NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	97		Excitement	3.2 [1145]		MVP	Cam Spencer (MEM): +12.7%
Memphis Grizzlies	132		Comeback	1.6 [526]		LVP	GG Jackson (MEM): -6.9%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Daniel Gafford	0.09	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.13	-0.00	0.03	10	80%	0.12	2	-0.03	5	80%	0.00
Caleb Martin	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.02	0.00	-0.05	8	37%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Powell	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	4	60%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Dante Exum	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Max Christie	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.01	-0.03	13	50%	-0.00	4	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Naji Marshall	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	0.00	11	50%	0.03	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jaden Hardy	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	17	45%	0.01	3	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Kai Jones	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.02	0.00	0.07	7	69%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Spencer Dinwiddie	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.10	-0.00	-0.05	10	32%	-0.03	3	-0.02	5	100%	0.00
Brandon Williams	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cam Spencer	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.11	0.00	-0.02	19	57%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jay Huff	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.13	0.00	0.02	12	85%	0.14	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Marvin Bagley III	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.10	-0.00	0.01	18	62%	0.10	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.01
Yuki Kawamura	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.00	0.03	8	63%	0.05	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.00
Lamar Stevens	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.08	0.00	0.06	25	60%	0.06	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
John Konchar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vince Williams Jr.	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.08	0.01	0.09	8	67%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
GG Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.14	-0.00	-0.07	12	21%	-0.05	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.1	1.8	26.5	15.0	24.2	2.3	21.5	119.4
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +32.1%

MEM +0.7%

MEM +5.0%

MEM +10.6%

MEM +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	MEM	NBA	DAL	MEM	NBA
this game	15.3	12.7	14.4	94.2	128.2	113.0
season	14.3	13.3		113.3	115.6
opponent	14.3	14.4		112.2	114.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	14.5	14.0	17.2	15.9	15.3
MEM	10.8	11.8	13.4	15.4	12.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dante Exum	30	31	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.15	6	-41	47	15.1	15.4	-0.27	13.0	12.5	0.43
Dwight Powell	31	30	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.34	-12	-23	11	16.3	14.9	1.38	14.8	11.8	3.01
Brandon Williams	15	15	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.03	-2	-33	31	17.6	14.9	2.70	11.9	12.8	-0.94
Caleb Martin	45	48	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.18	-13	-22	9	14.6	15.8	-1.19	12.5	12.8	-0.36
Kai Jones	56	56	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.31	-19	-16	-3	14.2	16.5	-2.28	13.0	12.3	0.76
Daniel Gafford	41	41	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.04	-10	-25	15	16.2	14.7	1.46	12.3	12.9	-0.59
Max Christie	84	83	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.32	-21	-14	-7	15.4	14.9	0.42	12.9	11.5	1.39
Naji Marshall	63	62	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.22	-22	-13	-9	15.3	15.3	-0.10	11.4	14.5	-3.10
Spencer Dinwiddie	77	77	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.61	-38	3	-41	15.3	15.2	0.08	12.6	12.8	-0.18
Jaden Hardy	73	72	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	0.74	-44	9	-53	15.1	15.7	-0.58	12.7	12.6	0.04

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Yuki Kawamura	62	62	0.46	0.04	0.41	-0.39	29	6	23	12.1	13.6	-1.52	14.6	16.3	-1.70
Marvin Bagley III	64	66	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.31	24	11	13	12.6	12.8	-0.28	15.2	15.4	-0.18
John Konchar	50	48	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.42	27	8	19	11.9	13.4	-1.42	14.4	16.1	-1.75
Lamar Stevens	75	75	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.70	34	1	33	12.9	12.1	0.82	16.4	12.2	4.18
GG Jackson	74	72	0.29	0.21	0.09	-0.15	15	20	-5	13.1	11.6	1.46	15.5	14.8	0.65
Cam Spencer	79	79	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.25	18	17	1	12.9	11.9	1.04	15.1	16.0	-0.87
Jay Huff	61	62	0.28	0.22	0.05	-0.19	16	19	-3	12.7	12.6	0.09	14.5	16.5	-1.99
Vince Williams Jr.	50	51	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.22	12	23	-11	12.9	12.4	0.49	16.4	14.2	2.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.43,0.53,0.59,0.62,0.69,0.75,0.7,0.72,0.68,0.71,0.75,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.87,0.89,0.94,0.93,0.84,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 106, MIL 134	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.79,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
NYK 78, PHI 93	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.41,0.43,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.69,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.72,0.81,0.88,0.86,0.86,0.9,0.88,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
UTA 84, IND 104	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.48,0.43,0.44,0.5,0.46,0.51,0.6,0.57,0.68,0.71,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.71,0.71,0.65,0.74,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%