%	0.08	2	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Sam Hauser	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	6	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Walsh	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	3	33%	0.00	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Neemias Queta	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	0.01	8	28%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Desmond Bane	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.11	0.13	0.02	15	63%	0.25	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.02
Franz Wagner	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.08	0.06	18	63%	0.19	3	-0.08	7	100%	0.02
Tristan da Silva	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.04	0.02	8	69%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Black	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.06	0.00	11	54%	0.13	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.03
Jalen Suggs	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.01	-0.01	8	87%	0.14	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jonathan Isaac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyus Jones	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wendell Carter Jr.	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.06	-0.01	0.06	10	67%	0.05	3	-0.07	7	86%	-0.02
Paolo Banchero	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.01	-0.02	0.05	10	54%	-0.01	2	-0.04	8	75%	0.01
Goga Bitadze	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.9	0.0	28.3	0.0	26.8	0.0	35.1	0.0
league avg	26.3	2.1	28.8	14.6	29.4	2.3	32.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +30.3%

ORL +9.5%

ORL +1.1%

ORL +3.9%

ORL +5.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	ORL	NBA	BOS	ORL	NBA
this game	14.5	14.3	14.1	107.8	125.5	113.7
season	15.0	13.9		119.5	114.6
opponent	14.2	14.6		110.5	114.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	15.0	14.3	14.0	14.5	14.5
ORL	13.0	15.7	13.6	14.9	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hugo Gonz�lez	48	47	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.12	-6	-7	1	15.2	13.8	1.39	15.0	13.6	1.43
Luka Garza	65	63	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.04	-9	-4	-5	14.3	14.8	-0.52	13.8	15.1	-1.27
Josh Minott	65	64	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.13	-6	-7	1	15.3	12.9	2.40	14.1	14.7	-0.67
Derrick White	78	77	-0.35	-0.14	-0.21	-0.09	-9	-4	-5	14.6	14.0	0.59	14.3	14.1	0.19
Neemias Queta	76	74	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.07	-12	-1	-11	14.7	13.6	1.17	13.9	15.4	-1.43
Sam Hauser	102	98	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.12	-13	0	-13	14.5	0.0	14.45	14.3	0.0	14.30
Payton Pritchard	102	98	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.12	-13	0	-13	14.5	0.0	14.45	14.3	0.0	14.30
Jordan Walsh	93	89	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.08	-15	2	-17	14.4	14.7	-0.24	14.2	14.9	-0.65
Jaylen Brown	89	87	-0.53	0.02	-0.55	-0.09	-15	2	-17	14.5	14.4	0.08	14.0	16.8	-2.84
Anfernee Simons	69	66	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	0.08	-21	8	-29	14.4	14.6	-0.18	13.5	16.0	-2.58

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paolo Banchero	89	92	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.13	14	-1	15	14.1	16.2	-2.12	14.6	13.3	1.28
Jalen Suggs	89	94	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.06	15	-2	17	14.2	14.9	-0.65	14.4	15.4	-1.00
Franz Wagner	98	102	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.12	13	0	13	14.3	0.0	14.30	14.5	0.0	14.45
Anthony Black	98	102	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.12	13	0	13	14.3	0.0	14.30	14.5	0.0	14.45
Wendell Carter Jr.	94	98	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.15	12	1	11	14.3	14.7	-0.47	14.8	7.0	7.76
Desmond Bane	88	91	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.09	14	-1	15	14.0	16.8	-2.79	14.5	14.0	0.51
Goga Bitadze	63	66	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.11	2	11	-9	13.8	15.1	-1.32	15.1	13.2	1.86
Jonathan Isaac	30	32	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.03	6	7	-1	13.8	14.5	-0.71	14.7	14.3	0.39
Tristan da Silva	66	68	0.01	0.49	-0.49	-0.11	4	9	-5	14.4	14.1	0.25	15.0	13.3	1.78
Tyus Jones	14	14	-0.31	0.81	-1.13	0.01	-11	24	-35	18.8	13.5	5.24	17.3	14.0	3.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.75,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.75,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.59,0.67,0.56,0.66,0.74,0.62,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.72,0.92,0.97,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 91, MEM 104	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.52,0.52,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.7,0.69,0.66,0.65,0.63,0.71,0.68,0.73,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.72,0.75,0.79,0.7,0.66,0.63,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.75,0.78,0.9,1,1	92.0%
TOR 97, ATL 105	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.72,0.76,0.77,0.76,0.78,0.8,0.77,0.76,0.74,0.81,0.83,0.86,0.85,0.8,0.8,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.7,0.68,0.78,0.66,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.59,0.53,0.73,0.8,0.93,0.99,1,1	92.0%
SAS 101, PHX 107	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.75,0.8,0.72,0.69,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.78,0.78,0.71,0.74,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.62,0.55,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.6,0.62,0.78,0.75,0.64,0.73,0.59,0.6,0.77,0.81,0.84,0.9,1,1	91.8%