NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	98		Excitement	8.0 [287]		MVP	Gabe Vincent (LAL): +23.4%
Los Angeles Lakers	104		Comeback	2.0 [666]		LVP	Fred VanVleet (HOU): -18.7%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jabari Smith Jr.	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.07	0.05	0.00	10	75%	0.19	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Amen Thompson	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.04	-0.00	14	62%	0.16	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.01
Tari Eason	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	11	59%	0.11	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Alperen Sengun	-0.02	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.02	11	54%	0.02	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Steven Adams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	2	67%	0.05	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Dillon Brooks	-0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.08	0.02	-0.09	-0.00	14	50%	0.01	1	-0.08	4	75%	-0.04
Jalen Green	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	13	35%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Fred VanVleet	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19	-0.13	-0.09	-0.03	14	23%	-0.13	1	-0.05	3	67%	-0.02

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gabe Vincent	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.14	0.10	-0.00	14	67%	0.23	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Dorian Finney-Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.13	0.04	0.02	13	71%	0.18	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Austin Reaves	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.00	0.07	-0.01	11	50%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
LeBron James	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.07	-0.00	12	57%	0.16	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.05
Rui Hachimura	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.06	0.00	10	35%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luka Doncic	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	16	49%	0.11	3	-0.10	9	78%	0.02
Dalton Knecht	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaxson Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.02	0.00	2	60%	0.05	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Jordan Goodwin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	5	40%	-0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jarred Vanderbilt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	6	17%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.8	27.2	16.6	27.6	2.8	41.5	143.1
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.1	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +32.4%

LAL +11.5%

HOU -19.2%

LAL +20.9%

LAL +4.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	LAL	NBA	HOU	LAL	NBA
this game	13.6	15.7	14.4	99.0	106.1	113.1
season	14.7	14.9		114.2	114.3
opponent	14.2	14.2		113.5	109.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	14.0	12.4	12.9	14.9	13.6
LAL	14.2	17.6	15.3	15.8	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steven Adams	33	32	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.02	-3	-3	0	12.3	14.2	-1.92	15.6	15.7	-0.15
Jabari Smith Jr.	56	56	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.23	2	-8	10	12.8	14.5	-1.65	15.9	15.5	0.42
Tari Eason	44	46	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.16	-3	-3	0	13.2	13.9	-0.71	16.3	15.2	1.07
Alperen Sengun	73	72	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.22	-2	-4	2	13.4	14.0	-0.65	15.2	17.1	-1.88
Amen Thompson	71	70	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.31	-2	-4	2	13.7	13.2	0.43	14.9	17.7	-2.78
Fred VanVleet	80	79	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.31	-3	-3	0	14.1	11.1	3.03	16.3	13.3	2.95
Jalen Green	65	63	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.08	-11	5	-16	13.6	13.4	0.26	15.7	15.7	0.01
Dillon Brooks	73	72	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.28	-8	2	-10	14.3	11.6	2.68	15.9	15.2	0.68

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dorian Finney-Smith	64	66	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.23	16	-10	26	15.3	16.4	-1.14	13.0	14.7	-1.71
LeBron James	78	78	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.35	9	-3	12	15.4	16.9	-1.52	13.8	12.7	1.07
Austin Reaves	79	79	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.29	8	-2	10	15.8	15.2	0.60	13.8	12.7	1.01
Luka Doncic	77	80	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.26	7	-1	8	15.5	16.3	-0.75	13.3	14.8	-1.53
Gabe Vincent	49	50	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.15	8	-2	10	15.3	16.1	-0.82	13.4	13.7	-0.31
Rui Hachimura	62	63	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.17	0	6	-6	15.3	16.3	-1.01	14.2	12.4	1.88
Dalton Knecht	8	7	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.02	-1	7	-8	19.9	15.3	4.55	14.4	13.5	0.94
Jarred Vanderbilt	19	19	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.07	-4	10	-14	16.2	15.6	0.58	15.2	13.2	1.98
Jordan Goodwin	24	23	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.05	-4	10	-14	17.1	15.2	1.90	12.2	14.0	-1.80
Jaxson Hayes	30	30	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	0.03	-9	15	-24	16.3	15.4	0.92	13.1	13.7	-0.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.59,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.83,0.71,0.83,0.85,0.79,0.9,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 85, MIA 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.56,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.44,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.73,0.67,0.6,0.62,0.7,0.71,0.76,0.73,0.69,0.76,0.78,0.86,0.85,0.97,0.99,1	93.7%
WAS 93, CHA 98	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.46,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.66,0.74,0.72,0.62,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.83,0.76,0.71,0.89,0.89,0.97,0.96,1	93.5%
POR 93, LAC 97	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.46,0.35,0.42,0.44,0.36,0.44,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.6,0.68,0.54,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.95,0.98,1	93.0%