NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	111		Excitement	6.1 [612]		MVP	Jordan Poole (WAS): +15.0%
Washington Wizards	116		Comeback	1.5 [138]		LVP	Zach LaVine (SAC): -9.0%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keegan Murray	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.11	0.01	-0.00	14	64%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Valanciunas	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.02	0.01	6	86%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
DeMar DeRozan	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,0.01	0.06	-0.01	0.04	23	50%	0.04	1	-0.03	12	67%	-0.03
Malik Monk	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	13	43%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Domantas Sabonis	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.02	0.01	15	58%	0.10	4	-0.12	1	100%	0.00
Markelle Fultz	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trey Lyles	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	3	12%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Keon Ellis	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Zach LaVine	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	0.01	-0.06	0.04	13	55%	-0.00	3	-0.09	7	86%	-0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jordan Poole	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.14	0.03	0.02	14	70%	0.15	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Bub Carrington	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.07	0.06	-0.01	13	68%	0.21	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.00
JT Thor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.07	0.07	-0.02	0.07	-0.02	2	75%	0.11	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Vukcevic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	-0.01	-0.02	13	55%	0.07	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.02
Anthony Gill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.01	10	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
AJ Johnson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.02	0.01	14	59%	0.10	3	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Alex Sarr	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.02	0.00	9	83%	0.14	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Richaun Holmes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Champagnie	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	8	44%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.8	26.7	14.7	24.5	2.2	39.5	135.7
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +69.1%

SAC -9.0%

SAC -6.8%

SAC -3.7%

WAS +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	WAS	NBA	SAC	WAS	NBA
this game	14.3	14.5	14.4	109.9	117.2	113.0
season	14.3	14.0		115.1	105.3
opponent	14.1	14.6		117.6	114.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	16.1	12.8	17.2	11.7	14.3
WAS	13.4	13.4	14.7	16.7	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jonas Valanciunas	28	27	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.07	0	-5	5	13.0	14.8	-1.78	13.9	14.7	-0.86
Markelle Fultz	17	17	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.04	-5	0	-5	13.8	14.4	-0.56	12.8	14.9	-2.04
Malik Monk	73	71	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.32	3	-8	11	13.6	16.1	-2.47	15.0	13.3	1.66
Keon Ellis	47	47	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.12	-4	-1	-3	15.1	13.6	1.53	14.1	14.9	-0.74
Trey Lyles	38	37	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.08	-6	1	-7	13.8	14.6	-0.76	15.6	13.9	1.72
DeMar DeRozan	85	83	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.39	4	-9	13	14.0	16.1	-2.11	14.3	15.4	-1.10
Keegan Murray	74	72	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.31	-3	-2	-1	14.2	14.5	-0.32	14.5	14.4	0.10
Domantas Sabonis	73	72	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.29	-5	0	-5	14.8	13.0	1.78	14.7	13.9	0.86
Zach LaVine	70	69	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.23	-9	4	-13	15.3	12.0	3.35	14.3	15.0	-0.65

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Justin Champagnie	61	61	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.12	15	-10	25	13.9	15.5	-1.64	15.7	12.1	3.54
Bub Carrington	85	87	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.32	7	-2	9	14.6	14.0	0.60	14.0	15.9	-1.91
Anthony Gill	63	65	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.29	7	-2	9	15.6	12.6	3.08	13.8	15.2	-1.37
Tristan Vukcevic	46	48	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.27	1	4	-3	15.5	13.6	1.88	12.6	15.8	-3.29
JT Thor	54	55	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.34	-2	7	-9	15.7	13.1	2.53	12.9	16.0	-3.15
Alex Sarr	53	53	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.08	4	1	3	13.6	15.5	-1.88	15.8	12.6	3.29
Jordan Poole	51	51	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.03	5	0	5	13.4	15.7	-2.24	15.7	12.9	2.83
AJ Johnson	78	80	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.30	-10	15	-25	14.0	16.5	-2.49	13.9	15.8	-1.86
Richaun Holmes	4	5	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.02	-2	7	-9	13.2	14.6	-1.32	15.8	14.2	1.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.5,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.57,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.59,0.66,0.73,0.67,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.61,0.7,0.79,0.79,0.77,0.69,0.76,0.83,0.82,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.83,0.88,0.95,0.97,0.96,1,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 103, LAL 119	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.5,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.82,0.85,0.79,0.79,0.83,0.87,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.93,0.98,0.97,1,1,1,1,1	94.4%
TOR 75, ATL 101	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.39,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.59,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.73,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.4%
DAL 78, TOR 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.49,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.44,0.47,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.7,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.75,0.84,0.74,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.82,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.3%