NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	125		Excitement	5.4 [751]		MVP	Jalen Williams (OKC): +19.2%
Phoenix Suns	112		Comeback	4.8 [600]		LVP	Grayson Allen (PHX): -17.2%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Williams	0.19	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.14	0.05	0.00	23	63%	0.23	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.02
Alex Caruso	0.16	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.17	0.03	0.04	8	86%	0.16	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Kenrich Williams	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.07	0.07	-0.02	8	72%	0.17	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Chet Holmgren	0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.11	0.02	0.00	12	59%	0.13	0	0.00	13	92%	0.04
Jaylin Williams	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.03	0.05	7	86%	0.08	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Wiggins	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	16	53%	0.09	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Adam Flagler	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Branden Carlson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dillon Jones	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Joe	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	8	31%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Collin Gillespie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.15	0.04	0.01	9	85%	0.17	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Bradley Beal	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.14,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.12	0.04	0.01	17	64%	0.18	2	-0.03	5	100%	0.03
Ryan Dunn	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.02	-0.04	11	59%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Royce O'Neale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.01	9	61%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyus Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	8	62%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mason Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	1	62%	0.04	1	-0.03	6	50%	-0.04
Jalen Bridges	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
TyTy Washington Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damion Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Oso Ighodaro	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Devin Booker	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	20	45%	0.02	4	-0.11	4	50%	0.00
Grayson Allen	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.11	-0.06	0.00	6	33%	-0.04	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.5	1.8	25.2	16.3	31.3	1.6	25.2	131.9
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +4.8%

OKC +13.2%

OKC +8.8%

OKC +21.7%

OKC +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	PHX	NBA	OKC	PHX	NBA
this game	12.8	15.3	14.4	122.5	108.7	113.0
season	13.8	15.0		117.4	114.3
opponent	14.2	14.7		117.4	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	12.7	12.5	11.1	15.3	12.8
PHX	12.5	18.8	13.7	17.4	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alex Caruso	60	59	0.57	-0.07	0.64	-0.11	23	-10	33	12.1	13.7	-1.58	15.0	15.7	-0.74
Chet Holmgren	67	67	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.05	16	-3	19	11.7	14.9	-3.16	15.0	15.8	-0.78
Kenrich Williams	60	62	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.20	5	8	-3	13.5	11.8	1.66	16.3	13.8	2.53
Aaron Wiggins	75	75	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.11	7	6	1	11.7	15.7	-4.02	14.8	16.5	-1.70
Isaiah Joe	67	67	0.29	0.21	0.09	-0.00	10	3	7	12.3	13.6	-1.29	14.5	16.8	-2.27
Jalen Williams	77	79	0.22	0.28	-0.07	-0.02	8	5	3	13.2	11.6	1.52	15.0	16.4	-1.45
Jaylin Williams	48	49	0.18	0.32	-0.15	-0.03	7	6	1	14.2	11.5	2.69	16.2	14.4	1.80
Dillon Jones	39	39	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.19	-3	16	-19	13.4	12.4	1.01	15.6	15.1	0.51
Branden Carlson	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	17	-21	18.0	12.6	5.37	13.3	15.4	-2.03
Adam Flagler	14	15	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.07	-4	17	-21	15.9	12.3	3.56	17.7	14.9	2.85

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jalen Bridges	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-17	21	13.3	15.4	-2.03	18.0	12.6	5.37
TyTy Washington Jr.	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-17	21	13.3	15.4	-2.03	18.0	12.6	5.37
Damion Lee	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-17	21	13.3	15.4	-2.03	18.0	12.6	5.37
Tyus Jones	29	29	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.10	-7	-6	-1	19.3	13.7	5.53	13.3	12.6	0.69
Mason Plumlee	49	51	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.17	2	-15	17	15.3	15.3	0.01	12.8	12.8	-0.04
Collin Gillespie	49	49	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.24	4	-17	21	14.3	16.2	-1.82	13.6	12.0	1.63
Royce O'Neale	40	38	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.20	0	-13	13	15.4	15.2	0.20	12.7	12.8	-0.16
Ryan Dunn	60	61	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.20	-17	4	-21	15.3	15.3	0.04	12.6	13.1	-0.48
Bradley Beal	86	83	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.00	-11	-2	-9	14.9	17.2	-2.25	12.4	14.6	-2.27
Oso Ighodaro	54	51	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.05	-15	2	-17	15.3	15.3	-0.01	12.8	12.8	0.04
Devin Booker	88	89	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.07	-12	-1	-11	15.0	17.2	-2.22	12.4	15.5	-3.16
Grayson Allen	51	50	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	0.08	-21	8	-29	15.4	15.2	0.14	12.5	13.1	-0.64

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.69,0.7,0.72,0.71,0.73,0.79,0.72,0.76,0.81,0.78,0.77,0.7,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.46,0.39,0.33,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.31,0.41,0.33,0.22,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
VAN 95, GSW 81	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.73,0.72,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.67,0.75,0.71,0.78,0.72,0.69,0.61,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.33,0.25,0.15,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.4%
SAC 99, UTA 82	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.74,0.69,0.67,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.38,0.31,0.41,0.26,0.18,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	93.8%
MIA 106, NJN 90	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.73,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.8,0.73,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.29,0.28,0.23,0.2,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.15,0.1,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	93.5%