NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	122		Excitement	5.8 [666]		MVP	Tim Hardaway Jr. (DET): +29.0%
Detroit Pistons	133		Comeback	1.6 [327]		LVP	Marcus Sasser (DET): -11.1%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donovan Mitchell	0.13	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13	0.15	0.06	0.08	24	62%	0.20	3	-0.07	13	85%	-0.04
Darius Garland	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	-0.02	-0.04	17	58%	0.10	4	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Craig Porter Jr.	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	0.00	0.04	5	75%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Dean Wade	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	0.00	0.04	5	77%	0.05	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Jarrett Allen	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	7	57%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Merrill	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.03	5	60%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
De'Andre Hunter	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	7	55%	0.03	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.00
Isaac Okoro	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.04	2	58%	-0.02	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.03
Javonte Green	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	25%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Evan Mobley	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	10	41%	-0.02	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.25,0.24,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.24	0.03	-0.02	18	78%	0.29	1	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Malik Beasley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.13	0.12	0.01	10	68%	0.25	1	-0.02	8	100%	0.06
Jalen Duren	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.09	0.00	0.03	9	67%	0.07	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.04	-0.00	14	49%	0.06	2	-0.02	7	86%	0.01
Isaiah Stewart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.08	-0.00	0.05	6	82%	0.06	2	-0.02	5	80%	0.00
Ronald Holland II	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.01	0.01	5	100%	0.09	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Simone Fontecchio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ausar Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	0.04	18	47%	-0.02	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Marcus Sasser	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.12	-0.01	-0.02	9	20%	-0.08	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	2.6	32.3	14.7	31.3	2.5	38.4	149.3
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +8.8%

DET +28.3%

DET +1.6%

DET +6.7%

DET +4.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	DET	NBA	CLE	DET	NBA
this game	13.3	14.8	14.4	118.4	130.4	113.0
season	13.7	14.1		120.5	113.7
opponent	14.5	14.9		111.9	110.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	12.8	13.1	15.0	12.4	13.3
DET	14.4	13.5	13.2	18.4	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Javonte Green	25	25	0.17	-0.67	0.85	-0.15	11	-22	33	12.5	13.6	-1.14	17.3	13.9	3.33
Dean Wade	40	39	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.19	8	-19	27	12.5	13.9	-1.37	15.5	14.3	1.21
Tristan Thompson	2	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-13	15	8.5	13.4	-4.94	22.5	14.6	7.89
Craig Porter Jr.	43	42	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.14	2	-13	15	12.9	13.6	-0.74	16.7	13.4	3.27
Sam Merrill	45	45	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.03	-3	-8	5	12.6	13.9	-1.35	14.4	15.0	-0.57
De'Andre Hunter	41	41	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.00	-6	-5	-1	12.8	13.7	-0.89	14.8	14.7	0.11
Jarrett Allen	41	42	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.00	-13	2	-15	14.8	12.4	2.39	13.4	15.7	-2.27
Darius Garland	70	71	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.19	-8	-3	-5	14.0	11.9	2.06	15.4	13.4	1.98
Isaac Okoro	52	53	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.23	-9	-2	-7	13.5	13.1	0.40	14.4	15.2	-0.77
Donovan Mitchell	81	78	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.05	-16	5	-21	13.5	12.9	0.55	13.9	17.7	-3.79
Evan Mobley	75	72	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	0.15	-23	12	-35	13.5	12.8	0.71	13.7	17.2	-3.50

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dennis Schroder	81	81	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.16	16	-5	21	14.9	14.2	0.72	13.9	11.4	2.51
Tim Hardaway Jr.	71	70	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.14	14	-3	17	14.7	14.9	-0.25	13.6	12.7	0.95
Ausar Thompson	66	66	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.07	15	-4	19	14.5	15.2	-0.75	13.9	12.4	1.54
Jalen Duren	58	57	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.02	15	-4	19	14.8	14.7	0.11	13.9	12.7	1.24
Malik Beasley	79	78	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.15	7	4	3	14.3	16.4	-2.10	13.2	13.9	-0.71
Isaiah Stewart	44	46	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.16	-4	15	-19	14.7	14.8	-0.11	12.7	13.9	-1.24
Simone Fontecchio	30	32	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.03	1	10	-9	15.0	14.7	0.29	12.3	13.8	-1.49
Marcus Sasser	40	43	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.06	-3	14	-17	15.6	14.2	1.33	12.6	13.9	-1.30
Ronald Holland II	41	42	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.14	-6	17	-23	15.0	14.6	0.39	12.8	13.7	-0.90

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.63,0.53,0.42,0.4,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.77,0.85,0.84,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.84,0.93,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.95,0.9,0.89,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
VAN 97, GSW 122	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.63,0.58,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.86,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%
NOP 89, WAS 109	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.52,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.69,0.82,0.93,0.92,0.87,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%
POR 95, LAC 115	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.73,0.65,0.77,0.8,0.89,0.88,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%