NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	119		Excitement	11.4 [24]		MVP	Kristaps Porzingis (BOS): +66.0%
New York Knicks	117		Comeback	11.6 [137]		LVP	Derrick White (BOS): -30.7%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kristaps Porzingis	0.66	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.23,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.36,0.66	0.23	0.41	-0.01	19	77%	0.74	2	-0.08	6	67%	0.03
Jayson Tatum	0.50	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.67,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.5,0.5	0.15	0.37	0.02	22	62%	0.57	2	-0.07	8	75%	-0.06
Jrue Holiday	0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13	0.10	0.05	0.02	9	70%	0.16	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.00
Payton Pritchard	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.03	0.00	6	57%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Sam Hauser	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.03	0.00	6	58%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Brown	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.00	-0.01	8	33%	-0.02	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Luke Kornet	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	3	25%	-0.09	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Derrick White	-0.31	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31	-0.02	-0.27	0.01	14	50%	-0.02	3	-0.29	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl-Anthony Towns	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.25,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.24,0.34,0.34,0.34	0.34	0.23	0.14	0.03	21	69%	0.34	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.03
Mikal Bridges	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.09	0.09	-0.02	0.10	-0.01	15	47%	0.19	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Landry Shamet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mitchell Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Miles McBride	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cameron Payne	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.03	-0.00	7	50%	0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Josh Hart	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.01	14	34%	-0.06	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.02
Jalen Brunson	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.05,0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11	-0.11	0.11	-0.18	0.04	21	61%	-0.01	2	-0.11	2	100%	0.02
OG Anunoby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.11,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.11	-0.08	0.01	13	41%	-0.02	4	-0.19	6	50%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	25.6	3.4	31.6	16.5	27.6	2.8	33.2	3.4	17.4	161.5
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.1	2.4	15.6	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +63.4%

BOS +26.7%

NYK -28.8%

NYK -17.6%

BOS +6.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	NYK	NBA	BOS	NYK	NBA
this game	14.9	15.8	14.4	116.7	111.4	113.1
season	15.2	15.2		118.8	117.0
opponent	14.2	14.4		112.9	109.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
BOS	14.8	14.5	12.4	20.0	13.2	14.9
NYK	15.2	15.5	16.4	17.0	14.1	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sam Hauser	51	52	0.85	-0.35	1.20	0.58	9	-7	16	16.1	13.8	2.29	16.4	15.2	1.20
Luke Kornet	37	36	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.35	6	-4	10	13.8	15.6	-1.76	16.4	15.4	0.97
Jayson Tatum	90	94	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.43	2	0	2	15.1	13.6	1.53	15.8	15.5	0.26
Jrue Holiday	73	77	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.26	6	-4	10	14.1	17.1	-3.03	15.6	16.3	-0.74
Derrick White	81	83	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.45	-1	3	-4	15.6	12.4	3.15	15.6	16.5	-0.85
Kristaps Porzingis	74	77	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.24	0	2	-2	15.2	14.3	0.89	15.7	16.0	-0.30
Jaylen Brown	46	46	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.07	-2	4	-6	13.7	15.9	-2.25	15.5	16.0	-0.54
Payton Pritchard	58	60	-0.47	0.97	-1.45	-0.18	-10	12	-22	15.2	14.6	0.64	15.7	15.9	-0.27

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Landry Shamet	13	14	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.02	3	-5	8	15.5	15.8	-0.36	14.4	15.0	-0.58
Miles McBride	44	42	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.16	3	-5	8	15.6	15.9	-0.25	13.4	16.0	-2.64
Mitchell Robinson	31	31	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.06	-1	-1	0	16.1	15.7	0.40	14.8	15.0	-0.18
Cameron Payne	27	27	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.15	0	-2	2	15.6	15.8	-0.25	16.0	14.5	1.50
Karl-Anthony Towns	85	83	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.36	1	-3	4	15.9	15.2	0.72	14.8	15.6	-0.80
Jalen Brunson	77	75	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.32	-2	0	-2	15.8	15.9	-0.10	14.5	16.0	-1.50
Josh Hart	92	88	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.34	-5	3	-8	16.0	13.9	2.12	15.4	11.8	3.65
Mikal Bridges	73	70	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.44	-2	0	-2	15.5	16.3	-0.76	16.0	12.7	3.27
OG Anunoby	83	80	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.37	-7	5	-12	15.7	16.2	-0.56	14.6	16.2	-1.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.68,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.64,0.69,0.62,0.69,0.63,0.63,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.56,0.67,0.55,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.33,0.29,0.35,0.41,0.49,0.6,0.4,0.3,0.26,0.34,0.33,0.19,0.21,0.24,0.18,0.19,0.21,0.33,0.73,0.46,0.55,0.29,0.43,0.41,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 107, ORL 102	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.7,0.74,0.78,0.68,0.76,0.74,0.79,0.73,0.72,0.65,0.61,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.54,0.55,0.48,0.39,0.42,0.35,0.31,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.26,0.25,0.14,0.19,0.22,0.24,0.17,0.14,0.28,0.33,0.58,0.54,0.45,0.54,0.78,0.27,0	89.0%
BOS 102, IND 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.66,0.68,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.72,0.74,0.61,0.59,0.5,0.49,0.42,0.33,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.56,0.59,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.29,0.2,0.19,0.31,0.22,0.27,0.14,0.22,0.24,0.27,0.54,0.46,0.45,0.24,0.04,0	88.3%
NYK 112, DEN 108	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.48,0.41,0.33,0.25,0.26,0.22,0.34,0.42,0.53,0.41,0.19,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.32,0.74,0.46,0.25,0.54,0.43,0.42,0	87.9%