inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Washington Wizards 119 Excitement9.1 [172] MVPBub Carrington (WAS): +38.3%
Miami Heat 118 Comeback60.4 [29] LVPTerry Rozier (MIA): -14.9%


Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Bub Carrington0.380,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.08,0.38-0.030.41-0.011842%0.441-0.0600%0.00
Justin Champagnie0.320,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.320.200.150.031679%0.341-0.0220%-0.03
Tristan Vukcevic0.270,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.18,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.270.190.090.011290%0.424-0.15786%0.02
Kyshawn George0.040,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.030.00-0.01462%0.0400.0000%0.00
Alex Sarr0.030,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.05-0.000.02662%0.0300.00475%-0.00
AJ Johnson-0.010,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01-0.040.03-0.011644%0.032-0.0400%0.00
Colby Jones-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.07,0.07,-0.04,-0.04-0.01-0.05-0.021850%0.002-0.04450%-0.05

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Keshad Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.34,0.340.340.150.200.01989%0.361-0.031100%0.03
Jaime Jaquez Jr.0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.26,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.31,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.39,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.320.320.220.100.002572%0.543-0.22771%0.06
Haywood Highsmith0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.04-0.01-0.011060%0.071-0.0400%0.00
Kel'el Ware0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.04-0.000.021254%0.0300.0000%0.00
Duncan Robinson0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.02-0.010.01650%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Kyle Anderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.01737%-0.0200.002100%0.01
Davion Mitchell0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.010.00450%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Josh Christopher0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0.09,0.14,0.1,0.14,0.09,0.07,0.01,-0.1-0.100.02-0.12-0.001650%0.041-0.142100%0.02
Terry Rozier0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.15-0.13-0.03-0.00911%-0.131-0.0200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.42.425.615.420.61.829.7118.8
league avg25.92.328.214.928.62.332.2135.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
WAS +76.6%
MIA -33.8%
MIA -12.4%
WAS +13.5%
WAS +6.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsWASMIANBAWASMIANBA
this game14.713.414.4116.7114.6113.0
season14.015.0105.3111.5
opponent14.614.1112.2117.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
WAS14.214.215.814.614.7
MIA15.813.013.012.113.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Colby Jones89910.60-0.100.710.407-61314.515.8-1.3413.413.8-0.46
Tristan Vukcevic81840.56-0.060.620.386-51114.614.8-0.1713.214.5-1.28
AJ Johnson1021030.500.000.500.4710114.70.014.6813.40.013.43
Bub Carrington87870.360.140.220.48-45-914.614.9-0.3013.314.1-0.75
Justin Champagnie85840.320.180.140.44-45-914.614.9-0.2513.413.7-0.38
Alex Sarr33340.140.36-0.210.053-2514.914.60.3913.913.20.64
Kyshawn George33320.020.48-0.470.13-45-915.214.40.7514.213.11.19

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kel'el Ware4141-0.07-0.430.37-0.091-2314.013.10.9115.314.31.03
Davion Mitchell4141-0.07-0.430.37-0.091-2314.013.10.9115.314.31.03
Duncan Robinson4141-0.07-0.430.37-0.091-2314.013.10.9115.314.31.03
Haywood Highsmith4646-0.07-0.430.36-0.194-5913.713.20.4915.414.11.26
Keshad Johnson6060-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.36-10-113.213.7-0.5414.215.4-1.16
Terry Rozier7574-0.41-0.09-0.31-0.38-10-113.214.1-0.8814.315.7-1.48
Kyle Anderson6360-0.41-0.09-0.32-0.29-43-712.914.3-1.4314.415.1-0.75
Josh Christopher6261-0.43-0.07-0.37-0.38-21-313.114.0-0.9114.315.3-1.03
Jaime Jaquez Jr.8686-0.590.09-0.69-0.48-43-713.512.90.6514.615.0-0.38


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.5,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.59,0.53,0.49,0.41,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.37,0.3,0.32,0.27,0.31,0.25,0.32,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.22,0.17,0.21,0.26,0.17,0.16,0.23,0.16,0.25,0.19,0.26,0.33,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.2,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.58,0
GameSimilarity Score
MIA 102, MIL 990.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.57,0.6,0.54,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.34,0.32,0.25,0.26,0.34,0.36,0.41,0.5,0.37,0.29,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.21,0.22,0.16,0.15,0.25,0.2,0.22,0.15,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.27,092.0%
NYK 97, MIA 920.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.24,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.16,0.21,0.28,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.15,0.19,0.23,0.29,0.21,0.19,0.37,0.29,0.38,0.37,0.17,0.15,0.18,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.42,091.2%
WAS 103, GSW 1010.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.44,0.47,0.41,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.28,0.25,0.2,0.14,0.16,0.2,0.15,0.14,0.2,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.22,0.18,0.15,0.26,0.25,0.2,0.19,0.21,0.15,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.22,0.58,091.0%