NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	111		Excitement	7.7 [341]		MVP	Caleb Houstan (ORL): +26.6%
Minnesota Timberwolves	118		Comeback	8.2 [414]		LVP	Naz Reid (MIN): -11.6%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Caleb Houstan	0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.19	0.07	0.00	9	100%	0.27	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cory Joseph	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.01	6	62%	0.04	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Gary Harris	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tristan da Silva	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.00	6	67%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Paolo Banchero	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.1,-0.01,-0.01,0.11,0.01,0,0	0.17	-0.05	0.12	32	57%	0.04	1	-0.04	11	82%	0.02
Goga Bitadze	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jett Howard	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jonathan Isaac	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.01	0.02	3	50%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Black	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	8	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Wendell Carter Jr.	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	5	40%	-0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Franz Wagner	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11	-0.14	-0.01	-0.04	16	40%	-0.03	5	-0.09	8	100%	0.05

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jaden McDaniels	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.05	0.16	0.00	6	79%	0.27	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Donte DiVincenzo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.06	0.08	-0.00	11	64%	0.16	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Edwards	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,-0.03,0.09,0.13,0.12,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.07	0.02	19	61%	0.22	3	-0.09	8	87%	0.01
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.01	0.01	6	75%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.02	0.00	7	67%	0.06	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
Jaylen Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julius Randle	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.07	-0.03	0.03	13	65%	0.10	3	-0.09	8	87%	0.05
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.06	0.03	8	60%	-0.00	3	-0.09	4	75%	-0.02
Naz Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	9	40%	-0.06	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.09

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.2	2.5	26.0	14.0	28.2	2.4	39.4	141.7
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.1	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +60.2%

ORL -9.4%

MIN +25.5%

ORL -19.9%

ORL -6.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	MIN	NBA	ORL	MIN	NBA
this game	15.4	13.3	14.4	113.3	114.6	113.1
season	15.4	14.7		108.6	115.4
opponent	14.6	14.4		110.3	108.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	15.5	16.0	16.2	14.1	15.4
MIN	13.4	14.7	14.5	11.2	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Black	41	42	0.19	-0.69	0.87	0.07	4	-11	15	16.4	14.6	1.73	12.7	13.8	-1.15
Goga Bitadze	11	11	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.06	6	-13	19	14.0	15.5	-1.53	14.2	13.2	0.93
Caleb Houstan	53	57	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.13	6	-13	19	15.5	15.2	0.33	13.0	13.8	-0.82
Gary Harris	45	44	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.02	1	-8	9	15.1	15.6	-0.54	12.7	13.9	-1.21
Jonathan Isaac	20	21	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-4	1	16.2	15.1	1.12	11.3	13.9	-2.59
Jett Howard	8	9	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.04	-4	-3	-1	17.6	15.2	2.47	12.9	13.4	-0.50
Tristan da Silva	46	48	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.10	-6	-1	-5	15.2	15.5	-0.26	14.2	12.6	1.65
Paolo Banchero	76	80	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.33	-2	-5	3	15.1	16.1	-1.00	13.9	11.4	2.47
Wendell Carter Jr.	61	65	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.34	-8	1	-9	16.1	14.2	1.92	14.4	11.5	2.93
Cory Joseph	58	62	-0.75	0.25	-1.00	-0.37	-13	6	-19	14.6	16.4	-1.80	13.8	12.7	1.07
Franz Wagner	71	76	-0.79	0.29	-1.08	-0.32	-16	9	-25	14.9	16.7	-1.81	12.5	15.7	-3.24

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jaden McDaniels	71	68	0.90	-0.40	1.30	0.43	16	-9	25	13.1	13.9	-0.81	14.9	16.4	-1.55
Rudy Gobert	73	69	0.88	-0.38	1.25	0.41	16	-9	25	13.9	12.1	1.76	15.8	14.3	1.54
Mike Conley	54	51	0.81	-0.31	1.12	0.22	20	-13	33	13.7	12.9	0.78	14.5	16.3	-1.73
Naz Reid	56	54	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.06	7	0	7	13.3	13.4	-0.10	16.7	13.7	2.92
Jaylen Clark	12	11	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.01	2	5	-3	11.9	13.5	-1.62	15.0	15.4	-0.40
Anthony Edwards	82	78	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.21	-5	12	-17	13.9	11.4	2.47	15.3	15.7	-0.43
Donte DiVincenzo	63	60	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.17	-4	11	-15	13.0	14.0	-1.02	16.1	14.2	1.92
Julius Randle	63	60	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.13	-7	14	-21	13.8	12.6	1.14	14.5	16.7	-2.17
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	41	39	-0.45	0.95	-1.40	-0.16	-10	17	-27	11.8	14.4	-2.61	15.1	15.5	-0.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.66,0.58,0.54,0.7,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.42,0.58,0.65,0.59,0.41,0.33,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.25,0.43,0.56,0.74,0.6,0.58,0.75,0.71,0.96,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 94, POR 102	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.52,0.56,0.64,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.49,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.41,0.41,0.3,0.25,0.15,0.22,0.38,0.58,0.42,0.64,0.76,0.73,0.81,0.71,0.96,0.96,1	91.7%
PHX 92, POR 106	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.65,0.48,0.41,0.33,0.4,0.26,0.34,0.48,0.38,0.51,0.53,0.46,0.53,0.81,0.89,0.99,1,1	91.6%
SAS 85, POR 90	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.7,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.46,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.42,0.58,0.71,0.76,0.78,0.85,0.85,0.94,0.99,1	91.0%